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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Recession Odds 'Not At 0%,' Says Economist As Small And Medium Businesses Drive Job Losses In ADP Report Amid BLS Shutdown

A surprisingly weak private-sector ADP Employment report, released during an ongoing government shutdown, has intensified fears of a looming economic downturn.

Benzinga

Everything’s supposedly rosy on Wall Street—but gold is quietly rallying higher as investors seek safety in government shutdown

Gold is nearing $3,870 as investors flock to safe-haven assets despite Wall Street optimism, Fed rate cut bets, and recession fears fading.

Fortune

Yet another recession indicator is flashing as consumer confidence declines sharply in September

Consumer confidence has dropped below key thresholds, challenging Fed policymakers and Wall Street’s bullish market view.

Fortune

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Top Economist Warns Recession Risks Remain 'Uncomfortably High' Despite Receding As Market Valuation Nears 'Y2K Bubble' Peak

Despite an encouraging upward revision of the U.S. economic growth during its third estimate release, a prominent economist is cautioning that significant risks persist, with stock market valuations reaching levels not seen since the dot-com era.

Benzinga

Is the US Economy in Recession? 1 Overlooked Recession Indicator That's Flashing Red Right Now

Heavy truck sales don’t get nearly as much headline coverage as Fed decisions, but history shows it’s a recession indicator worth watching for investors.

Barchart

Here’s How To Prepare Yourself for a Recession, According to Suze Orman

Suze Orman shares smart, no-nonsense strategies to turn financial fear into power and prepare for any downturn.

GOBankingRates

Recession warnings are looking flat wrong as consumers power the economy forward

New data out Friday confirms that consumers are still spending and businesses are still investing.

Axios

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This 23-Year-Old Streamer Makes $400K A Month—But His Biggest Money Lesson Came from A $100 Cat

While Wall Street debates whether the next recession is coming, Stable Ronaldo is pulling down hundreds of thousands monthly from his bedroom—and his unconventional investment wisdom might surprise traditional financial advisors more than his astronomical earnings.

Benzinga

The AI boom is unsustainable unless tech spending goes ‘parabolic,’ Deutsche Bank warns: ‘This is highly unlikely’

“In the absence of tech-related spending, the U.S. would be close to, or in, recession this year,” George Saravelos says.

Fortune

3 Recession-Ready Stocks That Thrive When the Economy Sputters

These three companies offer different defensive strengths that could benefit investors looking to insulate themselves from a potential recession.

MarketBeat

Retirement Planning: 9 Moves To Make If You’re Worried About Economic Downturns

Whether you lived through the Great Depression or have been on the edge of your seat through the Great Recession, planning for retirement is challenging in any environment, but especially during times...

GOBankingRates

2 Self-Made Millionaires Share Their Rules for Surviving a Recession

Discover how self-made millionaires turn recessions into growth opportunities. Consider their smart money moves, value-driven strategies and resilience.

GOBankingRates

Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise Following Fed Rate Cuts— Nvidia And Intel In Focus After $5 Billion Investment Deal (UPDATED)

Editor’s Note: The future prices of benchmark tracking ETFs, the lede, and the latest economic releases were updated in the story.

Benzinga

S&P 500 Historically Returns Over 16% In Year Two Of Fed Easing Cycle, But Only If 'Recession Is Averted'

As the Federal Reserve embarked on the second year of its rate-cutting cycle after its last cut in September 2024, historical data points to potentially significant gains for the SP 500, with an average return of over 16% in the second year following initial cuts.

Benzinga

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The Conversation

Fed rate cut is attempt to prevent recession without sending prices soaring

The Federal Reserve on Sept. 17, 2025, cut its target interest rate as it shifts focus from fighting inflation to supporting the choppy labor market.

Benzinga

US Can Avoid Recession If 'Well-To-Do' Continue To Spend, Says Moody's Economist: 'If They Turn More Cautious...'

Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, highlighted the role of the wealthy in driving the U.S. economy.

Fortune

Top analyst says Elon Musk's DOGE layoffs marked the 'end of the rolling recession' that began 3 years ago. The worst should be over

If the last three years felt like a recession to you, Mike Wilson says, you haven't been crazy at all.

Fortune

Anthropic data confirms Gen Z’s worst fears about AI: Businesses are leaning into automation, a massive threat to entry-level jobs

Dario Amodei, the CEO of the AI startup, said earlier this year that AI could wipe out nearly 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs. New data could back up his claim.

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MarketBeat

If a Recession Is Coming, You'll Want to Own These 2 Stocks

With the economy flirting with a recession, investors who shore up their portfolios with defensive consumer staples stocks are likely to feel less pain.

Euronews

#RecessionIndicators: Is there truth behind the TikToks?

Makeup sales, marketing shifts, Labubu dolls. Gen Z has a lot of thoughts on what signals a recession.

Benzinga

Moody's Mark Zandi Warns Of 'Uncomfortably High' 48% Probability Of US Recession In Next 12 Months

The U.S. economy faces an “uncomfortably high” 48% probability of slipping into a recession within the next 12 months, according to Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.

Fortune

This housing data is the 'most critical economic variable' for predicting recessions, and it's now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.

Benzinga

Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi Warns Fed Faces High Bar To Avoid Rate Cuts As Weak Jobs Trump Inflation Risks Ahead Of CPI Report

Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi said the Federal Reserve is more likely to cut rates next week despite inflation running above target, citing a stalled labor market and rising recession risks.

Fortune

The Fed 'desperately' wants to avoid a recession because it doesn't want to get blamed and put its independence at risk, top economist says

"Obviously nobody wants a recession. But also in the context of Fed independence, they really don't want to get blamed for going into a downturn because that would impair their ability."

Fortune

Russia's central bank reveals GDP is shrinking, in a sign Putin's war economy has slipped into recession

A chart in a central bank report showed GDP shrank on a sequential basis in the first and second quarters, meeting the definition of a technical recession.

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