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The Latest Breaking News from Mark Zandi

Debt limit action needed by mid-August, analysts warn. Here are 5 possible scenarios

WASHINGTON — Economists at Moody’s Analytics estimate that the Treasury Department will run out of borrowing room by mid-August if Congress doesn’t act to raise or suspend the statutory debt limit by then.

Tribune News Service

Debt limit action needed by mid-August, analysts warn

Economists at Moody’s Analytics estimate that the Treasury Department will run out of borrowing room by mid-August if Congress doesn’t act to raise or suspend the statutory debt limit by then.

Tribune News Service

Debt limit action needed by mid-August, analysts warn - Roll Call

Economists at Moody’s Analytics estimate that the Treasury Department will run out of borrowing room by mid-August if Congress doesn’t act.

Roll Call

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The Reason the Recession Hasn’t Happened Yet

Despite soaring prices and interest rates, businesses and consumers have proved surprisingly resilient.

The Atlantic

Wait, layoffs and job growth? What's going on with the economy and is recession still coming?

WASHINGTON — Only a few months ago many economists warned that a recession was not just inevitable, it was around the corner. Inflation would take years to curb. Surging unemployment was on its way.

Los Angeles Times

As property prices retreat, top economist isn’t expecting recession

The U.S. economy is likely to avoid a recession, even with a downturn in housing and commercial real estate, economist Mark Zandi predicts.

Tribune News Service

State of the Union: Biden sees economic glow, GOP sees gloom

Going into Tuesday’s State of the Union address, President Joe Biden sees a nation with a glowing economic future

The Independent UK

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The U.S. economy ended 2022 on a high note. This year is looking different

The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.9% in the final three months of last year — a surprisingly strong finish. But growth is expected to slow in 2023, and possibly even reverse.

WEKU

Veterans of the Obama-era debt ceiling standoff on the current one: We may be doomed

Financial experts and political operatives experiencing debt ceiling déjà vu fear this time around, the ending could be catastrophic.

Politico

Zandi Says Too-Calm Investors Raise Risk of US Default Calamity

Mark Zandi, the Moody’s Analytics chief economist, warned that investors are “too sanguine” about a looming political fight over the US debt limit — and that itself raises the danger of a devastating default.

Bloomberg

The Week Ahead: Waiting for the recession during the economic recovery

The end of last year was supposed to be an economic dud. It wasn’t. Instead, the American economy likely continued its rebound.

Miami Herald

Moody’s vs. Zillow: Each firm’s 2023 home price outlook for over 300 regional housing markets

Economists are divided as to whether the housing correction is simply a minor setback for home price growth or the early innings of a sharper correction.

Fortune

Is the housing market recession nearing a trough? Experts detect a little rise in activity

The seasonally adjusted Mortgage Purchase Application Index just rose 24.7%.

Fortune

The free-fall in housing market activity just concluded, says Capital Economics

U.S. home prices will continue to fall in 2023 even as home sales bottom out, says Capital Economics.

Fortune

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Politico

What’s worse than a recession? A recession with tax hikes

Despite a possible economic downturn, a number of business taxes are rising — the opposite of what lawmakers would normally do in a recession.

Fortune

A 1981-level mortgage rate shock has the housing market in a correction—these 7 leading research firms predict what's next for rates

There are only three levers that can depressurize affordability: Rising incomes, falling home prices, and falling mortgage rates.

Fortune

America might just do the impossible and avoid a recession, according to top economist Mark Zandi

Moody’s chief economist says a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy is in the cards. But BlackRock’s Rick Rieder warns, “Policymakers’ ability to stick this landing for the economy and markets is still very much up in the air.”

Zenger

Warren Buffett’s Favorite Housing Metric Just Flashed A Major Signal: What To Watch In The Housing Market

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett explained the metrics he watches for a reversal in the housing market.

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Fortune

Prepare for a 'slowcession' in 2023, says one of the first economists to predict the 2008 financial crash

The year ahead will no doubt be tough for the U.S. economy, but the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics wants us to be a little more optimistic.

Fortune

Interactive map: The home price correction (or lack of correction) in America's 400 largest housing markets

Mark Zandi: The free-fall in home sales will soon bottom out, while the home price correction carries on.

Fortune

We're in the second biggest home price correction of the post-WWII era—here's the latest data

The Fed’s “difficult [housing] correction” has seen the U.S. housing market flip from inflation mode to deflation mode.

The Independent UK

High inflation and efforts to tame it defined 2022 economy

At times, 2022 felt like the 1970s or early ’80s

The Atlantic

The Federal Reserve’s Artificial Recession

Pain is on the way even if interest-rate hikes work as intended—which is not a given.

Fortune

These 49 housing markets to see home prices fall over 15%—this interactive map shows Moody’s updated forecast for 322 markets

"Affordability will be restored. The [housing] market won't be overvalued after this process is over," says Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi.

Fortune

The Pandemic Housing Bust rocks bubbly markets like Phoenix

Some markets have gone straight from Pandemic Housing Boom to Pandemic Housing Bust.

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