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The Latest Breaking News from Moody

How severe has the economic impact of the Iran war been for the Gulf states?

The US and Israel’s war on Iran has cast a long shadow over the Gulf. It has placed many of the economies that make up the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) regional grouping – Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia – under substantial strain.

The Conversation

Moody's slashes 2026 India growth forecast to 6%

Moody’s Ratings has cut India’s GDP growth forecast for 2026 by 0.8 percentage points to 6 per cent, citing weak private consumption, slower capital formation and industrial activity, along with higher energy costs. It also lowered the 2027 growth outlook to 6 per cent from earlier estimates, pointing to lingering…

The Economic Times

Trump’s tariffs have done ‘significant damage’ to US economy, top financial group warns

‘The U.S. economy is resilient, but just how resilient is set to be tested,’ the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics said

The Independent UK

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You had a miserable 2025 because of tariff inflation. The Iran war will be even worse, top economist says

One year after Liberation Day, tariffs have frozen hiring and fueled inflation. Now, Moody’s Mark Zandi sees the war in Iran threatening to deepen the damage.

Fortune

Anthropic deepens push into Wall Street with new AI agents, full Microsoft 365 integration, Moody's data partnership

"The cone is even wider than I thought," Amodei said, disclosing that Anthropic projected 10x growth only to see 80x instead.

Fortune

America's debt just hit a milestone not seen since WWII — and credit agencies are sounding the alarm

America's debt just surpassed the size of its entire economy. That could mean higher mortgage rates, costlier loans, and government spending ever more squeezed.

Fortune

‘I don’t want to be part of a dictatorship’: the Americans queueing up to renounce their citizenship

Severing ties with the US can take more than a year and cost thousands of dollars. But Paul, Ella, Margot and thousands of others feel they have no choice

The Guardian - UK

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The AI economy runs on helium. The Iran war just created a $650 billion problem

“Helium doesn’t get much attention in the AI supply chain, but it should,” says Moody’s David Pan. “There is no viable substitute at scale.”

Fortune

Moody's CEO: AI has a trust problem – better models won’t fix it

Moody’s was founded over 100 years ago on the conviction that markets function better with transparent, rigorous and independent data and analysis.

Fortune

Credit and credibility: rating agency errors come with a cost

The rating agency S&P Global’s Africa Credit Rating Trends 2025 reviews the past year’s rating activities and analyses the continent’s prospects for 2026. It is an important document because it interprets underlying drivers of creditworthiness. It shapes how global investors and policymakers understand risk, opportunity and reform dynamics across the…

The Conversation

What You Need to Know Ahead of Moody's Earnings Release

Moody's is set to report its first-quarter results by the end of this month, with analysts projecting a double-digit increase in earnings.

Barchart

How the Iran war adds to the U.S. K-shaped economy through higher gas prices

Americans could be on the hook for an extra $8 billion in gas prices, and some families will feel it more than others.

Fortune

Crude Oil Retreat Lifts Dow 1,124 Points: Stock Market Today

Whether the worst is behind us or there's still more to come in the Middle East, the stock market reaffirmed its resilience during the first quarter of 2026.

Kiplinger

Landmark losses for Meta and YouTube as big tech misses the point

Meta claims social media addiction isn’t real. Juries disagree

The Guardian - US

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Fortune

Indonesia faces a 'perfect storm' of downgrade fears, trade tensions and now the Iran war—and 2026 has only just started

Indonesia's difficult start to the year includes signing a trade deal the day before the U.S. Supreme Court overruled Trump's tariffs.

Fortune

Mark Zandi warns recession odds are creeping toward 50%, and the Iran war could launch us into economic turmoil by midyear

As oil steadily climbs above $100 per barrel and Iran rejects a U.S. peace proposal, Moody’s chief economist says recession odds are only getting worse.

Fortune

Costco CEO promises the $1.50 hot dog isn't going away: 'The price will not change as long as I'm around'

The $1.50 combo hasn't changed since 1985. In a K-shaped economy where everything costs more, that's not just a deal—it's a statement.

Fortune

Economists are loathe to mention recessions, but odds just hit 49% for the next 12 months according to Moody’s top economist

"If oil prices remain elevated for much longer (weeks and not months), a recession will be difficult to avoid," Zandi said.

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Euronews

Moody's says a US recession is increasingly 'hard to avoid' amid Iran war

Moody’s Analytics model forecasts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, the closest probability in years.

Fortune

Billionaire says US wealth inequality is 'completely unsustainable as a society'

Most indicators for the U.S. economy were relatively good last year, but not many Americans feel that way.

International Business Times

New York's Socialist Experiment: Mamdani's Bold Agenda and What It Means for Business

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's sweeping progressive agenda — rent freezes, free buses, and higher taxes on the wealthy — is rattling Wall Street and real estate investors while the city grapples with a $7 billion budget gap and a Moody's credit warning.

Fortune

Google, Meta, and Oracle are on a $1 trillion borrowing spree and there will be 'winners and losers in this environment,' bond fund manager says

Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle are spending billions to fund the AI buildout—but overinvestment risk means there will be “winners and losers,” said Pimco’s chief investment officer.

The Independent UK

Lousy job growth and sky-high gas: Trump’s economy is in crisis and puts his presidency at risk

Moody’s Mark Zandi tells Eric Garcia that high gas prices will make it ‘very difficult to kind of get Americans back thinking, believing or buying into the idea that things were going at all well’

Fortune

Top economist says companies are close to a 'Cortes moment' on AI, referencing the conquistador who burned his boats and then invaded Mexico

Moody’s Analytics chief economist warned firms are approaching the point of no return on AI adoption—and the labor market may feel it first.

Barchart

Moody's Stock: Is MCO Underperforming the Financial Sector?

Moody's has underperformed the Financial sector over the past year, but analysts are moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

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