The Latest Breaking News from Oxford Economics

Tariffs aren't exactly top of mind for most Americans during the Christmas holidays, but as 2026 approaches, a few trade decisions from President Donald Trump could end up steering everything from the U.S. economy to your portfolio.

“Eventually, in the unforeseeable future, austerity may be the most likely of the six possible outcomes.”

The Russian economy is balancing on the edge of recession, yet the war could go on for years. Its financing appears to have no immediate major obstacles, according to experts.

This year's holiday season may deliver the strongest sales growth in four years, but it won't be a broad recovery—wealthy households are expected to drive nearly all of the gains.

Oxford Economics warns U.S. growth could stall if tech investment cools, with global GDP also at risk if AI enthusiasm shows signs of waning.

Another key difference between now and the earlier boom-bust era is that the Federal Reserve is lowering rates instead of raising them.

Donald Trump has shocked the global drug industry by announcing 100-percent tariffs on all branded, imported pharmaceutical products -- unless companies are building manufacturing plants in the United States.

Oxford Economics finds that tariffs, labor dynamics, and policy shifts have hit younger and lower-income households hardest.

In an exclusive interview with Benzinga, John Canavan, lead analyst at Oxford Economics, struck a cautiously optimistic tone on the U.S. economy heading into 2026, but warned that the market's growing obsession with aggressive rate cuts and tech stock dominance may be ignoring some inconvenient truths.