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The Latest Breaking News from Bill Adams

Fed Has Green Light To Cut Rates After Soft Inflation, Economists Say

A wide range of economists say the Federal Reserve now has the green light to cut interest rates, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report that suggests price pressures are easing — and that monetary policy can shift focus toward the softening labor market.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blurs Jobs Data—But These Reports Back Other Fed Cuts

With the U.S. government shutdown still clouding official labor statistics, alternative data from private firms and banks is sending a clear message: the labor market is cooling, and markets are betting big that the Federal Reserve will respond with another rate cut at its Oct. 30 meeting.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blocks Jobs Data: Will The Fed Cut Rates In The Dark?

Interpreting economic data is challenging on a good day—harder still when crucial reports go missing.

Benzinga

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BLS Data Halts, But Chicago Fed Sees Steady 4.34% Unemployment: Private Sources Flag 'Low Fire, Low Hire' Holiday Risk

As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.

Benzinga

Recession Odds 'Not At 0%,' Says Economist As Small And Medium Businesses Drive Job Losses In ADP Report Amid BLS Shutdown

A surprisingly weak private-sector ADP Employment report, released during an ongoing government shutdown, has intensified fears of a looming economic downturn.

Benzinga

The economy is just getting stronger, not weaker, and ‘we in the economics profession need to look ourselves in the mirror,’ top analyst says

“The consensus has been wrong since January,” Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Sløk wrote on Wednesday.

Fortune

Fed Dot Plot Reveals Shallow Easing Path For 2026; Experts Say Don't Expect 'Many More Reductions' As Split Of Dots Is 'Something To Behold'

The Federal Reserve's latest economic projections reveal a surprisingly shallow path for interest rate cuts in 2026, signaling that the policy will remain restrictive as the central bank contends with a resilient economy and sticky inflation.

Benzinga

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Fed Preview: A Rate Cut Is Baked In, Will Trump Get The 'Big Cut' He Wants

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates on Wednesday at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting for September.

Benzinga

S&P 500 Hits New High After Oracle Earnings: Stock Market Today

Another down day for Apple held the Dow Jones Industrial Average back, though.

Kiplinger

Million Missing Jobs Clearly Shows AI Is 'Automating Away Tech Jobs,' Amid 'Stagflation' Worries, Warn Economists

A preliminary revision from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has erased 911,000 previously reported U.S. jobs, sending shockwaves through economic circles and cementing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week.

Benzinga

The U.S. economy actually grew by nearly a million fewer jobs than previously thought, and it shows 'AI is automating away tech jobs,' economist says

"The revision shows the economy entered 2025 with less momentum than previously understood,” said Bill Adams, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank.

Fortune

Americans haven’t been this pessimistic about finding a new job since a bleak stretch of the Great Recession

Pessimism is "most pronounced for those with at most a high school education," according to the New York Federal Reserve.

Fortune

July CPI Report Ignites a Risk-On Rally: Stock Market Today

Market participants price out worst-case scenarios for tariffs and inflation and will now turn their attention to employment and growth.

Kiplinger

Jerome Powell’s job just got a whole lot easier as inflation data sidesteps disaster

July inflation data suggests the FOMC’s dual mandate may not be in as much of a pickle as economists previously feared.

Fortune

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Benzinga

Economists Flip To Trump's Side After Jobs Data–And Jerome Powell Is Now In Trouble

Just two days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell refused to pre-commit to a September rate cut, the U.S. labor market did it for him.

Benzinga

'Delusional World:' Analyst Slams Jerome Powell's Inaction As Experts Debate Possibility Of Six Cuts Starting September

While the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady was widely anticipated, a rare dual dissent and nuanced language in the FOMC statement have left experts divided on whether Chair Jerome Powell will hold steady through 2025 or embark on aggressive rate cuts.

Fortune

A weak housing market could deliver rate cuts and rescue the Fed from Trump

Toward the end of the year, the housing market may become a bigger deal for inflation than tariffs - Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams said.

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Powell Rumors Spark Volatile Day for Stocks

Stocks sold off sharply intraday after multiple reports suggested President Trump is considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

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Benzinga

June Inflation Data Validates Powell's Trump Pushback

President Donald Trump's repeated calls for aggressive rate cuts collided with economic reality Tuesday, as June's rising inflation dynamics offered a win—at least temporarily—for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious stance.

Benzinga

Trump And Wall Street Want Rate Cuts—The Data Says: Keep Waiting

A stronger-than-expected labor report just crushed any hopes that the Federal Reserve would lower rates this month—despite speculation from Wall Street and direct demands from President Donald Trump.

Fortune

ADP says the private sector is shrinking. That's bad news for the job market—but possibly great news for Trump

The payroll firm’s report may be a bellwether for a private-sector slowdown.

Benzinga

Too Many Home Sellers, Fewer Buyers: Experts Predict Housing Prices To Fall In 2025 Without A Fed Put In Place

The U.S. housing market is tilting sharply in favor of buyers, with a record 33.7% more sellers than buyers, according to the latest data.

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Stocks Lose Steam After CPI, US-China Trade Deal

Wall Street initially cheered soft inflation data and hopeful tariff news, but momentum stalled in late-day trading.

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Great Power Affairs Mesmerize Markets

The U.S. and China are at least talking about talking about tariffs, and investors, traders and speculators are showing a little less fear.

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Stocks Surge to Close a Volatile Week

It was another day with a week's worth of both news and price action, but it ended on a strongly positive note.

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