The Latest Breaking News from Fed Funds Rate

U.S. long-term interest rates remain elevated in July 2025, with the long bond futures in a two-year consolidation range that is closer to technical support than resistance. When the long bond futures eventually break higher or lower, the move will impact markets across all asset classes.

The U.S. Fed has cut the short-term Fed Funds Rate by 75 basis points since September 2024 and has told markets that more monetary policy easing is on the horizon. Meanwhile, longer-term rates continue to ignore the short-term rates as they climb to higher levels.

Physical lumber prices have recovered after a significant Q2 decline as the market expects lower inflation to lead to falling short-term interest rates. However, the peak construction season will be in the rearview mirror in the coming months, so the wood futures market may have to wait until spring 2025…

Quantitative tightening is the Fed’s process of reducing its balance sheet. After purchasing debt securities during and after the 2020 global pandemic, the U.S. central bank has allowed those purchases to roll off its balance sheet since March 2022. At the early May FOMC meeting, the Fed told markets it…

In 2023, the long bond futures fell to their lowest level since 2007 as the Fed fought inflation with a hawkish monetary policy path. The long bond futures recovered after reaching a low in October but have not broken out of the bearish trend intact since the 2020 high.

The long bond futures reached a sixteen-year low in October 2023. Rising short-term Fed Funds rates and quantitative tightening caused bonds to fall and rates to rise, choking economic growth. Higher rates weighed on the stock market and other asset classes over the past months. However, bonds have recovered since…

The U.S. central bank has taken the highest inflation in four decades seriously, increasing the short-term Fed Funds Rate by 500 basis points from March 2022 through May 2023. The Fed has also tightened credit for further maturities via quantitative tightening. While the consensus over the past year supported rate…

At its June 14-15 meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to hike its Fed Funds Rate by 75 basis points, the largest single hike since 1994, to 1.5-1.75% in order to tame inflation.