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The Latest Breaking News from Alan Greenspan

Trump’s trade war risks undermining his hopes of hefty US interest rate cuts

Upping tariffs may have lifted the president’s mood but it is a headache for the Federal Reserve and its next chair

The Guardian - UK

America faces a ‘debt crisis’ a lot like the 1980s when a ‘private pact’ brokered by Ronald Reagan did the trick

A bipartisan commission saved Social Security in the 1980s. How would that approach fare today?

Fortune

First Thing: Family of Renee Good urges ‘empathy’ in call for justice

US woman killed by ICE agent called ‘extraordinary mother’. Plus, Trump says countries trading with Iran face 25% tariff

The Guardian - UK

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Paul Krugman Warns AI Rallies Driven By Rate-Cut Hopes Are 'Dead Cat Bounces' — Says It 'Bears an Unmistakable Resemblance' To The Dot-Com Era

Economist Paul Krugman is drawing sharp parallels between the current state of the AI trade and the final years of the dot-com boom in the 1990s, while warning that investors might be misreading the Federal Reserve’s recent signals and actions.

Benzinga

Scott Bessent Rejects 'AI Bubble' Fears, Cites Broadening CapEx, Manufacturing Growth

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday dismissed fears that the U.S. economy has become dangerously addicted to artificial intelligence (AI) spending, arguing instead that investment is poised to broaden into a wider industrial resurgence.

Benzinga

Dan Niles Channels Keynes On AI Hype, Warns Market Can Stay 'Irrational' Longer Than Investors Can Stay Solvent

Investor Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management said that the current market valuations are lofty, there is still room to run before the tide begins to turn.

Benzinga

Peter Schiff Takes A Victory Lap: For Bitcoin, 'The Party Is Over'

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) underperforming against gold has prompted its prominent critic Peter Schiff to highlight the divergence.

Benzinga

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The AI valuation bubble is now getting silly

The broad parallels are genuinely close to the madness of the late-1990s dotcom bubble

The Guardian - UK

Inflation target provides clear benchmark, says Bank of England chief economist

The target has helped to anchor longer-term inflation expectations, Huw Pill said in a speech.

Evening Standard

Back in the ’90s a Fed chief warned about ‘irrational exuberance’ in the markets. Stocks rose 105% over the next 4 years

Even if Fed chairs see a market that’s overvalued, that doesn’t mean a crash is near.

Fortune

Greenspan, Bernanke and Yellen urge Supreme Court to let Lisa Cook keep her job as a Fed governor

Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and other former top economic officials appointed by presidents of both parties are urging the Supreme Court to preserve the Federal Reserve’s political independence and allow Lisa Cook to remain as a central bank governor for now

The Independent UK

#RecessionIndicators: Is there truth behind the TikToks?

Makeup sales, marketing shifts, Labubu dolls. Gen Z has a lot of thoughts on what signals a recession.

Euronews

Why Trump’s firing of the US jobs chief has economists worried

Economists warn credibility of Bureau of Labor Statistics at risk after Trump ousts commissioner over job numbers

The Guardian - US

Trump Rages at the Fed Over Interest Rates

According to the president, the U.S. economy will begin to slow down unless the Fed “lowers interest rates, NOW.”

Reason

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Bored Panda

83 People Share Recession Indicators That Range From Funny To Cry Worthy

"Everyone becoming a DJ should've been our first recession indicator!"

Fortune

Bank of America says ‘Trump put’ is alive and well

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has rejected suggestions the president will reorient his policies to support equity prices.

Latin Times

Americans' confidence in Biden's economic leadership hits historical low amid persistent inflation

A Gallup poll showed that confidence level in Biden's ability to do the right thing for the economy is among the lowest for any president since 2001

Top News

Global Markets React To Greenspan, Powell Exuberance Comparison

Explore the concept of exuberance in the global economy and its implications for Powell's leadership as Federal Reserve Chair.

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Barchart

Where is the U.S. Dollar Index Headed in 2024?

The dollar index has gone to sleep in a 103 to 104 trading range. After trading below the 100 level in July and above 107 in October, the index has not moved much as stability returned to the dollar against the other reserve currencies. Meanwhile, given the geopolitical landscape, the…

Capital & Main

Lessons From the Bust That Followed Bill Clinton’s Economic Boom

Historian Nelson Lichtenstein’s new book details the price we have paid for free trade, deregulation and failed health care reform.

Fortune

A much-feared emerging markets crisis didn’t happen. Is the global economy off the hook?

A crisis of global systemic relevance would require a confluence of factors, write BCG's Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz.

Barchart

Can the Fed Continue to Hike Rates?

The U.S. central bank has taken the highest inflation in four decades seriously, increasing the short-term Fed Funds Rate by 500 basis points from March 2022 through May 2023. The Fed has also tightened credit for further maturities via quantitative tightening. While the consensus over the past year supported rate…

Reason

The Federal Reserve Was Supposed To Ease Economic Instability. Instead, It's Made It Worse.

A responsible political class would significantly reform the organization. Instead, they will likely continue to give it more power.

The Guardian - US

There’s a deeper story to Silicon Valley Bank’s failure. What can we learn from it?

Financial deregulation led to the crash in 2008 and it could again in 2023. It’s time to make banking boring again

Fortune

One of legendary Fed Chair Alan Greenspan’s favorite economic indicators was men’s underwear—and things could be looking up

Details buried in the consumer price index could hint at what’s in store for the U.S. economy.

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