The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Trump's second term is wrecking the Grand Old Party—and Democrats' refusal to own up to Biden's failure is killing the party of Jefferson and Obama.

Chuck Schumer declined to put the president’s name on New York’s Penn Station, saying he did not have the authority

In spite of President Donald Trump’s reputation as a political savant, 2026 is beginning to look a lot like a traditional midterm election.

Donald Trump’s net approval is up a little after a slump to a term low on November 23, as Republicans hold a federal seat at a special election. In Australia, Labor continues to hold large leads in federal polls, but received just 8.3% at the Hinchinbrook Queensland state byelection.

Everywhere Republicans look, they see big political trouble.

Donald Trump’s net approval has slumped to its lowest this term as the United States government shutdown breaks the record for the longest shutdown. Democrats had big wins in state elections on Tuesday.

Plus: Teams in city-owned stadiums keep ending up in court, and Israeli soccer fans get banned from a match in England

The Coalition’s primary vote slumped four points to a record low 24% in the latest Newspoll, while One Nation was up four points to a record high 15%. One Nation also surged to 15% in an Essential poll.

Plus: World Cup ticket prices and more government meddling in soccer