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The Latest Breaking News from Torsten Slok

Unemployment Claims Rise–And That's A Problem For The Fed

After more than a month of steady declines in weekly jobless claims, the first signs of weakness are starting to emerge, as a rise in unemployment is once again drawing attention to the disappointing jobs report released last week.

AI Bubble Is More Unhinged Than Dot-Com—A Chilling Warning From The Inside

AI Bubble Is More Unhinged Than Dot-Com—A Chilling Warning From The Inside

Today's AI-fueled market frenzy is even more dangerously inflated than the 1990s internet bubble that ended with a historic crash in 2000.

The AI boom is now bigger than the '90s dotcom bubble—and it's built on the backs of bots, maybe more than real users

The AI boom is now bigger than the '90s dotcom bubble—and it's built on the backs of bots, maybe more than real users

Automated bots now make up more than half of global internet traffic, surpassing human-generated activity for the first time in 2024.

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CEOs are in distress and consumers fear job losses amid ‘stagflation shock,’ economist warns

New research from Apollo Global Management outlines the tariff impact on U.S. businesses and consumers. Signs are pointing toward recession by summer.

Recession ‘absolutely’ will happen if Trump’s tariffs remain, top financial expert says

‘We will have bankruptcies of retailers of very significant magnitudes if this is allowed to continue,’ Torsten Slok says

The Independent UK

Will the tariffs lead to a recession? Here's how to know if we're in one

President Donald Trump’s sharp tariff hikes last week have sent the stock market into a tailspin, raised alarm bells among Wall Street executives, and heightened many economists’ worries that the U.S. could tip into recession

The Independent UK

The housing market now has more ‘downside risks’: layoffs from DOGE and the trade war

A week of back-to-back housing data revealed a tiny boost in sales and modest improvement where home prices and mortgage rates are concerned. But don’t be fooled, housing is still unaffordable for many.

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A staycation nation: Americans hit a 15-year low in travel planning

A staycation nation: Americans hit a 15-year low in travel planning

Blame policy uncertainty on Trump 2.0, according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok.

Top economist: More people are looking for a job, but not because they were laid off

Top economist: More people are looking for a job, but not because they were laid off

The unemployment rate reflects the fact that the number of workers is growing, not that more people are losing their jobs.

Apollo's chief economist defies Fed’s hawkish pivot; no rate hikes this year despite ‘dramatic turnaround’

Apollo's chief economist defies Fed’s hawkish pivot; no rate hikes this year despite ‘dramatic turnaround’

Yet Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari recently refused to rule out interest rate hikes.

Americans still haven’t run out of pandemic savings quite yet, JPMorgan study finds

Americans still haven’t run out of pandemic savings quite yet, JPMorgan study finds

The biggest question facing economists is when will consumers burn through their COVID-era piggy bank.

The most predicted recession ever maybe won’t happen. Get ready for the ‘asset class recession’

The most predicted recession ever maybe won’t happen. Get ready for the ‘asset class recession’

An asset class recession would hit at a uniquely vulnerable time, as the share of Americans invested in stocks hasn’t been so high since the Great Financial Crisis.

'The credit crunch has started' and it could have big recession implications

'The credit crunch has started' and it could have big recession implications

It was easy to put things on the proverbial credit card during the free money era.

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