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The Latest Breaking News from Torsten Slok

AI isn't paying off in the way companies think. Layoffs driven by automation are failing to generate returns, study finds

A Gartner study found that while 80% of companies surveyed reported workforce reductions, there was no correlation to higher ROI.

Fortune

The AI job apocalypse is 'unhelpful marketing, bad economics and worse history,' a16z says

So, then, why are so many historians afraid?

Fortune

Sam Altman says the quiet part out loud, confirming some companies are ‘AI washing’ by blaming unrelated layoffs on the technology

Some economists are warning there’s no sign of AI-related job displacement appearing in the labor data. Altman claimed it’s just a matter of time until it does.

Fortune

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Jensen Huang says some CEOs have a 'God complex' when it comes to AI apocalypse warnings, which can create shortages of critical workers

"So we have to be mindful of how we communicate the importance of this technology and what it's able to do."

Fortune

A 160-year-old paradox explains why AI will create more lawyers and accountants—not fewer, top economist says

Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok thinks AI doomers may be proven wrong. Just swap in "people" for "coal" in Jevons Paradox.

Fortune

Thousands of CEOs admit AI had no impact on employment or productivity—and it has economists resurrecting a paradox from 40 years ago

In the 1980s, economist Robert Solow made an observation that reminded economists of today’s AI boom: “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”

Fortune

U.S. debt suddenly draws weaker demand as $10 trillion must be rolled over this year amid Iran war. 'The bond market remains undefeated'

"The need for additional spending to finance the war would increase U.S. debt, sparking a bond market selloff as investors require additional compensation to cover potential losses."

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Meet a 29-year-old blue-collar founder who used AI to triple his revenue in 3 years

Rick Chorney dropped out of high school because he needed to find his own place. Ten years later, he's about to cross the $1 million revenue line.

Fortune

Economists are loathe to mention recessions, but odds just hit 49% for the next 12 months according to Moody’s top economist

"If oil prices remain elevated for much longer (weeks and not months), a recession will be difficult to avoid," Zandi said.

Fortune

U.S. debt is competing with a record supply of corporate bonds, which is pushing up the cost of federal borrowing just as war spending piles up

Last Tuesday saw the single busiest day on record for U.S. corporate bond sales.

Fortune

Goldman finds ‘no meaningful relationship between AI and productivity at the economy-wide level,’ but a 30% boost for 2 specific use cases

Have you got “AI-nxiety?” Goldman took a closer look at the last earnings season and found a mismatch between hype and reality.

Fortune

Moody’s flags $662 billion risk at the heart of the data center build-out by just 5 companies

“The accounting liability is unlikely to reflect certain plausible future scenarios,” Moody’s said of Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Oracle, and Microsoft.

Fortune

People are getting fake news on their phones and that’s increasing the risk of a market crash

The great smartphone panic of 2026 builds off the “dumb money” revolution of the past five years. Now viral doomerism is threatening the real economy.

Fortune

Fed staff are more worried about stock prices than tech debt, even as hyperscalers go on a borrowing binge for their AI spending

In the fourth quarter of 2025 alone, tech companies issued a record $108.7 billion in bonds, according to Moody’s Analytics, capping a full-year total of nearly $300 billion.

Fortune

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news in one place.

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Fortune

Sam Altman says the quiet part out loud, confirming some companies are ‘AI washing’ by blaming unrelated layoffs on the technology

Some economists are warning there’s no sign of AI-related job displacement appearing in the labor data. Altman claimed it’s just a matter of time until it does.

Fortune

Thousands of CEOs just admitted AI had no impact on employment or productivity—and it has economists resurrecting a paradox from 40 years ago

In the 1980s, economist Robert Solow made an observation that reminded economists of today’s AI boom: “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”

Fortune

One of Stanford's original AI gurus says productivity liftoff has begun after doubling in 2025 amid transition to 'harvest phase' along J-curve

"We are transitioning from an era of AI experimentation to one of structural utility."

Fortune

AI is everywhere except in the data, suggesting it will enhance labor in some sectors rather than replace workers in all sectors, top economist says

"Maybe there is a J‑curve effect for AI, where it takes time for AI to show up in the macro data. Maybe not."

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news in one place.

100's of premium titles.
One news app.

Fortune

Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI

Mustafa Suleyman believes current AI computational power will only accelerate, disrupting every kind of work you do “sitting down at a computer.”

Fortune

Wall Street’s top analyst sees something weird going on with gold and interest rates, and warns inflation is rewriting market logic

“Investors are anxious about the level of returns they get in traditional assets,” Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok told Fortune.

Fortune

Why you shouldn’t worry about AI eating the stock market, top analyst says. The U.S. economy is ‘about to take off’

Software’s disruption by AI may be a problem for software stocks, but not for a booming economy, Apollo’s Torsten Slok argues.

Fortune

‘We’re not in a bubble yet’ because only 3 out of 4 conditions are met, top economist says. Cue the OpenAI IPO

Owen Lamont told Fortune about his “Four Horsemen” of the bubble apocalypse, and one hasn’t left the stable yet.

Fortune

Trump's housing market plan contains a fatal flaw and multiple obstacles, Morgan Stanley says

"Affordability in U.S. housing is a tricky issue that lacks a silver bullet," the bank said. Trump's actions are only "modestly helpful" for affordability.

Fortune

Elon Musk says that in 10 to 20 years, work will be optional and money will be irrelevant thanks to AI and robotics

“It’ll be like playing sports or a video game or something like that,” the Tesla CEO said.

Fortune

As U.S. debt soars past $38 trillion, the flood of corporate bonds is a growing threat to the Treasury supply

"The significant increase in hyperscaler issuance raises questions about who will be the marginal buyer of IG paper."

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Sebastian Siemiatkowski

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