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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

The yield curve is a graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities. It shows the relationship between the interest rate (or cost of borrowing) and the time to maturity of the debt.

USAFacts

Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s-style

“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today's market than the 2008 housing crash,” BofA economists said.

Fortune

US economy added 336,000 jobs in September surpassing expectations

Data comes as central bank seeks to guide the US economy to ‘soft landing’ to avoid a recession

The Guardian - US

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JPMorgan’s top strategist warns stocks could be about to plummet 20%. ‘I’m not sure how we’re going to avoid’ a recession

“The upside versus downside in stocks is not that great,” according to Marko Kolanovic.

Fortune

Texas will have an $18.6 billion surplus and avoid a recession, comptroller projects

The updated comptroller’s report raises the amount of revenue available to the state over the 2024-25 cycle to $194.6 billion.

The Texas Tribune

Rising long-term interest rates are posing the latest threat to a US economic 'soft landing'

Surging interest rates are intensifying the challenges for the U.S. economy and threatening to derail the Federal Reserve’s drive to tame inflation without causing a deep recession

The Independent UK

Top strategist sees ‘echoes of the 1987 crash’ in today’s stock market. ‘All you can do is brace yourself and hope for the best'

Société Générale’s Albert Edwards said that while some economists are expecting a soft landing his “view is that a recession still lurks.”

Fortune

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Cryptocurrencies Slide As Housing Concerns Mount

Higher interest rates and potential recession fears drive major crypto market decline

Zenger

Central banks ‘risk global recession unless they relax 2% inflation targets’

Economic arm of UN says pro-growth stance needed, with interest rate rises increasing inequality

The Guardian - UK

These 2 Stocks are Both Clean and Green

Recession is imminent, no recession on the horizon, a soft landing…or small recession…has been the constant and contradictory litany flowing from Wall Street the past year. The combination of interest rates and oil both spiking recently certainly lends credence to some form of recession in 2024. Stocks that have some…

StockNews.com

Janet Yellen says a government shutdown would add to risks of a recession

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is sounding the alarm about the damage a government shutdown could do to the U.S. economy. "It's really reckless and will impose immediate harm," Yellen told NPR.

WEKU

The Yield Curve is Inverted, When Does the Recession Begin?

Recessions can be challenging to predict, and experts use economic data and trends to make informed judgments about when a recession has begun or is likely to occur. But why predict when a consistent pattern ultimately illustrates when a recession starts?

Barchart

Morgan Stanley’s chief investor says the market is stuck in ‘purgatory’ as everyone awaits a recession or rebound in growth

Mike Wilson fears that investors have become overly optimistic after so many 'erroneous' recession predictions, and more stock market pain is coming.

Fortune

Experts Downplay Immediate Recession Risk Amid Potential Government Shutdown

Short-term impact expected, but prolonged shutdown could dampen growth and hinder Biden's re-election chances

Zenger

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Fortune

Deutsche Bank studied 34 past U.S. recessions to identify key warning signs and found that all 4 are flashing red right now

Based on a study of the U.S. economy since 1854, Deutsche Bank created “hit ratios” that show how often key macroeconomic triggers have caused recessions.

Barchart

3 Recession-Proof Stocks to Buy Now

Some recent economic data points have revived recession fears, sending equities sharply lower this September. Here are 3 recession-proof stocks that conservative investors can consider now.

Fortune

The economist who’s been predicting a recession for 18 months says the ‘litmus test’ is finally here, especially with oil headed toward $100 a barrel

David Rosenberg said the current situation with the economy is like trying to cancel winter just because it didn’t snow in December. “It hasn’t materialized, dot dot dot, yet.”

The Conversation

Why central banks should stop raising interest rates

Mortgage borrowers breathed a sign of relief following a recent pause in the Bank of England’s 14-month campaign of base rate hikes.

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StockNews.com

How Low Will Stocks Go?

The Fed threw some gasoline on the stock sell off fire last week. With that stocks are exploring new lows with the 200 day moving average in play at 4,195 for the S&P 500 (SPY). Is it time to buy stocks...or run for cover? 43 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister…

The Guardian - UK

UK’s political short-termism is killing hopes of business investment

Without economic stability the country is likely to be left without solid foundations for recovery

The Guardian - UK

Zombie Britain sees zero growth – and that’s the good news

Some surveys predict recession, but with pay and confidence rising, they may be wrong. That’s the best we, and the PM, can hope for

The Guardian - UK

UK recession risk grows as higher interest rates weigh on firms

Service sector and manufacturing output falls, with cost of living crisis also hitting businesses

The Independent UK

Recession ‘more likely’ as key gauge misses expectations

The private sector looks set to shrink again, according to preliminary data from an influential survey.

StockNews.com

Stock Alert: Just Another BUY THE DIP Opportunity

Traders threw a tantrum after the Fed shared details on their rate hike plans. This has the S&P 500 (SPY) hitting the lowest level in quite a while. Gladly, things are not as dire as they seem. That is why Steve Reitmeister shares his latest insights to explain why a…

AAP

Recession or not, New Zealand GDP growing again

New Zealand enjoyed a return to solid growth in the June quarter, with Stats NZ reporting an 0.9 increase, well beyond market expectations.

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