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The Latest Breaking News from Gregory Daco

US Fed Set To Hold Rates Steady In The Face Of Trump Pressure

The US central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight policy meeting this week, despite President Donald Trump's push for rate cuts, as officials contend with uncertainty sparked by the Republican's tariffs.

International Business Times

US April Inflation Cooled More Than Expected, Despite Tariffs

The US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure cooled more than expected last month, according to government data published Friday, as President Donald Trump's "liberation day" tariffs on most countries came into effect.

International Business Times

CFOs need a new 'playbook' for tariff-fueled uncertainty

The Fed's decision to hold rates steady underscores a critical reality for business leaders, according to economists.

Fortune

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Investors worry about Fed independence as stocks rise in China and Japan

Wall Street is almost certain that the Fed will keep interest rates steady in the 4.25-4.50% range, but analysts expect that Trump will ratchet up his attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering rates.

Fortune

US Fed Likely To Keep Rates Steady As Trump Uncertainty Flares

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting this week, treading carefully amid uncertainty over President Donald Trump's economic policies, which include spending cuts and sweeping tariffs.

International Business Times

US Consumer Inflation Unexpectedly Up, Trump Blames Biden

US consumer inflation unexpectedly accelerated last month, data showed Wednesday, in a moment of potential political peril for President Donald Trump, who quickly blamed the uptick on his predecessor Joe Biden.

International Business Times

Bosses are fed up with remote work for 4 main reasons. Some of them are undeniable

The data showing that remote workers spend fewer hours working, less productively, is really starting to add up.

Fortune

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Autos, Electronics: What Will Trump's Tariffs Impact?

US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on Canada and Mexico are set to roil supply chains for products ranging from automobiles to avocados -- with industries girding for cost increases.

International Business Times

Trump's Return Threatens Resurgence Of Trade Wars

Donald Trump's second presidential term promises a return to tariffs as he pressures partners and rivals to tackle everything from migration to drug trafficking, while protecting US industries -- in moves that could trigger new trade wars.

International Business Times

The Federal Reserve expects to cut rates more slowly in 2025. Here's what that could mean for you

The Federal Reserve’s third interest rate cut of the year will likely have consequences for debt, savings, auto loans, mortgages and other forms of borrowing by consumers and businesses

The Independent UK

Budget, Debt: Trump's Treasury Chief Faces Urgent Challenges

President-elect Donald Trump's new Treasury chief needs to hit the ground running once he takes office, tasked with rolling out his boss's economic vision and grappling with the country's debt limit.

International Business Times

Post-election, CFOs should 'focus on what they can control,' advises economist

Economists discuss consumer spending and preparing for any scenario.

Fortune

US Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Steady As Rate Cut Looms

The US Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation held steady in July according to government data Friday, sustaining expectations that the central bank is on its way to interest rate cuts starting next month.

International Business Times

US Jobs Data Point To Weaker Than Expected Market

The US jobs market was probably cooler than expected in the year through March, Labor Department data showed Wednesday, signaling weaker but still-positive growth.

International Business Times

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Fortune

Wall Street's worries over a massive stock sell-off is no reason for CFOs to panic, says a chief economist

A "drastic reorientation of strategy" may not be necessary.

Axios

Inflation cooldown incoming for U.S. economy

Yes, but: New data also showed a gloomier snapshot of the American consumer.

International Business Times

Retail Sales In US Rebound Less Than Expected In February

US consumer spending warmed slightly in February, according to government data released Thursday, with retail sales regaining ground after an earlier hit from cold weather.

International Business Times

US Embrace Of Remote Working Empties Offices, Weighs On Banks

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news in one place.

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One news app.

International Business Times

What Is Behind The US Economy's Surprising Strength?

The US has seen GDP growth blow past predictions, hiring numbers surge unexpectedly and consumers still spending even as interest rates climbed -- deftly averting a dreaded recession in 2023.

International Business Times

US Fed Expected To Pause Again As Inflation Edges Closer To Target

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates at a 22-year high for a third consecutive meeting on Wednesday as it continues to fight elevated inflation.

Fortune

American workers keep proving they don’t need to return to the office to be productive

The productivity of U.S. workers grew 5.2% in the third quarter, at the fastest pace since 2020.

Fortune

CEOs say remote work is a disaster for productivity. Goldman’s chief economist says that can't explain the last 15 years

An NYU economics professor shocked the profession by arguing that “total factor productivity” is linear, not exponential. Jan Hatzius says he's got a point.

Fortune

Israel war could cause a recession, $150 oil, and a 20% stock drop

U.S.-focused companies can't ignore the war in Israel, warns EY's Gregory Daco. "It will have consequences that will affect your business.”

Zenger

Experts Downplay Immediate Recession Risk Amid Potential Government Shutdown

Short-term impact expected, but prolonged shutdown could dampen growth and hinder Biden's re-election chances

Fortune

The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge rose last month—here’s why some economists say it’s misleading and won’t lead to more interest rate hikes

EY-Parthenon’s chief economist thinks “the Fed’s tightening cycle is over.”

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