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The Latest Breaking News from Albert Edwards

The week the AI scare turned real and America realized maybe it isn't ready for what's coming

From the "Ghost GDP" to mass layoffs at tech companies, this was the week AI's new collar economy took full effect.

Fortune

‘If I was 18 now, there is no way I would go to university only to leave with huge debts and poor job prospects,’ analyst says. He’d be an electrician

The AI macro doomsday scenario is not for 2028, says Albert Edwards of Societe Generale. “It’s here right now!”

Fortune

Top analyst: Trump's economy marked by 'soggy consumption, weak job gains and a sour public mood'

J.P. Morgan’s David Kelly sees a political earthquake in 2026, while Société Générale’s Albert Edwards is alarmed by just how little Americans are saving.

Fortune

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How Japan replaced France as the country young Americans obsessively romanticize—they’re longing for civility

America used to be the archetypal “soft power” country, but sushi, anime, and a different way of life place it in the land of the rising sun for Gen Z.

Fortune

'Some form of crisis is almost inevitable': The $38 trillion national debt will soon be growing faster than the U.S. economy itself, watchdog warns

"The United States is deeply indebted, and its finances are on an unsustainable long-term trajectory," says the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Fortune

Why the $38 trillion national debt doomed Fed independence regardless of the Trump/Powell drama, top economist says

“The reason markets didn’t react more is because we already wrecked the independence of the Fed,” said Tyler Cowen, economist and blogger extraordinaire.

Fortune

Scott Bessent calls the Giving Pledge well-intentioned but ‘very amorphous,’ growing from ‘a panic among the billionaire class’

“When you see that people have a stake in the system, they don’t want to bring the system down,” the Treasury secretary argued at the DealBook Summit.

Fortune

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K-shaped economy and 'collective holding of breath' about the AI bubble both appear in Fed’s temperature check

The latest "Beige Book" describes a widening gap between America’s social classes, with “early signs of strain on middle-income consumers.”

Fortune

Cathie Wood Pushes Back On Bubble Narrative, Says AI Boom 'Has Just Begun' And We're In The 'First Inning'

Investor and CEO of Ark Invest, Cathie Wood, has pushed back against claims of an unsustainable bubble in the AI and crypto markets, saying that the current liquidity strain is temporary and poised to reverse course soon.

Benzinga

Analyst who called the dot-com bubble says Americans are turning a deaf ear to AI warnings—and a worse meltdown than 2008 looms

“Generally, when you're gripped by a bubble, people just don’t want to listen because they’re making so much money,” warns Albert Edwards.

Fortune

The analyst who once predicted the ‘end of capitalism’ sees Zohran Mamdani’s election as a ‘day of reckoning coming in’—and corporates only have themselves to blame

Albert Edwards says Zohran Mamdani’s policies are “lunacy,” but big companies “laid the seeds for their own destruction.”

Fortune

Top analyst who once feared 'the end of capitalism' rips French and British boomers for sabotaging Gen Z futures

"Inter-generational tension is not just because boomers have got rich from QE driving asset prices higher, especially housing," Albert Edwards wrote on LinkedIn.

Fortune

Fear of a tariff ‘Trumpcession’ puts pressure on Bank and Fed over interest rates

A trade war could push up inflation when both the UK and US economies really need cheaper borrowing. So what’s a central bank to do?

The Guardian - UK

Trump versus the bond market: president-elect’s campaign rhetoric puts investors on edge

Some analysts fear ballooning federal debt and a bullish stock market means ‘something will surely snap’

The Guardian - UK

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Fortune

BlackRock’s bond guru Rick Rieder says the Fed’s favorite inflation firefighting strategy is failing—‘the private sector has become a creditor now’

“It’s ambiguous to me today, at best, whether a higher [interest] rate helps bring down inflation versus actually contributes to it,” Rick Rieder told Fortune.

Fortune

17,000-company study of COVID greedflation shows most profited from cost-of-living crisis

Businesses saw their profit margins spike by 30% compared with the pre-COVID period, stoking claims of profiteering by big firms.

Fortune

There's a 'silver lining' to China's 'deflationary cloud'—they can 'export' lower prices to the West in a win-win scenario, according to Société Générale's Albert Edwards

“The ‘West’ wants lower inflation, while China (and Japan) wants higher inflation. There is a deal to be done and maybe all parties can benefit," Edwards wrote.

Fortune

‘Greedflation’ study finds many companies were lying to you about inflation

Companies like Exxon Mobil, Shell, and Kraft Heinz enjoyed bumper profits as consumers struggled with historic inflation.

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Fortune

Forget about that hot GDP report—small companies are being ‘garroted’ by the ‘7 Fed Horsemen of the Apocalypse,’ top strategist warns

Société Générale’s Albert Edwards believes “greedflation” boosted pandemic profits, but now that’s over, and AI optimism isn’t enough to stave off a collapse.

Fortune

Top strategist sees ‘echoes of the 1987 crash’ in today’s stock market. ‘All you can do is brace yourself and hope for the best'

Société Générale’s Albert Edwards said that while some economists are expecting a soft landing his “view is that a recession still lurks.”

Fortune

America has avoided a recession. But don’t thank the Fed—thank the corporate sector, says top strategist

"It is indeed a mad, mad world," says Société Générale's Albert Edwards. “What on earth is going on? Something very strange has happened…”

Fortune

Corporate ‘greedflation’ could lead to a ‘deeper for longer’ recession, top investment bank strategist warns

Greedflation may force the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates “higher for longer” to fight inflation, pushing the economy into recession.

Fortune

Record revenues but plummeting profits: The Fortune 500 is trying to tell us something about the state of the economy

Fortune 500 companies generated record revenues of $18.1 trillion last year, but profits tanked roughly 15%. Here's why that happened and what it means for the economy.

Fortune

‘We may be looking at the end of capitalism’: One of the world’s oldest and largest investment banks warns ‘Greedflation’ has gone too far

Albert Edwards, an economist at the 159-year-old investment bank Société Générale, says corporate greed may call for the unthinkable: Price controls.

The Guardian - UK

What’s Next for Britain? Simon Wolfson’s prediction isn’t cheery

Share price fell 13% after CEO’s warning worst is to come, but scale of uncertainty makes precise projections impossible

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