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The Latest Breaking News from RealClearPolitics

Polling in the age of Trump highlights flawed methods and filtered realities

The results of the 2024 presidential election cement a trend in American politics: Polls cannot accurately gauge support for Donald Trump. In the 2016, 2020 and now 2024 elections, polls consistently underestimated Trump’s support by an average of 2.3 percentage points.

The Conversation

Better but not stellar: Pollsters faced familiar complaints, difficulties in assessing Trump-Harris race

An oracle erred badly. The most impressive results were turned in by a little-known company in Brazil. A nagging problem reemerged, and some media critics turned profane in their assessments.

The Conversation

Kamala Harris now leads in US polls but state-level data puts race on knife-edge

Analysis of 2024 polling and previous elections involving Donald Trump suggests race is still too close to call

The Guardian - UK

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Trump creeps past Harris in new betting odds as election hits final stretch

Betting odds for Donald Trump surpassed Kamala Harris on Labor Day

The Independent UK

Heritage Foundation president delays release of new book after Project 2025 backlash

Kevin Roberts says he’s delaying book release until after election to ‘fight like hell to take back our country’

The Independent UK

Biden team eyes expanding map to Texas, Florida despite Trump leads

President Biden's reelection campaign is targeting not only key swing states, but also Trump strongholds like Florida and Texas.

Roll Call

Americans Unhappy With Politicians They'll Soon Vote Back Into Office

Congress and the leading presidential candidates are wildly unpopular. But don’t expect new faces.

Reason

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Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 23, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 17, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 9, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 20, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 12, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 6, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 28, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

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news in one place.

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Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 14, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 7, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Zenger

Joe Biden, Donald Trump Lead Respective Presidential Primary Polling Averages And PredictIt Markets

As of Oct. 31, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 31, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Get all your
news in one place.

100’s of premium titles.
One news app.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 24, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 17, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Every local ballot measure in Virginia on November 7

Welcome to the Monday, October 16, 2023, Brew.

Ballotpedia

Nikki Haley has the second-highest share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market

As of October 11, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 3, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022

As of Sept. 26, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022

As of Sept. 19, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

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