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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

‘Never had data that looks this good’: Team Trump super confident heading into campaign’s final week

The former president often tells supporters he is ‘leading’ in polls and swing states - but the numbers remain deadlocked with only a week to go

The Independent UK

Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were always a form of popular entertainment with a checkered record of accuracy

Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Their collective performance four years ago was their worst since 1980.

Fortune

Polymarket Whale Bets $2M On Trump's 67% Election Odds

With the U.S. election just days away, several mysterious whales have popped up on the blockchain prediction market.

International Business Times

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Exclusive: Prediction market Kalshi launches crypto deposits as Trump maintains big lead on betting sites

Kalshi still lags behind Polymarket, the offshore leader among electoral betting markets.

Fortune

Robinhood wants a piece of the prediction markets pie: Users can now bet on who will win the presidential election

In recent weeks, prediction markets have shifted heavily in favor of Donald Trump, while voter polls show him tied with Kamala Harris.

Fortune

Georgia: A Key Battleground State Trump Widely Leads On Polymarket – Can Harris Flip It?

Georgia is one of the most significant swing states in this year's elections, particularly because of the shock flip voters delivered for Joe Biden in 2020, ending a nearly 30-year victory spree by Republican presidents in the Peach States.

International Business Times

A French whale has bet $45 million on a Trump win so far. Who is this?

The trader has made hundreds of gambles in favor of Trump and against Kamala Harris.

Fortune

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Remember, you don't have to wait for election results to profit from presidential bets

Traders on presidential election prediction markets can close their positions by holding them until settlement or cashing them in early.

Fortune

Polymarket says one French whale is responsible for the lion's share of bets on a Trump win, to the tune of $28 million worth of crypto

Four accounts owned by one French national have poured $35 million into the prediction market, and they’re all betting on Donald Trump to win the 2024 election.

Fortune

Here’s why you shouldn’t put your faith - or money - on election betting markets

Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn’t stopped people from making wagers

The Independent UK

Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling

Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market.

Fortune

Investor Mark Cuban Says Polymarket Results Don't Really Indicate Anything – Is He Right?

Polymarket is a popular go-to for crypto users when they want to put their money on their views about the upcoming elections, but for Mark Cuban, the event contracts' numbers don't really indicate anything regarding the elections.

International Business Times

Donald Trump’s odds of winning the White House are now higher than they were before he debated Joe Biden

Polymarket gave Trump a 64.1 percent chance of winning while Harris had a 35.9 percent chance of winning

The Independent UK

Polymarket bets tilt toward a Trump victory—but how accurate is it?

Polymarket odds offer a useful gauge for predicting the upcoming election, but there are significant caveats.

Fortune

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International Business Times

Candidates Ignoring Crypto Risk Losing A Growing, Informed Voter Base: Ripple CEO

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes that U.S. voters care about crypto and want policies to drive innovation and he believes candidates who ignore the industry risk losing a key voter base.

International Business Times

Mark Cuban On Election: 'It's The Harris Campaign Versus Elon'

The Kamala Harris supporter says the election is coming down to voter turnout.

International Business Times

Arizona: The Rising Swing State Leaning Trump So Far On Polymarket

Polymarket bettors believe Trump has higher chances of taking Arizona in this year's elections, but Harris still has a chance, given the state's battleground status that may all boil down to two key demographics.

International Business Times

$30 Million In Polymarket 'Voodoo' Bets Favoring Trump May Be Work Of One Wealthy Backer

The wagers placed by four anonymous accounts shifted the odds from even to 60-40 for the Republican nominee

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The Independent UK

‘That’s a good thing for democracy’: Is gambling making politics fun?

Is election betting good fun, civic engagement, or a threat to democracy itself? asks Josh Marcus

Fortune

A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor

Polymarket’s “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market showed bettors giving Trump a whopping 60.3% chance of winning.

The Independent UK

Four mystery accounts dished out $30 million of crypto on bets that Trump will win White House

‘There’s strong reason to believe they are the same entity,’ a crypto expert said

International Business Times

Republican Sweep More Likely In 2024 US Elections: Polymarket Bettors

With less than three weeks left before the elections, Polymarket bettors are rushing to get their predictions in as they pushed the Republican Party's chances of a sweep in Congress after the general elections.

International Business Times

Trump Takes Nevada, Now Leads Harris In All Swing States: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump is now ahead of Kamala Harris in all six swing states being monitored by Polymarket, marking the first time the ex-president has taken the lead in all battleground states since his race with the vice president started.

International Business Times

Trump Sets Record High Lead Over Harris, Ties Nevada: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump has just logged his largest lead over Kamala Harris on Polymarket's event contract for the presidential elections – he also tied Nevada, the remaining swing state on the platform that Harris previously led.

Fortune

Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets—an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims

More than $1.9 billion in crypto has been wagered on this presidential election on Polymarket. Here's why that matters

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