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The Latest Breaking News from Kevin Bonham

Will Australia’s opinion polls be more accurate in 2022 than at the last election?

Polling companies have introduced new techniques since they failed to predict Scott Morrison’s 2019 election win. Now they anxiously wait to see if they have worked

The Guardian - AU

Trade unions back Local Party's Leanne Minshull for Senate, in break with tradition

Trade unions back Local Party's Leanne Minshull for Senate, in break with tradition

In a break with tradition, several trade unions in Tasmania are backing the lead candidate of a newly founded political party over Labor for the Senate.

Upper House elections in Huon, Elwick and McIntyre this weekend for Tasmanians

Upper House elections in Huon, Elwick and McIntyre this weekend for Tasmanians

It is escaping everyone's attention, but there is another election taking place in Tasmania's south-east — the battle to enter the state's Upper House.

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

inkl

Race for the Senate: could Labor and the Greens gain control?

As well as the whole House of Representatives, 40 of the 76 Senate seats will be up for election on May 21. There are 12 senators per state and two per territory. At half-Senate elections, six senators for each state and the four territory senators are up for election. Unless…

The Conversation

Labor still has clear lead in Newspoll and Resolve, but Albanese’s ratings slump

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 14-17 from a sample of 1,510, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged since last week. Primary votes were 36% Labor (down one), 35% Coalition (down one), 12% Greens (up two), 4% One Nation (up one), 4% UAP (steady) and 9% for all Others (down one).

The Conversation

Who is behind Tasmanian Liberal Eric Abetz's 'below-the-line' Senate re-election campaign?

Six years after he called a colleague's election campaign urging people to vote below the line destabilising, Eric Abetz's supporters are doing exactly that.

Senate race heats up as minor parties, independents wrestle over who might hold balance of power

As Australians head to the polls, some high-profile senators, including One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson and Liberal Eric Abetz, are in the fight for their political lives.

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Tasmania has 'a habit' of large seat swings, and this election won't be any different, experts say

Tasmania has 'a habit' of large seat swings, and this election won't be any different, experts say

The marginal Tasmanian electorates of Bass, Braddon and Lyons are likely to get plenty of visits from federal politicians over the six weeks before the election.

As the election campaign begins, what do the polls say, and can we trust them this time?

As the election campaign begins, what do the polls say, and can we trust them this time?

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has called the federal election for May 21. What do the polls say, and how do we know if they are accurate?

The Conversation

Gains for Labor in three post-budget polls, as budget has weak response compared with historical record

Gains for Labor in three post-budget polls, as budget has weak response compared with historical record

The polls presented here are in addition to Monday’s Newspoll (54-46 to Labor) and Ipsos (55-45 to Labor), which I covered here.

The Conversation

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