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The Latest Breaking News from Kevin Bonham

Libs make first pitch to kingmakers in race to govern

A Liberal leader has made his first play to form government with balance-of-power independents after a state election that delivered another hung parliament.

AAP

Snap poll likely to deliver independents' day 2.0

All signs point to another hung parliament in a state heading to its fourth election in the space of seven years.

AAP

2 polls have Tasmania headed for another hung parliament, but disagree on which party is ahead

Two Tasmanian state polls imply another hung parliament at the July 19 election under Tasmania’s proportional system. In one of these polls, Labor leads the Liberals, while in the other the Liberals lead.

The Conversation

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Labor gains a Senate seat from the Liberals in South Australia, while Jacqui Lambie is re-elected

Buttons have been pressed to electronically distribute preferences for the Senate in South Australia, Tasmania and the Northern Territory. Labor gained a seat from the Liberals in SA, with the other two unchanged. There’s also been further counting in close lower house seats.

The Conversation

Attacks on Australia’s preferential voting system are ludicrous. We can be proud of it

It’s been argued the election would have had a different outcome with first-past-the-post voting. I cannot overstate how unsound this assumption is

The Guardian - AU

Sarah Witty v Adam Bandt: how an unlikely Labor champion took down a Greens giant

Melbourne was barely on the ALP’s radar as a seat it could win – but a sparsely funded campaign proved powerful

The Guardian - AU

Two ministers face the axe from Albanese's top team

Senior ministers are on the chopping block as Labor's factional powerbrokers carve up cabinet positions following a dominant federal election victory.

AAP

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Independent zest also poses test for 'complacent' Labor

Despite a landslide election victory, Labor could soon lose its grip on historic heartlands as analysts suggest Australian voters are feeling taken for granted.

AAP

Status quo or a salmon revolution? Anything could happen in Tasmania’s five crucial seats

Labor and the Liberals each hold one seat by a tiny margin and one more comfortably. But none is a sure thing – and a long-shot independent is aiming for a huge upset

The Guardian - AU

Clive Palmer claims how-to-vote cards ‘interfered with’ after backlash over teal preferences

Billionaire says it wasn’t the first time Trumpet of Patriots operations have been ‘hacked’ – without providing evidence to support claims

The Guardian - AU

Budging Labor incumbents huge task even for Muslim Vote

Support of Muslim political groups won't be enough to get independents over the line against entrenched senior Labor figures without a Liberal preference deal.

AAP

Labor and Albanese end 2024 in worst poll position this term

A national Essential poll , conducted December 11–15 from a sample of 1,151, gave the Coalition a 48–47 lead including undecided, unchanged from the late November Essential poll. Primary votes were 35% Coalition (steady), 30% Labor (down two), 13% Greens (up two), 6% One Nation (down two), 1% UAP (steady),…

The Conversation

Stage set for teal challenge in blue-ribbon seat of Bradfield as Paul Fletcher resigns

Moderate faction to rally behind Gisele Kapterian, a Salesforce executive and former Liberal staffer, in the North Sydney seat to combat independent Nicolette Boele

The Guardian - AU

Despite a dire poll result, Labor isn’t panicking – it’s all still to play for in 2025

While plenty of voters feel worse off than in 2022, they aren’t convinced the Coalition will do any better

The Guardian - AU

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The Conversation

US presidential election remains very close; late counting in Australian elections

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.6–47.4, a gain for Trump since last Wednesday, when Harris led by 48.8–47.2. Harris’ national lead peaked on October 2, when she led…

The Conversation

LNP wins Queensland election, likely with a clear majority

With 45% of enrolled voters counted in today’s Queensland state election, The Poll Bludger’s results have the Liberal National Party (LNP) winning 38 of the 93 seats, Labor 26, Katter’s Australian Party (KAP) three and independents one.

The Canberra Times

How preference flows will determine the final make up of the next Assembly

The election is over, but there's lots to be done to work out MLAs.

The Conversation

Labor retains office at ACT election; US presidential election remains on a knife’s edge

The Labor Party has won a seventh consecutive ACT election.

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The Conversation

Labor and Albanese gain in post-budget Newspoll, but other polls don’t look as rosy

A national Newspoll, conducted after the May 14 budget from a sample of over 1,200 people, gave Labor a 52–48% lead over the Coalition, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll four weeks ago.

The Guardian - AU

Coalition hopes to exorcise the ghost of Scott Morrison as Cook goes to the polls

Byelection in the south Sydney seat expected to be won by Liberal candidate Simon Kennedy as AEC warns voter turnout could be low

AAP

Liberal candidate wins by-election for ex-PM's seat

A by-election to decide who replaces former prime minister Scott Morrison as the federal member for Cook has been won by fellow Liberal Simon Kennedy.

AAP

Tasmanian voters seemingly unmoved by electioneering

Tasmanians will head to the polls on March 23 but it remains to be seen if campaigning by the major parties has swayed voters.

AAP

Cast your votes, close elections on the cards in 2024

Voters in Qld, the ACT and the NT will head to the polls in 2024, with a tight by-election contest in a federal Victorian seat also taking place.

The Conversation

Extra senators for ACT and NT will benefit left but increase malapportionment

The Poll Bludger has summarised the final report of the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters (JSCEM) that was released Monday. The most contentious recommendation is that the number of senators for both the ACT and the Northern Territory be increased from two to four.

The Guardian - AU

What the final polls are telling us: majority intends to vote no in voice referendum

There is no sign of a trend back to a yes vote, which has an estimated 41.5% support nationally – but needs to be closer to 53%

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