The Latest Breaking News from Spy

Sometime last year, I presented a theory that this is probably the most unusual time in economic and financial history due to the pandemic, shutdowns, stimulus, war, etc. It's made a mockery of many forecasters who were late in recognizing the inflation threat, underestimated the economy's resilience in 2020 and…

Determining bear market bottom is much easier in hindsight than doing it in real time. That's because the stock market (SPY) offers up many impressive bounces that give the illusion of the worst being over...just before you drop to even lower lows. So price action is a tricky way to…

The S&P 500 (SPY) has bounced with gusto this week. Maybe the bear market is not here to stay? Ha! Don't make me laugh. This is just one in a long line of "suckers rallies" before the next leg lower. The reasons why are spelled out below in this week's…

When most people hear the sirens of the bear market they run for cover in cash. But is that the smartest idea when inflation is over 8% and your cash accounts still pay virtually nothing? (That was a rhetorical question). Gladly there is a better way to carve out profits…

The main question of bull or bear market has been answered quite loudly this week. BEAR!!! That is because we have spent 5 straight sessions in bear market territory, with the S&P 500 (SPY) dropping below 3,855. Now more investors are getting the memo and running for the exits at…

In last week's commentary, we noted that the S&P 500 (SPY) had been range-bound, but that "it may be prudent to pare back on risk and exposure" due to signs of weakness like rising credit spreads and a weakening growth outlook. However, I didn't anticipate the speed and intensity of…

The bear market is here. Let there be no doubt about that. Now we need to explore how low the S&P 500 (SPY) will go in the months ahead along with a trading plan to outperform. (Hint: Shorting stocks is #1 on the list of things to do). 40 year…

Some investors are into growth stocks...some prefer value stocks while others are into momentum, income, chart patterns, insider trading and more. But one area that most investors agree upon is the great appeal in buying low priced stocks. Like those under $10 given the potential that prices soar and you…

The S&P 500 (SPY) has had a strong thrust higher from very oversold levels in late May, and we've enjoyed some nice gains. Since then, we've trended sideways in a relatively tight range. This makes sense as the CPI report is coming on Friday and is expected to reveal whether…