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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Higher pay demands might just tip us into recession

City Voices: In theory, a rise in earnings is a good sign of a healthy economy. So why all the worries about wage growth?

Evening Standard

UK economy in ‘horrible bind’ as recession looms with no room for tax cuts, say experts

Britain in for ‘protracted period of high taxes and tight spending’, says Institute for Fiscal Studies

The Independent UK

UK economy in ‘horrible’ bind with no room for tax cuts as recession looms – IFS

Britain is heading towards a recession next year as borrowing costs stay elevated, the IFS warned in its latest Green Budget.

The Independent UK

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Long-term interest rates are spiking. Could they deliver a recession–or are they a sign of strength for the U.S. economy?

Rather than being vetoed by bond markets, policymakers are seeking higher rates–and getting what they want.

Fortune

Full force of interest rate hikes is yet to be felt, says Bank of England official

Swati Dhingra says economy has flatlined and millions of mostly young and poorer people could be affected if rates stay high

The Guardian - UK

US inflation sticks at 3.7%; UK recession fears linger despite August growth; Ikea to cut prices – as it happened

UK services sector lifts economy back to growth in August, but BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra warns that economy is flatlining

The Guardian - UK

Worried About a Recession? Protect Your Portfolio With These 3 Resilient Stocks

With geopolitical tensions rising, here are three stocks from different sectors that have the ability to weather this storm.

Barchart

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What is a yield curve?

The yield curve is a graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities. It shows the relationship between the interest rate (or cost of borrowing) and the time to maturity of the debt.

USAFacts

Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s-style

“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today's market than the 2008 housing crash,” BofA economists said.

Fortune

US economy added 336,000 jobs in September surpassing expectations

Data comes as central bank seeks to guide the US economy to ‘soft landing’ to avoid a recession

The Guardian - US

JPMorgan’s top strategist warns stocks could be about to plummet 20%. ‘I’m not sure how we’re going to avoid’ a recession

“The upside versus downside in stocks is not that great,” according to Marko Kolanovic.

Fortune

Texas will have an $18.6 billion surplus and avoid a recession, comptroller projects

The updated comptroller’s report raises the amount of revenue available to the state over the 2024-25 cycle to $194.6 billion.

The Texas Tribune

Rising long-term interest rates are posing the latest threat to a US economic 'soft landing'

Surging interest rates are intensifying the challenges for the U.S. economy and threatening to derail the Federal Reserve’s drive to tame inflation without causing a deep recession

The Independent UK

Top strategist sees ‘echoes of the 1987 crash’ in today’s stock market. ‘All you can do is brace yourself and hope for the best'

Société Générale’s Albert Edwards said that while some economists are expecting a soft landing his “view is that a recession still lurks.”

Fortune

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Zenger

Cryptocurrencies Slide As Housing Concerns Mount

Higher interest rates and potential recession fears drive major crypto market decline

The Guardian - UK

Central banks ‘risk global recession unless they relax 2% inflation targets’

Economic arm of UN says pro-growth stance needed, with interest rate rises increasing inequality

StockNews.com

These 2 Stocks are Both Clean and Green

Recession is imminent, no recession on the horizon, a soft landing…or small recession…has been the constant and contradictory litany flowing from Wall Street the past year. The combination of interest rates and oil both spiking recently certainly lends credence to some form of recession in 2024. Stocks that have some…

WEKU

Janet Yellen says a government shutdown would add to risks of a recession

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is sounding the alarm about the damage a government shutdown could do to the U.S. economy. "It's really reckless and will impose immediate harm," Yellen told NPR.

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Barchart

The Yield Curve is Inverted, When Does the Recession Begin?

Recessions can be challenging to predict, and experts use economic data and trends to make informed judgments about when a recession has begun or is likely to occur. But why predict when a consistent pattern ultimately illustrates when a recession starts?

Fortune

Morgan Stanley’s chief investor says the market is stuck in ‘purgatory’ as everyone awaits a recession or rebound in growth

Mike Wilson fears that investors have become overly optimistic after so many 'erroneous' recession predictions, and more stock market pain is coming.

Zenger

Experts Downplay Immediate Recession Risk Amid Potential Government Shutdown

Short-term impact expected, but prolonged shutdown could dampen growth and hinder Biden's re-election chances

Fortune

Deutsche Bank studied 34 past U.S. recessions to identify key warning signs and found that all 4 are flashing red right now

Based on a study of the U.S. economy since 1854, Deutsche Bank created “hit ratios” that show how often key macroeconomic triggers have caused recessions.

Barchart

3 Recession-Proof Stocks to Buy Now

Some recent economic data points have revived recession fears, sending equities sharply lower this September. Here are 3 recession-proof stocks that conservative investors can consider now.

Fortune

The economist who’s been predicting a recession for 18 months says the ‘litmus test’ is finally here, especially with oil headed toward $100 a barrel

David Rosenberg said the current situation with the economy is like trying to cancel winter just because it didn’t snow in December. “It hasn’t materialized, dot dot dot, yet.”

The Conversation

Why central banks should stop raising interest rates

Mortgage borrowers breathed a sign of relief following a recent pause in the Bank of England’s 14-month campaign of base rate hikes.

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