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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Economic pessimists’ bet on a 2023 recession failed. Why are they doubling down in 2024?

Despite the economy’s strength, there remains a reluctance to recognize a soft landing.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs’s chief economist says the market may be getting ahead of itself on rate cuts—and decreases won’t come as soon as people hope

"The risk of recession is, in my view, quite low. We're at 15% in the next 12 months."

Fortune

Fed is set to leave interest rates unchanged while facing speculation about eventual rate cuts

With inflation edging closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, its policymakers are facing — and in some cases fueling — hopes that they will make a decisive shift in policy and cut interest rates next year, possibly as soon as spring

The Independent UK

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A 'soft landing' or a recession? How each one might affect America's households and businesses

The solid hiring revealed in Friday’s jobs report for November, along with a raft of other recent economic data, is boosting hopes that the U.S. economy will achieve a “soft landing” next year rather than a widely feared recession

The Independent UK

Unemployment rate drops to 3.7%, and experts say it’s another ‘soft landing’ signal that will leave the Fed in limbo

“The recession that seemed so inevitable at the end of 2022 still hasn’t arrived and may not come anytime soon,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of the Independent Advisor Alliance.

Fortune

U.S. Economy Forecast 2024: Will There Be a Recession or a ‘Soft Landing’?

For over a year now, economists have been predicting a recession. Here's the updated 2024 forecast for the U.S. economy, and why a recession does not look likely - at least, not for now.

Barchart

Is A Recession Looming? Two Big Bank CEOs See It That Way

Recession is likely, Citi's CEO told a Senate panel today, a sentiment echoed by JP Morgan's chief executive last week.

Kiplinger

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Ditch the rose-coloured glasses: Australia’s GDP is going backwards

We have now had three consecutive quarters of falling GDP on a per capita basis. That last happened 40 years ago during the 1982-83 recession

The Guardian - AU

VERY Healthy Stock Rotation Underway

The S&P 500 (SPY) is putting the finishing touches on a strong 2023 campaign. This is the 4th straight year the large cap index has outperformed small and mid caps. Gladly there are signs this is going to change which is a very healthy sign for the longevity of this…

StockNews.com

Corporate America's hiring spree is cooling—economists say we should all take that as a good sign

U.S. job openings dropped to a 32-month low in October, but Indeed Hiring Lab’s director of economic research says the “report should bring abundant holiday cheer.”

Fortune

The Earnings Recession Is Over

The year-long earnings recession ended in the third quarter, but analysts are increasingly concerned about Q4.

Kiplinger

Economists predict US inflation will keep cooling and the economy can avoid a recession

A survey shows most business economists think the U.S. economy could avoid a recession next year, even if the job market ends up weakening under pressure brought by high interest rates

The Independent UK

Central Banks Risk Tipping UK and Other Developed Countries Into Recession

The report highlights the risk of a vicious cycle, where low interest rates fail to stimulate meaningful economic growth and cause a recession.

International Business Times UK

Central banks ‘risk tipping UK and other developed countries into recession’

Stance on inflation poses threat to ‘soft landing’ forecast for global economy, says OECD

The Guardian - UK

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The Independent UK

Sweden's economy shrinks in the third quarter to signal that a recession may have hit the country

Sweden’s economy shrank in the third quarter of 2023 to mark the second time of contraction and signal that a recession may have hit the country

StockNews.com

Upside Potential for This Bull Market?

The S&P 500 (SPY) is flirting with new highs once again. Thus a good time to ponder the upside potential for stocks into year end and then what is likely on tap in 2024. That is exactly what investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares in the commentary below including a preview…

Fortune

It's the spendiest season of the year—but half of Americans are buckling down to save for a safety net

It's a sign they're still unhappy with the economy.

International Business Times

Consumer Confidence Recovers After Three Months Of Declines

Consumer expectations for future conditions still remain at a level that indicates a recession next year.

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Fortune

13 inflation-proof stocks to buy for 2024

These companies are poised to ride the AI boom and protect investors from the impact of higher interest rates.

Fortune

Late 2023 recession off a 'classic policy-led boom-bust cycle' is already happening, Deutsche Bank says—but AI is changing the game a bit

“We think our narrative still holds,” Deutsche Bank economists warned Monday, arguing the mild recession is already “materializing.”

Kiplinger

How To Use Sector Rotation In Investing

Anticipating turns in the economy through sector rotation can pay off for nimble investors.

Chicago Sun-Times

Chicago Fed prez Austan Goolsbee sees ‘golden path’ toward lower inflation without recession

The head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, says the economy appears headed to a “soft landing” in which inflation returns to the Fed’s 2% target without an economic crash.

Fortune

RE/MAX chairman on his 8th housing recession and settling out of the $1.8 billion antitrust verdict: ‘I’ve never seen this before in my career’

Dave Liniger on what will happen to real-estate commissions after the bombshell antitrust verdict: “I wish I could tell you; I have no idea.”

The Guardian - UK

Hollywood ending unlikely for Jeremy Hunt, with progress on economy slow

Chancellor is upbeat but there is little chance of autumn statement changing voter perceptions of Tory plan

The Independent UK

Winter recession fears as retail sales hit lowest level since lockdown due to cost of living and wet weather

Economists said the figures painted ‘a distinctly glum autumnal picture’

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