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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

Strong initial claims data is evidence that a recession in 2023 is looking less likely, many economists say.

Fortune

UK house prices tumble 4.6% in year to August; pound at lowest since June – as it happened

UK house prices are falling at fastest pace since 2009 on annual basis, reports Halifax, down in every region

The Guardian - UK

Australia’s economy has got smaller on a per capita basis – like it did in the GFC and 1990s recession. So, you know, not good

We now have GDP that is growing only due to population growth and even then only due to government spending

The Guardian - AU

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Pound hits three-month low as Bank of England governor predicts ‘quite marked’ fall in inflation – as it happened

Governor Andrew Bailey tells MPs that BoE is “much nearer” to ending its run of interest rates increases

The Guardian - UK

The odds of a recession are now just 15% because fading inflation and a strong labor market are changing the equation, Goldman Sachs says

Positive inflation and labor data has prompted Goldman Sachs' chief economist to rethink the probability of a recession in the next 12 months.

Fortune

London is a major reason for the UK's inequality problem. Unfortunately, City leaders don't want to talk about it

In recent years, there has been growing evidence that the UK economy is in poor shape. While the latest economic figures suggest it performed better as the COVID pandemic receded than was previously reported, the performance of sectors such as manufacturing, construction and agriculture has been revised downwards, leading some…

The Conversation

UK’s growth is a silver lining – and the clouds suggest recession looms

The chancellor says the economy is resilient but forward-looking indicators suggest otherwise

The Guardian - UK

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Are your parkrun times getting slower? Just blame it on the economy

Research into the Saturday 5k events reveals the over-50s run faster in recessions

The Guardian - UK

Jobs are up, wages less so – and lower purchasing power could still lead the US into a recession

Don’t be overly fooled by seemingly rosy jobs data heading into the Labor Day weekend.

The Conversation

UK on recession alert after big falls in factory output and house prices

Signs of distress from very different parts of economy will add to Bank of England’s dilemma over interest rates

The Guardian - UK

Central banks will push economies into recession, says Hunt adviser

Signs of weakness needed before monetary policy is eased in west, says strategist advising chancellor

The Guardian - UK

A recession might have been simpler than what awaits the U.S. economy

The Fed tamed inflation without also sparking a recession, but dangers still loom.

Fortune

Should You Buy the Dip on This Luxury Retail Stock?

LVMH stock just corrected, but the pains could intensify as the typically resilient luxury goods firm feels the heat of a downturn among aspirational consumers.

Barchart

Are Carnival (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Worth Investing in Despite Solid Growth and Momentum?

The cruise industry might remain under pressure amid elevated interest rates and lingering recession fears. Therefore, cruise line stocks Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) might be best avoided despite solid growth and momentum. Read on.

StockNews.com

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Fortune

We gave 2 groups of American voters opposite scenarios for the U.S. economy and asked them about the culture wars. No one cared about ‘wokeness’ in case of a recession

If the economy stays strong, Democrats are poised to meet Americans where they are. If not, Republicans can't continue to talk about woke when we are broke.

The Independent UK

Hopeful signs of an economic 'soft landing' emerge in Jackson Hole as Fed meets with world watching

Business these days in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is still good — just not as robust as it was after the U.S. economy roared out of the pandemic recession

The Guardian - UK

UK on recession alert amid slump in private sector activity

Poor performance in services industry and manufacturing is mirrored in eurozone

The National (Scotland)

UK facing 'heightened recession risks' as private sector suffers shock decline

AN economist has warned the UK is facing “heightened recession risks” after the private sector suffered a shock downturn in August.

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The Independent UK

Recession fears grow as UK business activity shrinks

August sees a sharp downturn – one of the ‘steepest contractions’ since the 2008 global financial crisis

Evening Standard

Recession fears grow and interest rate expectations decline after surprise slump in output

Upon seeing the data, City markets immediately discounted the likelihood of a half-point ‘jumbo hike’ from the Bank of England next month

The Independent UK

Surprisingly durable US economy poses key question: Are we facing higher-for-longer interest rates?

A year ago, Chair Jerome Powell warned that to fight high inflation, the Federal Reserve would continue to sharply raise interest rates, bringing “some pain” in the form of job losses and weaker economic growth

StockNews.com

Who Wins the Battle Over 4,400?

How low will stocks go? That is the question on everyone’s mind as the recent highs for the S&P 500 (SPY) seem like a distant memory as stocks have been going the wrong direction for the entirety of August. Investment expert Steve Reitmeister the causes of the recent sell off…

Fortune

The experience-hungry American consumer is already crashing the economy into a 'rolling recession,' Oxford Economics says

“Instead of a typical recession, it's possible the economy will fall into – or in fact is already in – a 'rolling' recession,” Oren Klachkin, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, wrote Tuesday.

Fortune

The costs of extreme heat, at least $100B a year, will rise to staggering levels, says the former Fed economist who’s so influential they named a recession indicator after her

The cost of heat to the U.S. economy could more than triple in less than 20 years, hitting manual laborers hardest.

Fortune

Just 8% of CFOs strongly believe a recession is coming in the next six months

Companies in the U.S. are shifting from defense to offense, according to PwC.

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