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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

On Polymarket, ‘privileged’ users made millions betting on war strikes and diplomatic strategy. What did they know beforehand?

The prediction market’s disciples and CEO believe its an unbiased way of knowing the future. But experts warn users could reshape the world to win big

The Guardian - US

Betting on politics is the new game: More than $200M on wagers increases fears of insider trading

Many of the bets, which have been criticized as unethical, revolve around the actions of the US and Donald Trump

The Independent UK

Inside the world of Rick Rieder, the $2.3 trillion insomniac who might soon run the Fed

Rick Rieder oversees roughly $2.3 trillion in fixed income at BlackRock. His obsession with risk has made him a market legend—and a surprise Fed chair contender.

Fortune

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read the most diverse news in one place.

Kristi Noem sees odds of being fired spike on Polymarket in wake of Alex Pretti shooting

Homeland Security secretary sparked fury by claiming against all visible evidence that Pretti had ‘violently’ attacked federal agents in Minneapolis

The Independent UK

Prediction markets can take bets on outlandish events that ‘get laundered into legitimacy,’ Gen Z’s favorite economic commentator warns

“Legitimacy increasingly flows to whoever processes uncertainty first. Markets have optimized for speed. Democracy has been designed for deliberation.”

Fortune

Americans are now betting on winter storm totals on Polymarket and Kalshi

A winter storm is expected to disrupt the U.S. this weekend — and some people could make a few extra bucks.

Axios

ICE vs Coinbase: The Race for Dominance in a 24/7 Market

Intercontinental Exchange and Coinbase are aggressively building the infrastructure required to dominate the emerging era of continuous global asset trading.

MarketBeat

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Wall Street is once again banking on the TACO trade because they've been 'burned' by believing Trump before

At the time of writing, only 17% of Polymarket bettors believe all the tariffs Trump has threatened against Europe will go into effect on Feb. 1. A further minority of 40% believe any tariffs will go into effect in a fortnight’s time.

Fortune

Suspicious Polymarket Bet Sparks Fears of US Strike on Iran

A sudden spike in Polymarket bets on a US strike against Iran sparks fear and speculation of insider knowledge, unsettling markets worldwide.

International Business Times UK

Crypto betting site Polymarket under fire for taking direct wagers on wars

In recent weeks the popular crypto-based betting market has added multiple contracts that allow users to gamble on potential geopolitical events

The Independent UK

All The Golden Globes BTS Tea, From Celebs Breaking Rules To Kylie Jenner’s Name Card

Go behind the 2026 Golden Globes telecast for all the off-camera chaos: backstage fires, missing awards & Swift-adjacent drama,

Pedestrian.tv

An anonymous Polymarket trader made $400,000 betting on Maduro’s downfall—and now Washington wants answers

One congressman wants to pass a bill that would ban government employees from insider trading on prediction markets. But is it enough?

Fortune

A huge bet payout after Maduro’s capture turns spotlight on murky world of prediction markets

The commercial use of prediction markets has skyrocketed in recent years

The Independent UK

How markets have cashed in on Maduro’s capture in Venezuela – and why it’s raising questions

On January 3, the world watched in disbelief as the Venezuelan president, Nicolás Maduro, was captured by US forces. It was a dramatic geopolitical event that would reverberate not just in Washington and Caracas, but deep into global financial markets.

The Conversation

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The Independent UK

Bets are flooding into Polymarket on which country Trump could attack next

It comes after one trader won more than $400,000 with a wager that Nicolas Maduro would be ousted as leader of Venezuela

International Business Times UK

Online Sleuths Claim Barron Trump Is Behind 'Suspicious' Maduro Prediction Bet—Here's Why

A mystery trader made $400,000 betting on the capture of Nicolás Maduro just hours before the U.S. invasion. Online sleuths suspect Barron Trump as 'insider trading' allegations rock Polymarket.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Allegedly Avoids Paying $10.5M in Bets by Redefining 'Invasion'

Traders dispute Polymarket's event classifications, raising concerns over transparency and fairness. The platform is US-licensed but unapproved in Britain.

The Guardian - UK

Gambling platform Polymarket not paying bets on US invasion of Venezuela

Gamblers who placed wagers totalling $10.5m angered after capture of Nicolás Maduro deemed not to qualify

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International Business Times UK

Mystery Trader Turns $34k to $400,000 After Trump's Venezuela Raid

A mystery trader made £316,000 ($400,000) on Polymarket betting on Maduro's downfall hours before Trump's raid, sparking fears of insider trading.

International Business Times UK

Jesus Christ's Second Coming: Punters To Win 5,700% If Messiah Returns After 'Dumbest' Bet Hits

Punters stand to win more than 5,700% on a controversial online bet predicting the Second Coming of Jesus Christ, reigniting debate over faith, probability and prediction markets.

International Business Times UK

Planned Bill by US Congressman Set to Ban Insider Trading After Bettor Cashed-in Big on Maduro Capture

New York congressman Ritchie Torres is proposing a bill to criminalise insider trading after a Polymarket bettor won over $400,000 for Maduro capture.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Mystery Trader Makes $410,000 in Hours as Insider Bet Speculation Grows Over Maduro's Fall

An anonymous trader turned a bold bet into $410,000 in hours by predicting Maduro's fall on Polymarket, raising questions about insider information and market ethics.

Axios

$30,000 Maduro bet sparks debate over prediction markets' insider trading exposure

Insider trading on prediction markets is generally not against the law — and critics say that's a problem.

The Independent UK

Mystery bettor made huge windfall gambling on Maduro’s fall hours before it happened

More than half of the value of the total bets the trader made against the Venezuelan president came from wagers made in the hours before the U.S. attack on Caracas

Axios

Lucrative online trades on Maduro ouster spur new bill to ban Polymarket insider trading

Rep. Ritchie Torres' bill would ban government officials from making prediction market trades based on insider information.

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