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The Latest Breaking News from CFTC

What's Driving Grains Higher?

The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report confirmed what I already knew in the Grains sector.

Barchart

Cotton Posts Friday Rally

Cotton futures posted Friday gains of as little as 7 points in some deferreds, with front months up as much as 74 points. May was up 165 points on the week.. Crude oil was up $3.57 to $99.30, with the US dollar index up $0.776 to $100.530. CFTC data from...

Barchart

Corn Closes Higher on Friday as CFTC Data Shows Spec Longs Flooding In

Corn futures rounded out the Friday session with contracts steady in some deferreds to 4 ¾ cents higher in the front months as March expired. May closed the week with a 6 ¾ cent gain from on the week. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was up 4 3/4...

Barchart

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Betting on nuclear war: what are prediction markets and could they come to the UK?

The lowdown on Polymarket and Kalshi, the pitfalls and the odds on US-style exchanges taking off in Britain

The Guardian - UK

Life After Congress: A prediction market duo

Sean Patrick Maloney and Patrick McHenry didn’t see eye to eye in Congress — but they’re united on this.

Roll Call

Prediction Market Traders Who Made Millions Betting on Iran Strikes Spark Insider Trading Concerns

A small group of traders on Polymarket have earned substantial profits by wagering on the timing and outcomes of U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran.

International Business Times

Lawmakers seek to boost CFTC budget to take on crypto oversight

Lawmakers seek to boost CFTC budget to take on crypto oversight - Fintech

Roll Call

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Trump administration backs Kalshi, Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

The Trump administration has backed Kalshi and Polymarket in a court fight over whether prediction markets constitute gambling

The Independent UK

Cotton Weakness Holding on Tuesday

Cotton futures are down 30 to 50 points across most front months on Tuesday. Crude oil futures are down 70 cents per barrel on the day at $62.19. The US dollar index is down $0.371 to $97.190. CFTC data showed a total of 3,856 contracts added to the spec net...

Barchart

Surging prediction markets face legal backlash in US: ‘Lines have been blurred’

At least 20 federal suits filed against companies like Kalshi and Polymarket as lawmakers call it ‘loophole’ for gambling

The Guardian - US

How one small Super Bowl halftime cameo sparked betting chaos

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Cardi B’s Super Bowl cameo sparks formal complaint to US regulator

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show on Sunday but a dispute has arisen as to whether the star was singing

The Independent UK

Hogs Posting Gains at Midday

Lean hog futures are trading $2 to $2.25 higher in the front months as Feb was up 80 cents. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday morning due to light volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was up another 6 cents on Jan 29 at $85.78. CFTC...

Barchart

On Polymarket, ‘privileged’ users made millions betting on war strikes and diplomatic strategy. What did they know beforehand?

The prediction market’s disciples and CEO believe its an unbiased way of knowing the future. But experts warn users could reshape the world to win big

The Guardian - US

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The Independent UK

Crypto betting site Polymarket under fire for taking direct wagers on wars

In recent weeks the popular crypto-based betting market has added multiple contracts that allow users to gamble on potential geopolitical events

Fortune

An anonymous Polymarket trader made $400,000 betting on Maduro’s downfall—and now Washington wants answers

One congressman wants to pass a bill that would ban government employees from insider trading on prediction markets. But is it enough?

The Independent UK

A huge bet payout after Maduro’s capture turns spotlight on murky world of prediction markets

The commercial use of prediction markets has skyrocketed in recent years

Reason

Polymarket Returns to U.S. Users After a Nearly 3-Year Hiatus

The online betting company allows you to stake money on future events.

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Barchart

Hogs Slipping to Kick off the New Year

Lean hog futures are down 50 to 85 cents so far on Friday. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Friday morning due to thin volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was back up a penny on December 30 at $82.26. CFTC data showed managed money in lean...

Barchart

Hogs Look to Friday Trade Following Weaker End to 2025

Lean hog futures posted losses of a nickel to 35 cents on Wednesday. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $70.19 on Wednesday afternoon, down 19 cents from the day prior. The CME Lean Hog Index was back down 19 on December 29 at $82.25. CFTC data showed managed...

Barchart

Cotton Closes Weaker on Wednesday

Cotton futures posted losses of 2 to 5 points across most contracts as the market closed out 2025. Crude oil futures were down 54 cents per barrel at $57.41. The US dollar index was up $0.040 at $97.995. Futures will be closed on Thursday for New Years Day. CFTC released...

Barchart

Hogs Slip Lower into the End of the Year

Barchart

Hogs Fall Back on Wednesday

Lean hog futures posted losses of $1.45 to $1.80 on the Wednesday session. USDA’s national base hog price was up 15 cents in the Wednesday afternoon report at $69.71. The CME Lean Hog Index was up 31 cents on December 15 at $83.30. CFTC data, now just 2 weeks old,...

Barchart

Cotton Slipping Back to Start Tuesday Trade

Cotton prices are down 10 to 13 points early on Tuesday. Futures were up 10 to 16 points in the front months at the Monday close. Crude oil futures were 79 cents lower per barrel at $56.65, with the US dollar index $0.093 lower to $98.300. CFTC data indicated spec...

Barchart

Cotton Holding onto Monday Gains

Cotton futures are showing slight 15 to 17 point gains across most contracts on Monday’s midday. Crude oil futures are 80 cents lower per barrel at $56.69, with the US dollar index $0.074 to $98.320. Export Sales data from this morning showed 148,396 RB in cotton sales for the week...

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