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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Election forecasters explain Trump odds

Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others

Salon

Second Trump assassination attempt isn’t changing the state of the race

Odds in prediction markets for the presidential election remain where they were before a would-be shooter was caught on Sunday.

Fortune

Trump Reclaims Lead On Polymarket After Second Reported Assassination Attempt

Donald Trump is now leading Kamala Harris by 1% on Polymarket after the FBI reported a second assassination attempt on the ex-president at his West Palm Beach golf course.

International Business Times

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Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

The real markets are moving out of Trump trades, too.

Fortune

America Bets Big on Presidential Election: Crypto Bets on Polymarket Smash $100M

US Election betting is gaining steam on Polymarket, as $100M in Presidential election bets sees Trump take the lead on Kamala.

International Business Times

Polymarket likely to remain offshore for now despite ruling in favor of U.S. election betting

The predictions market Kalshi successfully sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which might appeal the ruling.

Fortune

Nate Silver gets heat for election model

X users say the FiveThirtyEight founder made some dubious data choices to boost Trump

Salon

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Democrats Have Higher Chances Of Winning Presidency, Popular Vote: Polymarket Traders

Less than two months before the November election, Polymarket traders are betting on a wide range of election-related questions, and so far, a larger number of bets have been placed on Democrats winning both the presidency and the popular vote.

International Business Times

Trump Widens Lead In Swing States Pennsylvania, Arizona On Polymarket

Ex-President Donald Trump has widened his lead in two swing states of six battleground states being tracked by Polymarket – he is also still in the lead in two other swing states, while Vice President Kamala Harris is up in the remaining two key states.

International Business Times

Republicans Have High Chances Of Flipping Senate: Polymarket Traders

Polymarket traders have pushed Republicans' chances of flipping the Senate in the 2024 elections, but they also spiked Democrats' odds of controlling the House.

International Business Times

Trump Takes Pennsylvania, Now Leads In 4 Swing States: Polymarket 2024 Election Forecast

Donald Trump is now leading VP Kamala Harris in four swing states on Polymarket, and the latest addition is a critical state that has been home of defeat and victory for both the Republican and Democratic parties.

International Business Times

Trump Leads Harris In 3 Swing States On Polymarket After RFK Jr. Pullout

Following Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s suspension of his presidential bid, Donald Trump has taken a strong lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in three key states — at least among Polymarket traders — while in one battleground state, the rivals are tied.

International Business Times

In election race, prediction markets are challenging traditional polling

Before scientific polling, newspapers relied on betting markets to predict the outcome of elections, often with remarkable accuracy.

Fortune

Trump Reclaims Polymarket Lead – Will RFK Jr. Join Hands With Ex-President?

Trump is back on top of Polymarket's event contract predicting which presidential candidate will win in November as Harris continues to retain silence over her views on digital assets.

International Business Times

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International Business Times

Gary Gensler As Treasury Secretary? Crypto Community United In Pushback Against Idea

The crypto community has been divided by Polymarket results, and crypto users have been divided by digital coin rivalries, but this time, they are united against the idea of SEC Chair Gary Gensler taking the reins of the Treasury Department should VP Kamala Harris win in November.

International Business Times

Trump Ties Harris On Polymarket As Economic Policies Take Center Stage

Trump tied with Harris on Polymarket Sunday night as crypto users on X debated about the candidates' economic policies, with some accusing Harris of "stealing" some of the business magnate's plans, and others trusting the vice president will retake the lead soon.

International Business Times

Crypto Flips Bullish After Kamala Harris Time Cover, Democrats Leap Ahead on Polymarket

After the Kamala Harris Time cover, which made its debut today, Harris has surged ahead of former President Donald Trump in the prediction markets.

International Business Times

Crypto Leaders Unite Against CFTC Proposal That Could Ban Election Prediction Markets

Crypto executives are calling on the CFTC to withdraw its proposal for a new rule that could ban Polymarket and other similar betting platforms – some crypto leaders have also questioned the regulator's authority to regulate event contracts.

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news in one place.

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International Business Times

Polymarket: The Decentralized Prediction Platform Dividing Crypto As Harris Leads Trump

Harris is leading Trump on Polymarket, and while others are highly doubtful about the prediction platform's numbers, some have expressed their thoughts on why the Vice President was able to turn the tide.

International Business Times

Harris Flips Some Swing States On Polymarket After Dems' 'Heated' Crypto Roundtable

Rep. Ro Khanna once again organized another roundtable between crypto executives and White House officials, and there are contradicting reports about how the meeting went, but it appears to have given hope to some Polymarket traders as VP Kamala Harris overtook Donald Trump early Friday.

International Business Times

Harris Ties With Trump On Polymarket – Where Does RFK Jr. Stand?

VP Harris has now caught up with Trump on Polymarket, tying at 49% with the GOP candidate Wednesday night, but some crypto users on X doubt the numbers' accuracy.

International Business Times

'Silence Is Complicity': Crypto Reacts To Harris' Tim Walz Choice For Running Mate

The crypto space is abuzz after VP Kamala Harris chose Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz to be her running mate – the big question is, when will the duo share their thoughts about Bitcoin and crypto?

International Business Times

Who Is Tim Walz, The Current Polymarket Favorite For Harris' VP?

Tim Walz is reportedly one of two remaining finalists in Vice President Kamala Harris' list of potential running mates – he is gaining popularity among Polymarket traders, but what is his stance on crypto?

International Business Times

Crypto Crash: Ethereum, Bitcoin Lead Price Bloodbath In 'Perfect Storm'

Crypto started collapsing Sunday night following a week of significant news on political and financial trends – the world's top two digital assets are leading the way in the crash, and maximalists are now trying to calm the "perfect storm."

International Business Times

Harris Gains Ground On Polymarket, Trump Odds Plummet Since Pennsylvania Shooting

Harris now has higher odds of winning the 2024 elections, at least among crypto traders on Polymarket. Her chances have gradually increased on the decentralized platform as more Democrats show support for the industry.

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