The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 47.1–44.6% with 4.2% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 46.8–43.7%.

Trump to hold rally in north-east while Harris tours through west of what election forecaster calls ‘tipping point’ state

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

For Nate Silver poker, Sam Bankman-Fried, and the future of AI are all connected by one thing—risk-taking.

Statistician Nate Silver will join Just Asking Questions at 12:30 p.m. ET this Thursday to talk about the state of the Democratic Party.

From card sharps to crypto traders, a statistician asks what we can learn from the people prepared to gamble everything

Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Polymarket has hired polling superstar Nate Silver and is now a must-read for politicos. But who is behind it, and what are its business plans?