The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

"We've seen momentum for Harris with her rising consistently to about a 2.5% lead in national polls," Silver said

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

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Statistician Nate Silver will join Just Asking Questions at 12:30 p.m. ET this Thursday to talk about the state of the Democratic Party.

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Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris as popular vote favorite but Electoral College underdog against Trump.

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