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The Latest Breaking News from Moody Analytics

US Growth Figure Expected To Make For Tough Reading For Trump

US GDP figures for the first quarter are expected to show a sharp drop-off in growth -- and possibly even a recession -- reflecting a surge in imports before President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs came into effect.

International Business Times

China's Forecast-beating Growth Belies Storm Clouds Ahead: Analysts

Forecast-beating growth in China's first quarter may have offered Beijing's economic planners some much needed good news -- but analysts warn they should strap in for tariff-induced woes further down the line.

International Business Times

China's Economy Likely Grew 5.1% In Q1 On Export Surge: AFP Poll

China is expected to post first-quarter growth of around five percent on Wednesday, buoyed by exporters rushing to stave off higher US tariffs but still weighed by sluggish domestic consumption, analysts say.

International Business Times

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America’s consumer economy is hostage to its top earners—and that could mean trouble down the road

A Moody’s Analytics report revealed America’s wealthiest individuals are buoying discretionary spending.

Fortune

US Fed Expected To Hold Rate Steady Despite Trump Pressure To Cut

After three interest rate cuts in a row, the US Federal Reserve is expected to take a breather on Wednesday and signal it will remain on pause until the data changes, despite pressure to cut from President Donald Trump.

International Business Times

China To Hash Out Stimulus Plan With US Elections In Its Sights

China's top lawmakers gather Monday to hash out a major stimulus package that analysts say could grow even bigger if former US president Donald Trump wins the White House this week.

International Business Times

Donald Trump's Plans to Fight Inflation Would Actually Make it Worse, Economists Say

While experts also disagree with some of Vice President Kamala Harris's proposals, they say her plans are not "inflationary" when compared to her opponent's.

Latin Times

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China Set To Post Slowest Quarterly Growth This Year: Analysts

China's economy likely expanded at its slowest pace this year, according to an AFP survey ahead of data Friday, as authorities struggle to reignite consumption amid a chronic debt crisis in the property sector.

International Business Times

Trump's economic plans would worsen inflation, experts say

Donald Trump has vowed that if voters return him to the White House, “inflation will vanish completely.”

The Independent UK

Hurricane Helene Economic Price Tag Could Be $34 Billion; The Stock Market Impact

As of Tuesday, the stock market reaction appears to be mostly muted but Moody's Analytics projects major costs.

Investors Business Daily

The Trump economy: Slower growth, higher prices and a bigger national debt

Plans to hike tariffs, tighten immigration and cut taxes are likely to crimp growth and fuel inflation, experts say.

Al Jazeera

India's GDP to grow 6.1% in 2024: Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics projects India's economy to grow 6.1% in 2024, lower than 7.7% in 2023, due to COVID impact.

The Hindu

Moody's (MCO): Earnings Analysis for Investors

Global integrated risk assessment company Moody’s (MCO) will report its fourth-quarter results on February 13. The company is expected to report year-over-year growth in earnings and revenue. We assess whether it is worth buying the stock now. Keep reading.

StockNews.com

Office buildings haven’t been this empty since (at least) 1979—and Texas is taking it on the chin the most

Back-to-work mandates aren’t working.

Fortune

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Fortune

Commercial real estate has a ‘muted’ outlook after a near-death experience in 2023, Moody’s economist says—and ‘office will continue to face the most strain’

“Across all sectors,” says Ermengarde Jabir, senior economist with Moody’s Analytics, “there will be a continued recalibration of sorts.”

Fortune

Commercial real estate is coming off a half-trillion-dollar wipeout. It'll be a lot more complex than ‘mass obsolescence' next year, industry watchers say

While the commercial real estate market is facing substantial headwinds, it’s far from collapsing. But it’s still a rough road ahead, particularly for the office sector.

Fortune

WeWork’s $18 billion bankruptcy is the last thing the reeling commercial real-estate sector needed

Offices now face “a potential new wave of unexpected vacancies,” Moody’s wrote. WeWork’s first move was to dump 70 leases—35 of them in New York.

Fortune

The housing market is starting to crack—Sellers are cutting prices at record levels as 'You can no longer price based off of where sales were'

Nearly 7% of sellers posted price drops in October, Redfin says—well above the 3.6% average.

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Fortune

Single-family rentals are a ‘superstar’ investment. Here are the top 10 markets to buy in

“All of these headwinds for the single-family purchase market are proving to be tremendous tailwinds for the single-family rental market,” says Ermengarde Jabir of Moody’s Analytics.

Fortune

Housing market outlook: Where to expect mortgage rates in 2024, according to 8 leading research firms

On Friday, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped to 7.19%. But where will it go next?

Fortune

Housing market head fake? Boise slips back into correction-mode

Recently published data from Freddie Mac suggests that Boise's spring bounce might indeed be a head fake.

Axios

Warning: Student loan cliff ahead

For millions of individuals that means real spending cuts — which could translate to a slowdown for the economy overall.

Fortune

Morningstar makes a bold call that housing market affordability will be restored by 2025. Here's how

Morningstar expects mortgage rates to plunge to 4.00% by 2025.

Fortune

5 reasons why top economist Mark Zandi says ‘this time is different’ and he’s ‘betting against’ a U.S. recession

“This time is different,” Moody’s Analytics’ chief economist wrote in a CNN op-ed Tuesday. “Odds are that we will buck history and avoid recession.”

Fortune

This city dodged the 2008 housing market crash—now it’s the epicenter of the pandemic correction

Austin is arguably the epicenter of both the Pandemic Housing Boom and the Pandemic Housing Correction.

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