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The Latest Breaking News from ISW

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Woman killed in latest Putin strikes after ‘tense’ US-backed talks in Geneva

Moscow pressures Kyiv further with more than 400 drones and missiles

The Independent UK

Ukraine and Russia swap 314 prisoners of war after Abu Dhabi talks

Meanwhile, the Kremlin-affiliated media outlets revealed that Moscow’s key demand is not only full Russian control over Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but also official recognition of Donbas as Russian territory by all sides, including Ukraine.

Euronews

Moscow cheers NATO crisis as the Ukraine war stifles Russia's economy, forcing companies to use 4-day weeks and lay off workers

"The Russian people are increasingly feeling the effects of the Kremlin's continued prioritization of the Russian defense industrial base."

Fortune

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Oil prices rise as bloody crackdown on Iran protests suggests Tehran fears a 'dire security threat to the regime' with loyalty of forces in doubt

"There are further indications that the ongoing protests are challenging the ability and willingness of Iranian security forces to crack down on the protests."

Fortune

Ukraine war briefing: Nabu and Sapo raid Kyiv parliament in new corruption inquiry

Russia not strong enough to take Donetsk and then keep fighting, says ISW; Zelenskyy heads to Florida for talks with Trump. What we know on day 1,404

The Guardian - AU

Why does Russia want Ukraine’s Donbas?

Moscow continues to insist that it wants Kyiv to withdraw its forces from Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region, which Ukraine has been fiercely defending since 2014. What is there, and why is Moscow keen to take control of the entire area so much?

Euronews

Ukraine Ungrateful, Trump Says Amidst Controversial Peace Proposal

In a Truth Social rant, US President Donald Trump criticised Ukraine for not being grateful to his administration following the controversial peace plan to end the war.

International Business Times

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Ukraine Ungrateful, Trump Says Amidst Controversial Peace Proposal

In a Truth Social rant, US President Donald Trump criticised Ukraine for not being grateful to his administration following the controversial peace plan to end the war.

International Business Times UK

Kyiv’s European allies debate ways of keeping the cash flowing to Ukraine but the picture on the battlefield is grim

The EU is considering a range of options as it tries to work out how to continue to fund Ukraine’s defence against Russia. There are three mechanisms presently under consideration. One is using Russia’s frozen assets to back a loan of €140 billion (£124 billion). Another is borrowing the money…

The Conversation

Ukraine war briefing: Top banker’s straight talk to Putin over troubled economy

Sberbank head German Gref gives unusually frank assessment; Zaporizhzhia situation has ‘significantly worsened’, says Syrskyi. What we know on day 1,358

The Guardian - AU

Ukrainian forces hold ground in Pokrovsk amid intense Russian assault

After more than a year of an all-in Russian offensive, the battle for Pokrovsk has intensified over the past few days, with Moscow troops reportedly infiltrating and trying to encircle what remains of the city after the fiercest fighting in recent times.

Euronews

Tomahawks for Ukraine: Game changing weapon or leverage over Moscow?

Fresh off the Gaza ceasefire deal, Donald Trump is about to meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy to discuss the possibility of selling Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. Both Washington and Kyiv believe it may bring Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table.

Euronews

'Putin lied to Trump and made him look weak,' former US envoy to Ukraine says

In an interview with Euronews, the former United States Special Representative for Ukraine Negotiations Kurt Volker said Trump's impatience with Putin could prompt him to agree to provide Kyiv with Tomahawk missiles.

Euronews

Ukraine-Russia war latest: ‘Shoot down trespassing Russian jets if necessary’, Czech president tells Nato

It comes as the UK sent fighter jets to Poland in a warning to Putin to stay out of Nato territory after repeated incursions

The Independent UK

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The Independent UK

Ukraine-Russia war latest: UK Typhoon jets to join defence missions over Poland after ‘reckless’ drone incursions

Moscow claims Nato already fighting Russia by backing Kyiv

Al Jazeera

Ukraine knocks out Russian refineries as Russia kills dozens in Kyiv

Ukraine has cut Russia’s refining capacity by a fifth, in a bid to starve it of energy and revenue from exports.

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine war briefing: Pro-Russian observers ‘call out exaggeration of territorial gains’

Kremlin intensifying propaganda effort, says ISW, because actual advances are ‘limited and slow relative to high losses incurred’. What we know on day 1,287

Al Jazeera

Ukraine planning new strikes deep inside Russia, says Zelenskyy

The announcement came hours after overnight Russian strikes on energy sites left 60,000 Ukrainians without electricity.

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Euronews

Russia cannot seize all of Donetsk region unless Ukraine withdraws from it, ISW says

The Russian president allegedly told Donald Trump that he wants all of Ukraine’s Donbas region as part of any deal to put an end to the war. More than 10 years into Moscow's relentless assaults in eastern Ukraine, Russia still does not control all of the Donbas.

Al Jazeera

Russia pounds Ukraine, boosts army as world braces for Putin-Trump talks

Ukraine has publicly rejected any land concession deal with Russia, but some reports suggest it may be open to it.

Al Jazeera

How much territory does Russia control in Ukraine?

Russia controls about 20 percent of Ukraine’s territory and wants full control of four eastern and southern regions.

Euronews

Russian forces breach Ukrainian defences in eastern Donetsk region, reports claim

Russian forces have intensified their push in eastern Ukraine, pushing towards the Dobropillia–Kramatorsk highway in Ukraine's Donetsk region, as Volodymyr Zelenskyy warns that Russia is redeploying its troops in preparation for a new offensive.

Al Jazeera

Zelenskyy says Putin readying for ‘new offensive’ in Ukraine, not ceasefire

Russian President Putin ‘is definitely not preparing for a ceasefire or an end to the war’ in Ukraine, Zelenskyy says.

Euronews

Stolen children 'marketplace': Russia creates 'catalogue' of Ukrainian kids for adoption

Russia is now offering forcefully deported Ukrainian minors for coerced “adoption” through a newly created “catalogue”, where Ukrainian children are categorised by age, eyes and hair colour.

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine war briefing: Call for Nato action after Russian drone intrudes on Lithuania

Russia talking down Medvedev’s influence after nuclear threats; oligarch’s superyacht goes on sale with proceeds to Ukraine. What we know on day 1,260

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