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The Latest Breaking News from ISW

Ukraine forces can ‘break through’ Russian defences in counter-attacks, say military experts

Ukrainian forces can break through Russian defences in counter-offensives in coming months, military experts said on Monday.

Evening Standard

Russia-Ukraine war: Putin’s plan to station nuclear weapons in Belarus ‘irresponsible’ and ‘escalatory’, says Germany

Berlin says Moscow’s announcement is ‘another attempt at nuclear intimidation’

The Guardian - AU

Wagner advance in Bakhmut as Russian offensive appears to weaken

Russian mercenaries were the only element of Moscow’s forces making any progress in the 55th week of the war in Ukraine.

Al Jazeera

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Russia-Ukraine war: Xi to visit Russia as early as next week; Moscow says it could agree to shorter Black Sea grain deal – as it happened

China’s president planning to visit Moscow soon and also speak to Zelenskiy; hopes for possible grain deal extension but Russia wants 60-day limit

The Guardian - AU

Russia turns to cruel flesh-melting weapon as thermite bombs rain down in Ukraine town

Thermite munitions - which have been used previously during the war in Ukraine - are particularly deadly because they burn rather than explode, reaching temperatures exceeding 2,400C that can easily sear through steel

Daily Mirror

Russian advance stalls in Ukraine's Bakhmut, think tank says

A leading think tank says Russia’s advance seems to have stalled in Moscow’s campaign to capture the eastern Ukrainian city of Bakhmut

The Independent UK

Wagner head says Russian forces facing ammunition shortages – as it happened

Yevgeny Prigozhin thanks Kremlin for ‘heroic’ production increase but says concerns about shortages remain. This blog is now closed

The Guardian - AU

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Russia steps up effort to take elusive prize of Ukraine city

The fate of Bakhmut appears to be hanging in the balance as Russian forces continue to encroach on the devastated eastern Ukrainian city

The Independent UK

Kyiv says Russia pursuing 'attempts to encircle' Bakhmut

KYIV, Ukraine: Kyiv said Sunday it was holding off attacks from Russian troops still attempting to surround Bakhmut, a now-destroyed eastern Ukrainian city that Moscow has been trying to capture for months.

Bangkok Post

A year of war: how Russian forces have been pushed back in Ukraine

Guardian analysis shows how Russia has lost a fifth of the land it once controlled in Ukraine after its invasion

The Guardian - UK

Vladimir Putin's snub casts doubt on Yevgeny Prigozhin's ploy to use his Wagner Group to shore-up power

"Putin's chef" is known for cooking his way into the Russian president's inner circle, but a very public snub has experts suspecting the relationship may have come undone.

ABC News

Ukraine recap: Kyiv keeps its friends close, but will they send the latest warplanes?

The latest dispatches from the Institute for the Study of War make for sobering reading. After a few months in which the initiative on the battlefield was generally considered to be firmly with Ukraine, the pendulum appears as if it could be swinging gradually back Russia’s way.

The Conversation

Western weapon deliveries in a race against Russia offensive

Ukraine’s allies rush to deliver weapons as Moscow intensifies its war in the east.

Al Jazeera

Russia: 14 killed in ‘deliberate’ attack on hospital in Ukraine

Ukraine strike by US-supplied HIMARS rocket hit a medical facility in a Russian-held settlement, defence ministry says.

Al Jazeera

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Al Jazeera

Ukraine expects key offensive as Russia plans to expand army

The war is poised to escalate as Russia has planned new conscription and Ukraine’s allies have lifted weapons bans.

Evening Standard

Vladimir Putin’s forces still struggling with ‘extremely low morale’ say Institute for the Study of War

VLADIMIR Putin’s forces are continuing to struggle with “extremely low morale” on the battlefield in Ukraine, US military experts said on Thursday.

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s mission to Minsk raises fears he will drag Belarus into Ukraine war

Putin and Lukashenko announce more joint manouevres as Kyiv warns of potential new invasion from north

The Guardian - UK

Monday briefing: How the weather could sway the outcome of the war

In today’s newsletter: Power and water supplies are already compromised. Now Ukraine will be more dependent on support from the west than ever

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France 24

Freezing temperatures grip Kyiv as power shortages persist in Ukraine

Snow fell in the Ukrainian capital Kyiv Sunday, while the electricity supply was still disrupted due to recent air strikes carried out by Russia, guaranteeing a difficult winter for the city's inhabitants. Meanwhile, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky warned of fresh strikes from Moscow. Read our live blog to review all…

Evening Standard

Ukraine will build on Kherson victory to recapture more land from Russia, say military experts

Any attempt at calling a ceasefire would currently ‘overwhelmingly’ favour Russia, says a new report from the Institute for the Study of War

Al Jazeera

Why did Putin impose martial law in occupied Ukrainian regions?

Russian president is attempting to tighten his grip on four annexed Ukrainian regions amid military setbacks.

Daily Mirror

Kyiv power station 'seriously damaged' as Russians target energy infrastructure

As part of Vladimir Putin's plans to dismantle energy infrastructure in Ukraine's biggest cities, a major power plant in Kyiv has been destroyed by another Russian air strike

The Guardian - AU

Russia-Ukraine war: Kremlin-backed officials ask Putin to annex regions; EU announces new sanctions on Russia – as it happened

Russian-installed leaders of Luhansk and Kherson ask for territories to be annexed; new EU sanctions designed to ‘make Kremlin pay’

Evening Standard

Vladimir Putin struggling to ‘placate’ Russian opposition to troop mobilisation plan, ISW warns

Satellite images show 10-mile queue at border to escape mobilisation drive

The Guardian - UK

Russia-Ukraine war: Russians flee to avoid draft as west says Putin faces ‘major challenges’ to recruit 300,000 – as it happened

Western officials say true target could be higher but significant hurdles remain to mobilise stated target of 300,000

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