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The Latest Breaking News from US Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve: Without Tariffs, Inflation Would Have Dropped to Pre-Pandemic Levels During 2025

New study finds that tariffs were responsible for the "entirety of the excess inflation in the core goods category."

Reason

Dollar Strengthens as US-Iran Peace Talks Break Down

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.15%. The dollar is climbing today on increased safe-haven demand after the US-Iran peace talks broke down over the weekend, threatening to escalate hostilities in the Middle East. The dollar fell back from its best level today after US Mar existing...

Barchart

Investors are writing off any move from the Fed this month. Collapsing talks in Iran have sealed the deal

“It is too soon to identify potential second-round effects in inflation or labor markets,” cautioned UBS’s Paul Donovan.

Fortune

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Stocks Set to Open Lower as Oil Prices Top $100 After U.S.-Iran Talks Collapse, Big Bank Earnings Awaited

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.62%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.64% this morning, pointing to a lower open on Wall Street as oil prices jumped back above $100 a barrel after President Trump ordered a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following…

Barchart

Russell 2000 Tracking for New Highs: What’s Next for ETF Traders?

The Russell 2000 and ETFs that track it are on track to hit all-time highs soon, then extend the rallies through year-end as activity accelerates.

MarketBeat

Dollar Weakens Ahead of US-Iran Peace Talks

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday fell by -0.15%. Friday’s reports that showed a smaller-than-expected increase in US March consumer prices and a plunge in the University of Michigan’s US Apr consumer sentiment index to a record low weighed on the dollar. Also, hopes that this weekend’s negotiations in...

Barchart

The AI that found 27-year-old vulnerabilities no human ever caught before just forced an emergency meeting with every major Wall Street CEO

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Fed Chair Jerome Powell reportedly convened Wall Street leaders in an emergency meeting addressing Anthropic’s latest model release.

Fortune

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Buying A Home Just Got Harder — US Home Loan Rates Could Stay Near 6% For The Rest Of The Decade

Explore the future of US mortgage rates with insights from economic forecasts. Discover why home loan costs are expected to remain elevated, influenced by Treasury yields and Federal Reserve policies.

International Business Times UK

US Regulators Reportedly Warn Top Bank CEOs Over Anthropic AI Cyber Risk In Urgent Briefing

Treasury and Federal Reserve leaders urged banks to strengthen cyber defenses after reports that an Anthropic AI model may help expose system vulnerabilities, according to a new report.

International Business Times

Dollar Slips on Weaker-Than-Expected US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.26%. Today's report showing a smaller-than-expected increase in US March consumer prices is weighing on the dollar. Also, today's stock rally has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, hopes that this weekend's negotiations between the US and Iran will...

Barchart

U.S. Inflation Rises In March As Energy Surge Drives Prices Higher

US inflation picked up sharply in March, driven largely by a surge in energy costs, marking a clear acceleration from the more subdued pace seen earlier this year.

International Business Times

US inflation surges to 3.3% as Iran war fuels energy price shock

US consumer prices rose sharply in March, with headline inflation climbing to 3.3% year-on-year as energy costs spiked in the wake of the Iran war, official data showed on Friday.

Euronews

US inflation soars in March as war on Iran drives economy into uncertainty

Prices were up 3.3% over the year, adding to the unpredictability that first came with Trump tariffs

The Guardian - US

The job market is so bad, workers now think they have worse odds of finding a role than during the pandemic

Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows that Americans are increasingly pessimistic about their job prospects.

Fortune

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The Independent UK

Inflation may jump by most in nearly four years as gas prices spike in wake of Iran war

Inflation probably rose to 3.4% in March compared with a year ago, economists estimate, which would be a sharp increase from February’s 2.4% increase

Barchart

Dollar Falls in Hopes of De-escalation of Middle East Hostilities

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell by -0.36% on Thursday and held just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news on Thursday weighed on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected...

Barchart

The Death of the Bear Market: Why Classic Recessions Are a Thing of the Past and Inflation Is the New Norm

Is the bear market officially dead? Dive into a deep analysis of the post-2008 financial paradigm, where inflation serves as a permanent insurance premium for social stability. Learn how the inertia of the M2 money supply creates an inescapable trap for regulators and why buying the dip has become the…

Barchart

Dollar Slips on Weak US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down by -0.24% today and just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news today is weighing on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected to...

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International Business Times UK

Could Gold Reach $6,000 in 2026? Experts Reveal Shocking Predictions You Can't Ignore

Here's why gold remains a top investment choice during economic instability. See how inflation, geopolitical tensions, and market forecasts drive gold prices, with predictions suggesting a rise to $6,000 per ounce by 2026.

The Independent UK

Key inflation gauge remains elevated in February before Iran war

A key measure of inflation stayed high in February, before the war in Iran spiked gas prices, a sign that everyday costs were elevated even before the conflict began

Barchart

Stocks Slip Before the Open as Oil Rebounds Amid Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire, PCE Inflation and GDP Data in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.31%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.25% this morning as oil prices advanced amid waning optimism about the U.S.-Iran ceasefire.

Barchart

Stocks Finish Sharply Higher on US-Iran Ceasefire

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed up +2.51%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +2.90%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) rose +2.52%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Dollar Falls and Gold Rallies on US-Iran Ceasefire

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell by -0.71% and posted a 4-week low. The dollar plummeted on Wednesday after the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, curbing safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, Wednesday's surge in equity markets reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, sharply...

The Independent UK

More Federal Reserve officials see possible rate hikes this year, minutes show

More Federal Reserve policymakers were willing to consider an interest rate hike this year at their March meeting than in January, as higher gas prices stemming from the Iran war threatened to worsen inflation in the coming months

Barchart

Dollar Tumbles and Gold Surges on US-Iran Ceasefire

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is sharply lower today by 1.13% at a 4-week low. The dollar is plummeting today after the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, curbing safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, today's surge in equity markets has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition,...

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