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The Latest Breaking News from Smarkets

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election

Harris’s lead over Trump has significantly narrowed to a single point as bets surge in favor of the Republican, according to a betting odds tracker

The Independent UK

Some companies want to bet on US elections. Not everyone agrees.

Critics are concerned platforms like Kalshi’s plans to offer bets on upcoming elections could sway the outcome.

Al Jazeera

Kate Forbes, Angus Robertson or Humza Yousaf? Betting odds on Nicola Sturgeon’s successor

SNP leader staying on until replacement elected

The Independent UK

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

A Republican bubble? How pollsters and pundits got the US midterms so wrong

During the month leading up to the US midterm elections, talk of a commanding Republican victory went from a “red wave” to a “red tsunami”. The Republicans were on for the win. The polls and gambling markets, or so-called “prediction markets”, were confident.

The Conversation

US midterms: why gambling markets often predict elections more accurately than polls

This year’s US midterms are on a razor’s edge.

The Conversation

This Election Day, Listen to the Betting Market Instead of Pundit Predictions

Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything else.

Reason

UK Gamblers Place Bets On US Presidential Election: Is Trump The Favorite in 2024?

Americans could see a repeat of the candidates from the 2020 Presidential Election when they head to the polls for the 2024 Presidential Election. Here’s a look at the current betting odds for the 2024 Presidential Election.

Benzinga

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Boris Johnson resignation: Who could replace PM? Latest odds

Embattled PM still under fire over Partygate as his own MPs demand resignation

The Independent UK

Next Tory leader odds: Who could replace Boris Johnson?

List of runners and riders after Tory MPs trigger confidence vote in prime minister

People

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Organisations

the Center for American Progress

11 stories

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