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The Latest Breaking News from Smarkets

Betting on nuclear war: what are prediction markets and could they come to the UK?

The lowdown on Polymarket and Kalshi, the pitfalls and the odds on US-style exchanges taking off in Britain

The Guardian - UK

EXCLUSIVE: Prediction Markets Expert Says Surge 'Gives Me Hope,' 'There's An Appetite For Fun'

One of the hottest topics in the world of finance for 2025 is prediction markets. That topic took center stage at the Benzinga Fintech Day Awards 2025 in New York City on Monday with a panel of experts sharing their thoughts on the past history of prediction markets and looking…

Benzinga

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election

Harris’s lead over Trump has significantly narrowed to a single point as bets surge in favor of the Republican, according to a betting odds tracker

The Independent UK

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Some companies want to bet on US elections. Not everyone agrees.

Critics are concerned platforms like Kalshi’s plans to offer bets on upcoming elections could sway the outcome.

Al Jazeera

Kate Forbes, Angus Robertson or Humza Yousaf? Betting odds on Nicola Sturgeon’s successor

SNP leader staying on until replacement elected

The Independent UK

A Republican bubble? How pollsters and pundits got the US midterms so wrong

During the month leading up to the US midterm elections, talk of a commanding Republican victory went from a “red wave” to a “red tsunami”. The Republicans were on for the win. The polls and gambling markets, or so-called “prediction markets”, were confident.

The Conversation

US midterms: why gambling markets often predict elections more accurately than polls

This year’s US midterms are on a razor’s edge.

The Conversation

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This Election Day, Listen to the Betting Market Instead of Pundit Predictions

Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything else.

Reason

UK Gamblers Place Bets On US Presidential Election: Is Trump The Favorite in 2024?

Americans could see a repeat of the candidates from the 2020 Presidential Election when they head to the polls for the 2024 Presidential Election. Here’s a look at the current betting odds for the 2024 Presidential Election.

Benzinga

Boris Johnson resignation: Who could replace PM? Latest odds

Embattled PM still under fire over Partygate as his own MPs demand resignation

The Independent UK

Next Tory leader odds: Who could replace Boris Johnson?

List of runners and riders after Tory MPs trigger confidence vote in prime minister

People

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Organisations

the Center for American Progress

11 stories

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