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The Latest Breaking News from Saul Eslake

Trump's second honeymoon sets rocky markets scene

Stretched valuations, risk of a US recession and lingering geopolitical issues have set the scene for an unsteady 2025 for global and Australian shares.

AAP

Leading economists call out coalition's inflation claim

As the economy looks set to be front and centre in the election campaign, one of the coalition's leading inflation claims has been called "a joke" by experts.

AAP

Dutton prays for rate cut as RBA enters conclave

Economists say a major reduction in mortgage rates this year is unlikely, even though the Reserve Bank board is widely tipped to deliver a cut on Tuesday.

AAP

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Home building to pick up in 2025, but only modestly

Housing construction is expected to ramp up this year but labour shortages, builder insolvencies and higher global inflation pose headwinds.

AAP

Productivity slump worsens Australia's deficit dilemma

Australia needs to get productivity growth back on track to pay for structural spending increases and avoid endless deficits, economists warn.

AAP

Victoria to axe its last EV incentive while increasing levies on property owners

Registration discount for electric vehicles to end as government introduces higher levies to fund emergency services

The Guardian - AU

Blockbuster: will Victoria’s tough housing market push The Block into the red?

Some predict the TV show will lose money this season as investors exit property and contestants face ‘a buyer’s market’ at auction

The Guardian - AU

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How will Donald Trump’s victory affect Australia’s economy? Here are some clues

The biggest uncertainty – for shares, inflation and rates – is whether the president-elect acts on promises such as hefty tariffs, and how soon

The Guardian - AU

Grave robbery: state accused of death tax by stealth

Wealthy families are being targeted for a massive hike in fees for settling inheritance after the death of a loved one.

AAP

Inflation may be about to hit a three-year low. Does that mean the cost-of-living crisis is over?

Not really, because CPI is just one factor. A better measure of how we’re faring is household disposable income

The Guardian - AU

Inflation green shoots could spell earlier rates relief

A cooling rental market and slower pay growth hint at a disinflationary pulse some economists hope could deliver borrowers an early Christmas present.

AAP

More adult vaccines could unlock $1.1bn for economy

By raising its level of adult immunisation to the same rate for children, Australia could unlock huge economic benefits, researchers say.

AAP

How the most affluent Australians disproportionately benefit from negative gearing

Those in the top tax bracket three times more likely to be negatively geared property investor, says economist

The Guardian - AU

Don't put money on rates relief soon, borrowers warned

Mortgage-holders should not get their hopes up for near-term relief, says a hawkish Reserve Bank governor as the cash rate was again held at 4.35 per cent.

AAP

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AAP

Reserve Bank to hold the line despite US Fed cut

The Reserve Bank is unlikely to give interest rate relief to borrowers at the September meeting as Australia's inflation rate still has fight left in it.

The Guardian - AU

‘Stop doing dumb stuff,’ economist warns as housing affordability in Australia slips

Saul Eslake says decades of ‘bad policies’ have inflated demand as report finds about 20% of households effectively ‘locked out’ of the market

AAP

Top economist says Libs' housing plan is a bad idea

A leading economist has derided the coalition's plan to let people use super for housing as "one of the worst policy decisions" of his lifetime.

The Guardian - AU

Coalition plan to give first home buyers access to super would benefit ‘those who already own housing’

Saul Eslake report finds plan would cause Australian property prices to rise at a faster rate

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The Guardian - AU

Despite all the doom and gloom on Australia’s economy, could the worst be behind us?

We hear about the ‘weakest growth in decades’ and being ‘smashed’ by the RBA, but positive tidings abound – if you want to look for them

AAP

State finances on track to be 'worst in the country'

Tasmania, the home of Australia's only Liberal government, faces deteriorating finances based on policy decisions over a decade, a leading economist says.

The Guardian - AU

Families set to pocket more than $60 a week from stage-three tax cuts

Treasury analysis shows ‘mums and dads’ will be among the biggest beneficiaries when 1 July cuts kick in, Jim Chalmers says

The Guardian - AU

When Michele Bullock tells us she’s not for turning in fighting inflation we should believe her

The RBA governor is reminding everyone that her mandate covers not just inflation, but also full employment

The Conversation

Top economists give budget modest rating and doubt inflation will fall as planned

Asked to grade Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ third budget on his own criteria of delivering on “inflation in the near term and then growth in the medium term”, most of the 49 leading economists surveyed by the Economic Society of Australia and The Conversation have failed to give it top marks.

The Guardian - AU

US and China need ‘climate armistice’ to meet net zero, says former head of CSIRO

‘Climate change is a global problem. It needs that global level of collaboration,’ says Larry Marshall

AAP

Victorian budget a family affair, but details scant

The Victorian budget remains cloaked in secrecy but shapes as a no-frills affair as the government tries to combat rising debt and infrastructure blowouts.

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