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The Latest Breaking News from Saul Eslake

Australia’s workers reaping greater share of national income than before pandemic

Westpac economist says tighter labour market is behind changes in how the ‘economic pie’ is divided

The Guardian - AU

Negative gearing on short-stay rentals costs Australia up to $556m a year, report estimates

Almost 170,000 homes are estimated to be operating as short-stay accommodation, which can still claim tax breaks

The Guardian - AU

As the economy slows and productivity flatlines, is Australia having another banana republic moment?

In 1986 Paul Keating warned the nation was headed towards economic disaster without reform. Now, Jim Chalmers faces a similar dilemma

The Guardian - AU

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Responsibility, not legacy driving Chalmers to reform

Jim Chalmers' economic roundtable will likely present some low-hanging fruit around regulation but hefty tax reform will be more challenging for him to grasp.

AAP

Grattan on Friday: Can Jim Chalmers reap a healthy crop with the help of his big worm farm?

One observer describes next week’s economic roundtable this way: “Chalmers has opened a can of worms – and everybody has got a worm”.

The Conversation

Victoria could save nearly $500m over 10 years by scrapping greyhound racing, estimates show

Exclusive: Parliamentary Budget Office analysis shows any loss of revenue from betting would be offset by lower government spending

The Guardian - AU

Another greyhound racing ban could see dishlickers done

It's a dog day afternoon for the greyhound racing industry as another government announces plans to stop punters spending a night at the dishlickers.

AAP

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Back-to-back rate cuts tipped when Reserve Bank meets

The Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate meeting is set to take top billing as markets expect the board to hand down another cut.

AAP

Aukus will cost Australia $368bn. What if there was a better, cheaper defence strategy?

As questions swirl around the nuclear submarine deal, some strategists are pushing for an alternative, ‘echidna’ policy that focuses less on offensive capability

The Guardian - AU

Fears super tax rise for rich will whack housing market

Slapping taxes on high superannuation balances may be well intended, but the federal government's plan could harbour some pitfalls.

AAP

‘Don’t be fooled’: Victorian Labor is spruiking feel-good budget policies, but there are hints of cuts to come

The premier has been upbeat but there are signs of cuts to come, and one analyst warns the state’s financial strategy needs a ‘course correction’

The Guardian - AU

The housing policies of both major parties are bad for Australia’s aspiring homebuyers

The plans would exacerbate the problem they say they are trying to solve – rising property prices

The Guardian - AU

Policy no quick fix with housing 'too far out of reach'

An economist has warned election policies for first homebuyers risk pushing prices up when many aspiring home owners think they're already beyond reach.

AAP

Election Diary: Liberal and Labor launches focus on housing, but who thinks either side can fix that crisis any time soon?

If anyone had any doubts before, Sunday’s Liberal and Labor launches highlighted that this election is an auction for votes, in particular those of the under 40s and people in the outer suburbs.

The Conversation

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The Guardian - AU

Peter Dutton is painting a grim picture of the past three years. How do his claims stack up?

The opposition leader’s election pitch maintains Labor has presided over a litany of price rises – but experts say some problems began on Coalition’s watch

AAP

Labor gets tick on tax cut, Liberal fuel plan sputters

Labor's election tax cuts will provide a "meaningful" boost to the economy, while the coalition's fuel excise cuts have been labelled economically "silly".

AAP

Plans to help more into 'disaster' housing market

Aspiring homeowners could secure a cheaper mortgage and lower deposit by letting the government take a stake, but Peter Dutton questions whether they want to.

AAP

Trump's second honeymoon sets rocky markets scene

Stretched valuations, risk of a US recession and lingering geopolitical issues have set the scene for an unsteady 2025 for global and Australian shares.

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AAP

Leading economists call out coalition's inflation claim

As the economy looks set to be front and centre in the election campaign, one of the coalition's leading inflation claims has been called "a joke" by experts.

AAP

Dutton prays for rate cut as RBA enters conclave

Economists say a major reduction in mortgage rates this year is unlikely, even though the Reserve Bank board is widely tipped to deliver a cut on Tuesday.

AAP

Home building to pick up in 2025, but only modestly

Housing construction is expected to ramp up this year but labour shortages, builder insolvencies and higher global inflation pose headwinds.

AAP

Productivity slump worsens Australia's deficit dilemma

Australia needs to get productivity growth back on track to pay for structural spending increases and avoid endless deficits, economists warn.

The Guardian - AU

Victoria to axe its last EV incentive while increasing levies on property owners

Registration discount for electric vehicles to end as government introduces higher levies to fund emergency services

The Guardian - AU

Blockbuster: will Victoria’s tough housing market push The Block into the red?

Some predict the TV show will lose money this season as investors exit property and contestants face ‘a buyer’s market’ at auction

The Guardian - AU

How will Donald Trump’s victory affect Australia’s economy? Here are some clues

The biggest uncertainty – for shares, inflation and rates – is whether the president-elect acts on promises such as hefty tariffs, and how soon

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