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The Latest Breaking News from Robert Hayward

Votes being counted in crucial elections for Sir Keir Starmer’s premiership

Polling guru Lord Robert Hayward has suggested Labour could lose some 1,850 councillors in England.

Evening Standard

Millions head to polls in UK as Starmer faces pressure over Labour slump

As voters in Scotland and Wales elect their national parliaments and 5,000 seats are contested in local elections in parts of England, the pressure is on beleaguered Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with right-wing populists Reform and the Greens predicted to make gains.

Radio France Internationale

Polanski criticised for reposting comment suggesting police arresting Golders Greens suspect used excessive force – as it happened

Home Office minister says ‘the Green Party has hit a new low’ after party leader’s repost on X

The Guardian - UK

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Could Starmer bring back Rayner to steady ship – and would she get onboard?

Former deputy PM has walked a line between loyalty and interventionism since resigning last September

The Guardian - UK

Labour set to lose three-quarters of council seats in next week’s elections, polling expert predicts

Nigel Farage’s Reform UK set to be the biggest winners, with the Greens also doing well

The Independent UK

‘I’m voting Reform – it can’t get any worse’: Starmer’s nightmare in England’s ‘bellwether’ election seat

For four decades, the voters of Swindon have consistently chosen MPs from the party that ends up governing the country. Ahead of the local elections in May, Alex Ross pays a visit to this bellwether town and discovers the one thing unifying residents: resentment towards the Labour Party and its…

The Independent UK

Major concerns raised over voting at Gorton and Denton by-election

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The Independent UK

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Labour calls on officials to examine ‘very concerning’ reports of illegal voting in crucial Gorton and Denton by-election

Labour chairwoman Anna Turley reacts to a report by Democracy Volunteers that claimed to observe high levels of ‘family voting’

The Independent UK

The key moments that could ‘decide fate of Keir Starmer’ next year

Lord Robert Hayward has warned of a number of heavy Labour defeats in 2026

The Independent UK

Heavy Labour losses in May could decide Starmer’s future – expert

Gains in London councils such as Westminster or Barnet could help shore up Kemi Badenoch’s position as Conservative leader, an expert said.

The Independent UK

Tory patience wears thin as Badenoch’s critics count down to May elections

With the party adrift and Reform surging, Jenrick’s allies are sharpening their pitch for a post-election reset

The Guardian - UK

Mapped: Where 16 and 17-year-olds could sway the vote in next general election

‘Seismic’ move announced by Labour last month would allow 1.5 million more teenagers to cast a ballot at next election – but leading pollsters suggest Nigel Farage and Corbyn’s parties could be real winners

The Independent UK

Starmer’s migrants return deal a ‘publicity stunt’ that won’t win back voters, top pollsters warn

Exclusive: The warning comes as new survey of Labour members seen by The Independent reveals concerns about Keir Starmer’s wider migration policy

The Independent UK

Farage’s support has ‘topped out’, pollster claims as Starmer told to stop obsessing about Reform

Analysis by respected pollster Robert Hayward is based on Reform’s support in the polls dropping as well as its membership, and the party suffering two embarrassing by-election defeats last week

The Independent UK

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The Guardian - UK

Reform UK to pilot Doge-style scheme to examine council spending

Party tells council officers they risk ‘gross misconduct’ if they block Elon Musk-inspired initiative

The Guardian - UK

Starmer’s team hope policy blitz will prove that Labour can deliver change

Those close to PM worry voters are running out of patience and want reforms to directly help public

The Independent UK

Sunak in last-ditch attempt to rally Conservative voters with threat of a Labour ‘supermajority’

Rishi Sunak insists he has not given up, with final 48-hour push for votes to ‘stop a Labour supermajority’ – as leading pollster argues polls have been wrong

The Guardian - UK

Lib Dems hoping fair electoral wind will help blow down England’s ‘blue wall’

Calum Miller, the Lib Dem candidate for Bicester and Woodstock, has been faced with widespread disenchantment from former Tory voters

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The Independent UK

Curtice warns that YouGov poll putting Reform ahead proves ‘things are going backwards’ for Tories

Polling experts are at odds over the accuracy of Reform’s real vote in the election surveys so far

The Independent UK

Lord Heseltine warns spiralling Tory party is ‘fighting for its life’ after disastrous D-Day fallout

Exclusive: Former deputy prime minister’s intervention comes as senior ministers are already engaging in a phantom leadership contest to replace Sunak

The Independent UK

Starmer failing to ‘seal the deal’ as poll shows voter turnout could be worst in modern history

New poll suggests Labour leader is struggling to capitalise on Tories angry with their own party following Sunak’s D-Day disaster – and predicts worst voter turnout in modern history

The Independent UK

Tory chairman’s last minute bid for seat as party scrambles to find up to 141 candidates

Tory chairman Richard Holden is biggest name in a 48-hour scramble for Tory seats as the party tries to fill an estimated 141 vacancies

The Guardian - UK

Labour lead over Conservatives may be overstated, says Tory election expert

Exclusive: Robert Hayward, who identified ‘shy Tories’ in 1992, suggests the party is winning support from undecided voters

The Independent UK

John Curtice warns Sunak that Tory election victory would ‘biggest turnaround in history’

Leading pollsters believe that Sunak’s monumental task of winning the general election would defy history

The Guardian - UK

The week in classical: Cavalleria rusticana/Aleko; Bath BachFest review – passion and penitence

Opera North pairs Mascagni’s masterpiece with teenage Rachmaninov in a potent double bill. Plus, well-tuned extremes from Tenebrae and a blizzard of notes with Mahan Esfahani

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