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The Latest Breaking News from RBA

A stooge in the US Fed could blow out inflation in Australia – but Trump is unlikely to get his way

Global consequences likely to be severe if the president is able to take control of US central bank

The Guardian - AU

Donald Trump trashed global economic orthodoxy. A year on, did he leave Australia a winner or loser?

While tariffs have been ‘all show and no substance’, economists fear an AI investment bubble and tensions in the South China Sea, along with Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve’s independence

The Guardian - AU

Hot or not? Strong spending complicates rate picture

Upcoming data will give the Reserve Bank a better sense of whether higher interest rates are required to take the heat out of Australia's economy.

AAP

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In a world going to hell, investors are flocking to gold. Australia could have had much more of it

A decision to sell two-thirds of Australia’s gold reserves in the 1990s is starting to look like a bad one as global uncertainty reigns

The Guardian - AU

How would a Trump takeover of the Fed affect Australia?

Central banks are given independence so they can make unpopular, inflation-beating decisions on interest rates

The Guardian - AU

Robust jobs market risks adding fuel to inflation fire

Australia's labour market remains tight, with limited spare capacity keeping pressure on already-high inflation and shortening the odds of interest rate hikes.

AAP

RBA official's advice to borrowers over inflation data

Mortgage holders have been warned not to expect relief anytime soon with the latest inflation figures unlikely to significantly influence the RBA's thinking.

AAP

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Surprise dip in inflation a lightbulb moment – but RBA unlikely to deliver interest rate bargains

Reserve Bank will not find any reason in the new figures to cut rates next month, but the unexpected lower rate should prevent an increase

The Guardian - AU

Inflation cooled more than expected in November. But rate cuts remain unlikely anytime soon

Annual inflation cooled in November.

The Conversation

Australia’s inflation slows to 3.4%, easing fears of a February interest rate hike

Consumer prices rose less than markets expected in the year to November, but economists warn rate rises will still be needed in 2026

The Guardian - AU

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

A sharper-than-expected fall in inflation will encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia, but underlying price growth remains too hot for comfort.

AAP

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

Two things must occur for the Reserve Bank to be satisfied that current interest rate levels can bring down inflation, board meeting minutes have revealed.

AAP

Will the Australian dollar keep rising in 2026? 3 factors to watch in the new year

After several years of steadily declining, the Australian dollar staged a meaningful recovery in 2025, culminating in a two-cent rally over the past month.

The Conversation

Dishing the public dosh to force RBA's hand on rates

With the government unlikely to restrain public spending, the Reserve Bank will have to lift rates in 2026 to keep inflation under control, economists say.

AAP

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AAP

Plea for spending cuts as banks tip interest rate hikes

Half of Australia's big four banks are tipping the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates at its next meeting as inflation is pushed outside the target zone.

AAP

Mixed employment report won't make RBA's job any easier

Unemployment and jobs growth figures for November tell differing stories about the strength of the labour market, providing little clarity for the Reserve Bank.

The Guardian - AU

No wonder Michele Bullock’s dramatic departure from the RBA’s interest rate script left markets swinging wildly

Less than two months ago the market was predicting the cash rate would be at 3.35% but that by May next year a further cut to 3.1% was almost certain

The Conversation

As the population ages, the RBA’s interest rate policy is no longer fit for purpose

An extensive government review of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in 2023 made 51 specific recommendations to enable “an RBA fit for the future”. But the narrow terms of reference confined the review to an economic lens.

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AAP

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

The average mortgage-holder's repayments could soon jump an extra $90 a month, with another Reserve Bank interest rate hike on the cards as early as February.

The Guardian - AU

Australia is facing its shortest rate cut cycle in 30 years as the RBA hints it may have to start hiking

It’s sure to leave many mortgage holders feeling short-changed given the RBA’s equally historic 13 rate hikes through 2022 and 2023

The Conversation

The RBA is stuck in a tug-of-war, as it holds rates steady

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has ended the year with a steady hand, keeping the cash rate at 3.6% at its final meeting of 2025. The decision was widely expected, but the real story is in the statement by the monetary policy board and what it reveals about the…

AAP

Rate rise flagged as RBA does a Grinch with no Xmas cut

More rate relief for borrowers has essentially been ruled out by the Reserve Bank governor as the central bank mulls over when to lift rates again.

AAP

Central bank rates outlook may pivot on wages, labour

A major bank has crunched the numbers from about 400,000 accounts to discover an uptick in wages and employment growth, ahead of a central bank rates reveal.

AAP

Christmas rate relief off the table at last RBA meeting

The official cash rate is expected to remain on hold when the Reserve Bank decides on interest rates for the last time in 2025.

The Guardian - AU

Financial markets now certain the RBA will hike interest rates in 2026

The changed outlook is a result of unwelcome inflation data, but could slow down the hot property market

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