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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

A French gambler’s $50m of bets inflated Trump’s odds - and is threatening democracy

IN FOCUS: Funded by billionaire Trump supporter Peter Thiel, Polymarket is forecasting a landslide for the Republican candidate. But some fear the massively inflated odds will be used by the Republican candidate as evidence that the election was stolen, writes Anthony Cuthbertson

The Independent UK

The latest betting odds on Trump vs Harris

What do the betting markets look like ahead of the presidential election — and should we read anything into them, really?

The Independent UK

Bitcoin teases all-time high days from presidential election

The currency last broke $73,000 in March following the arrival of spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Fortune

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read the most diverse news in one place.

Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket is rife with fake ‘wash’ trading, researchers say

Blockchain evidence points to users carrying out market manipulation to inflate trading volumes on the popular political betting platform.

Fortune

Trump Memecoins Lead PolitiFi Slump Ahead Of US Elections

Many PolitiFi memecoins saw significant declines in the last 24 hours, and most of them are based on Donald Trump, who has positioned himself as a pro-Bitcoin and pro-crypto candidate.

International Business Times

More Than $3.6B In Online Bets Are Riding On The Outcome Of The 2024 Election

Gamblers overwhelmingly favor former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris, despite polls that show the race is a toss-up.

International Business Times

‘Never had data that looks this good’: Team Trump super confident heading into campaign’s final week

The former president often tells supporters he is ‘leading’ in polls and swing states - but the numbers remain deadlocked with only a week to go

The Independent UK

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Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were always a form of popular entertainment with a checkered record of accuracy

Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Their collective performance four years ago was their worst since 1980.

Fortune

Polymarket Whale Bets $2M On Trump's 67% Election Odds

With the U.S. election just days away, several mysterious whales have popped up on the blockchain prediction market.

International Business Times

Exclusive: Prediction market Kalshi launches crypto deposits as Trump maintains big lead on betting sites

Kalshi still lags behind Polymarket, the offshore leader among electoral betting markets.

Fortune

Robinhood wants a piece of the prediction markets pie: Users can now bet on who will win the presidential election

In recent weeks, prediction markets have shifted heavily in favor of Donald Trump, while voter polls show him tied with Kamala Harris.

Fortune

Georgia: A Key Battleground State Trump Widely Leads On Polymarket – Can Harris Flip It?

Georgia is one of the most significant swing states in this year's elections, particularly because of the shock flip voters delivered for Joe Biden in 2020, ending a nearly 30-year victory spree by Republican presidents in the Peach States.

International Business Times

A French whale has bet $45 million on a Trump win so far. Who is this?

The trader has made hundreds of gambles in favor of Trump and against Kamala Harris.

Fortune

Remember, you don't have to wait for election results to profit from presidential bets

Traders on presidential election prediction markets can close their positions by holding them until settlement or cashing them in early.

Fortune

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news in one place.

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Fortune

Polymarket says one French whale is responsible for the lion's share of bets on a Trump win, to the tune of $28 million worth of crypto

Four accounts owned by one French national have poured $35 million into the prediction market, and they’re all betting on Donald Trump to win the 2024 election.

The Independent UK

Here’s why you shouldn’t put your faith - or money - on election betting markets

Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn’t stopped people from making wagers

Fortune

Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling

Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market.

International Business Times

Investor Mark Cuban Says Polymarket Results Don't Really Indicate Anything – Is He Right?

Polymarket is a popular go-to for crypto users when they want to put their money on their views about the upcoming elections, but for Mark Cuban, the event contracts' numbers don't really indicate anything regarding the elections.

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news in one place.

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The Independent UK

Donald Trump’s odds of winning the White House are now higher than they were before he debated Joe Biden

Polymarket gave Trump a 64.1 percent chance of winning while Harris had a 35.9 percent chance of winning

Fortune

Polymarket bets tilt toward a Trump victory—but how accurate is it?

Polymarket odds offer a useful gauge for predicting the upcoming election, but there are significant caveats.

International Business Times

Candidates Ignoring Crypto Risk Losing A Growing, Informed Voter Base: Ripple CEO

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes that U.S. voters care about crypto and want policies to drive innovation and he believes candidates who ignore the industry risk losing a key voter base.

International Business Times

Mark Cuban On Election: 'It's The Harris Campaign Versus Elon'

The Kamala Harris supporter says the election is coming down to voter turnout.

International Business Times

Arizona: The Rising Swing State Leaning Trump So Far On Polymarket

Polymarket bettors believe Trump has higher chances of taking Arizona in this year's elections, but Harris still has a chance, given the state's battleground status that may all boil down to two key demographics.

International Business Times

$30 Million In Polymarket 'Voodoo' Bets Favoring Trump May Be Work Of One Wealthy Backer

The wagers placed by four anonymous accounts shifted the odds from even to 60-40 for the Republican nominee

The Independent UK

‘That’s a good thing for democracy’: Is gambling making politics fun?

Is election betting good fun, civic engagement, or a threat to democracy itself? asks Josh Marcus

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