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The Latest Breaking News from PierreOlivier Gourinchas

Signs point to slow start for economy in new year

Australia can expect lacklustre economic growth into early next year, with small businesses particularly vulnerable to sour economic conditions.

AAP

IMF Maintains 2024 Global Growth Forecast, Warns Of Inflation Risk

The IMF held global growth expectations for 2024 steady in a report Tuesday even as it cut forecasts for the United States and Japan, while warning of inflation risks and trade tensions ahead.

International Business Times

IMF's economic view: Brighter outlook for China and India but tepid global growth

The International Monetary Fund is upgrading its economic outlook this year for China, India and Europe while modestly lowering expectations for the United States and Japan

The Independent UK

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UK interest rates will stay high unless service sector inflation falls, says IMF

Warning comes as Bank of England policymakers say price growth in service sector could become embedded

The Guardian - UK

Middle East conflict risks sharp rise in oil prices, says IMF

In the UK, anxiety over the crisis after Iran’s missile strike on Israel drives down UK shares

The Guardian - UK

Budget clouded by global wars and weak economic growth

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will use talks in Washington to take the temperature of the global economy as he puts the finishing touches on his third federal budget.

AAP

The recent oil price spike fueled by rising Middle East tensions has the potential to derail the IMF's "relatively good" outlook for the world economy, its chief economist told AFP. "We are projecting a global economy that is quite resilient for 2024," Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said in an interview ahead of…

International Business Times

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UK households face second year without improved living standards, says IMF

Growth per head will remain flat this year as the effects of high inflation take time to abate

The Guardian - UK

With Rising Debt, the U.S. Federal Government Is in Bad Company

Governments around the world have been on a borrowing spree, and prosperity has suffered.

Reason

IMF Upgrades Global Economic Outlook, Expects Soft Landing

The International Monetary Fund forecasts resilient global economic growth led by the US and lower inflation rates, raising hopes for a soft landing.

Top News

IMF Lifts Global Growth Forecast Citing Unexpected 'Resilience'

The IMF announced Tuesday it has raised its 2024 global growth forecast to 3.1 percent, citing unexpected resilience in major advanced and emerging market economies around the world, including the United States and China.

International Business Times

IMF warns Jeremy Hunt against tax cuts in budget

Lower tax levels may not be possible without extra borrowing or post-election spending reductions, says Washington-based body

The Guardian - UK

IMF outlook worsens for a world economy left 'limping' by shocks like Russia's war

The International Monetary Fund warns that the world economy is losing momentum in the face of higher interest rates, the ongoing war in Ukraine and widening geopolitical rifts

The Independent UK

UK interest rates will need to stay high into 2024, warns IMF

Britain faces ‘fairly subdued’ growth and ‘persistent’ inflation, global economic health check finds

The Guardian - UK

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The Hindu

Resilient, but just: On the IMF’s economic outlook and lopsided growth

That there needs to be a concerted global debt resolution initiative to help highly indebted countries from sliding into debt distress cannot be ignored

Zenger

IMF Forecasts Global Growth Slowdown To 3% Amid Decreasing Inflation

Advanced economies bear brunt of slowdown, where growth is likely to fall from 2.7% in 2022 to 1.5% this year and 1.4% next year.‌

The Independent UK

IMF global economic outlook sees slight growth, but inflation still a drag

The International Monetary Fund is projecting that global economic growth will see a slight improvement compared to its previous projections but cautions that many challenges still cloud the horizon

The Guardian - UK

This isn’t wage-price inflation, it’s greedflation – and big companies are to blame

British ministers seem keen to avoid what the data tells us, says the Guardian’s economics editor, Larry Elliott

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The Guardian - AU

IMF expects Australia’s economy to slow amid ‘perilous’ international pressures

International Monetary Fund forecast echoes predictions from Treasury and RBA and warns ‘ominous forces’ may be behind global economic strains

The New Daily

IMF warns deeper financial turmoil would hit growth

The International Monetary Fund has trimmed its 2023 global growth outlook slightly as higher interest rates cool activity.

Fortune

'The situation is quite fragile': The IMF just issued its weakest outlook for the world economy in 3 decades

The IMF is worried about a “hard landing,” with sticky inflation meaning the odds of a recession have “risen sharply.”

Axios

IMF says world economy entering "tricky" phase

New forecasts show a gloomy outlook for global growth and inflation.

The Guardian - UK

Twin threats of rising rates and deglobalisation leave IMF spooked

Fund is more cautious about world economic outlook after turmoil at Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse

The Independent UK

IMF: Prolonged high inflation dims outlook for world economy

The outlook for the world economy this year has dimmed in the face of chronically high inflation, rising interest rates and uncertainties resulting from the collapse of two big American banks

The Guardian - UK

UK economy forecast to shrink by 0.3% this year, says IMF

IMF says euro area and UK – one of only two G7 countries forecast to contract in 2023 – especially hit by energy costs and inflation

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