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The Latest Breaking News from Monetary Policy

Global Market | AI boom could complicate central banks’ inflation assessment, monetary policy decisions: BIS

Artificial intelligence complicates economic assessments for central banks globally. The technology simultaneously boosts demand and expands future supply potential. Policymakers face an unusually complex environment as AI impacts investment and trade. Distinguishing AI-driven growth from overheating economies presents a key challenge. Monetary policy misjudgements risk increasing as economies adjust to…

The Economic Times

Barclays sees RBI holding rates in Aug policy as FCNR(B) inflows ease rupee concerns

In the forthcoming monetary policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain the current interest rates. The recent surge in foreign capital has mitigated fears surrounding the rupee's performance. However, sustained inflation levels pose a significant challenge for the bank's decisions. The current geopolitical landscape and the…

The Economic Times

US stocks: US market ends mixed as investors focus on tech earnings

Wall Street closed mixed as investors awaited tech earnings and feared rate hikes. Oil prices fell after President Trump discussed peace talks with Iran. Major technology firms like Microsoft and Apple will report their quarterly results this week. Investors are questioning the sustainability of the artificial intelligence rally. The Federal…

The Economic Times

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Global Market: Singapore Central Bank surprises markets with policy tightening amid inflation risks

Singapore's central bank unexpectedly tightened monetary policy on Monday. Persistent inflation risks from elevated energy costs prompted the move. The Monetary Authority of Singapore will slightly increase its exchange rate appreciation. This surprise decision boosted the Singapore dollar against the US dollar. Economists view this as a preventive step against…

The Economic Times

Global Market Today: Oil falls, Asian stocks rise as Iran tensions ease

Global markets saw oil prices fall and stocks rise as US and Iran paused retaliatory strikes. The dollar weakened against peers while Treasuries gained as inflation concerns receded. Traders now await Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and tech company earnings reports. Central banks globally will emphasize vigilance over higher energy…

The Economic Times

Japan bond jitters overshadow Takaichi's first economic policy roadmap

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's economic blueprint promises increased investment in growth areas. Market concerns persist regarding potential government interference in monetary policy decisions. Bond yields have risen, reflecting worries about Japan's substantial national debt. The administration adjusted its blueprint language to clarify the Bank of Japan's policy-setting independence. This focus…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Japan's Takaichi unveils growth blueprint, reiterates investment push amid bond market concerns

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi unveiled her first economic blueprint, promising stronger investment in strategic industries while reaffirming the Bank of Japan's monetary policy independence. The plan comes as rising bond yields and investor concerns over fiscal spending and political influence on the BOJ keep markets on edge.

The Economic Times

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Energy shock vs AI boom: RBI should act as and when external shocks push domestic data in a direction, not until then

Global growth faces pressure from an energy shock and a tech boom. The energy shock stems from conflict, impacting oil prices and shipping routes. Meanwhile, an AI boom supports growth, particularly in the United States. India's monetary policy must navigate these conflicting external conditions. RBI's MPC will likely adopt a…

The Economic Times

Global Market: German bond yields hit two-year high as oil surge fuels ECB rate hike bets

German bond yields rose as oil prices increased amid U.S.-Iran tensions. This surge strengthened expectations for the European Central Bank to tighten monetary policy. Money markets now anticipate higher deposit rates by early 2027. Traders have fully priced in a rate hike at the ECB's upcoming September meeting. Italy's 10-year…

The Economic Times

RBI Governor flags Iran war, weak monsoon as the biggest risks to India’s inflation and economic growth

Elevated inflation persists due to West Asian tensions and a weak monsoon outlook. The Reserve Bank of India maintains its policy rate, diverging from global peers. Governor Malhotra stated that domestic inflation pass-through has remained limited so far. India's economic fundamentals remain strong despite geopolitical uncertainties and growth forecasts. Policymakers…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Japan reaffirms BOJ independence in economic blueprint after market jitters

Japan's government reaffirms the Bank of Japan's independent role in monetary policy decisions. This clarification addresses market concerns raised by an earlier draft of the economic blueprint. The government will also decide on a potential food tax cut by early August. The blueprint emphasizes coordination while respecting the central bank's…

The Economic Times

JGBs hold steady as investors weigh inflation, central bank signals

Japanese government bond yields showed mixed movements on Friday. The benchmark ten-year yield increased, while the twenty-year yield slightly decreased. Investors are considering inflation risks and monetary policy signals from the Bank of Japan. Higher oil prices and steady economic data influenced global bond markets. Uncertainty about fiscal management and…

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Fed Chair Warsh keeps rate path unclear as policymakers differ on inflation outlook

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh prefers less market signaling on monetary policy. He emphasizes evaluating economic data before adjusting interest rates. Other Fed officials, however, offer clearer views on inflation and policy paths. Rising fuel costs and AI investment add new economic uncertainties. Markets seek more guidance ahead of the…

The Economic Times

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

The S&P 500 ended higher on Tuesday after a softer-than-expected inflation report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve may not need to tighten monetary policy as aggressively this year. Polymarket traders now expect the benchmark index to extend those gains at Wednesday’s open.

Benzinga

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International Business Times

Fed Chair Warsh Acknowledges Inflation Is An 'Undue Burden' On U.S. Households. He's Vowing To Make It 'A Thing Of The Past'

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh vowed to defeat inflation and "get monetary policy right."

The Economic Times

Global Market: UK bond yields hit one-month high as Middle East tensions boost rate-hike expectations

Middle East tensions are driving oil prices higher and impacting global energy supplies. This surge in oil prices is fueling inflation concerns and influencing monetary policy expectations. Investors now anticipate the Bank of England will maintain elevated interest rates for a longer duration. Higher bond yields signal increased borrowing costs…

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh unveils expert panels to overhaul US Central Bank policy framework

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh announced a comprehensive review of monetary policy. Five taskforces comprising prominent economists will lead this extensive review. These panels include experts from academia, business, and technology sectors. The review will examine monetary policy, communication, data analysis, and operational decision-making. This broad effort signals a reassessment…

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Inflation gathers pace as tariffs, energy costs and AI investment lift price pressures, says Fed

U.S. inflation accelerated during spring due to tariffs and rising energy costs. The Federal Reserve's report shows inflation remains significantly above its target. The labor market has largely stabilized, with demand and supply broadly in balance. Economic growth was moderate, supported by artificial intelligence infrastructure investment. Policymakers remain divided on…

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Barchart

Huge Earnings, Inflation Data and Other Key Things to Watch this Week

Markets face one of the year's most important weeks as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his inaugural semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Congress on July 14 and 15.

The Economic Times

Raghuram Rajan, Microsoft's Asha Sharma among Indian-origin appointees to US Fed review panels

US Federal Reserve appointed Indian-origin experts for policy review. Raghuram Rajan and Raj Chetty will join task forces. Asha Sharma will assess technology's impact on jobs and growth. These panels will examine monetary policy tools and data. The review aims to adapt the Fed to economic changes.

The Economic Times

Japan's wholesale inflation spikes as fuel costs, weak yen bite

Japan's wholesale inflation surged at its fastest pace in over three years. This acceleration was driven by rising fuel and metal prices, and a weak yen. The Bank of Japan warned of potential higher consumer inflation later this year. Government officials assured markets that monetary policy decisions remain with the…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Geopolitical risks return to centre stage for ECB as inflation fears resurface

Fresh US-Iran hostilities have pushed the European Central Bank back to its inflation fight. Rising energy prices now threaten to reignite price pressures across the euro zone. This renewed conflict has heightened uncertainty around the inflation outlook for policymakers. Market expectations have shifted, with traders betting on further ECB rate…

Benzinga

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Bets on AI, Taps Marc Andreessen and Xbox CEO Asha Sharma to Help 'Inform' Future Fed Policy

Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh has assembled a high-profile group of AI advocates to help evaluate how artificial intelligence could reshape the U.S. economy and influence future monetary policy.

The Economic Times

US Fed appoints Marc Andreessen to co-lead productivity, jobs task force to assess economic impact of new technologies

The US Federal Reserve has formed five task forces to modernize its monetary policy framework. Marc Andreessen will co-lead a task force examining technology's economic impact. These groups will provide independent recommendations to the Federal Open Market Committee. Prominent global economists and policymakers are participating in these important panels.

The Economic Times

RBI launches 3 key surveys to get input for monetary policy

The Reserve Bank of India launched three important surveys on Thursday. These surveys will gauge inflation expectations and consumer confidence among households. Data from these surveys will provide critical inputs for monetary policy formulation. The Inflation Expectations Survey of Households will cover nineteen cities. The Rural and Urban Consumer Confidence…

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