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The Latest Breaking News from Michelle Milthorpe

Two polls have Labor third on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election

With the Victorian state election in late November, two polls have Labor sinking to third on primary votes, behind One Nation and the Coalition. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s net approval is below -35 in both polls.

The Conversation

Trump’s ratings slide further, but gerrymanders will help Republicans at midterm elections

US President Donald Trump’s ratings have slid further to a new record low. But two recent court decisions will assist Republicans in using gerrymandering to avoid losing their majority in the House of Representatives.

The Conversation

How One Nation won in Farrer: the maps that show the big swings across the seat

The swing played out throughout the electorate – even in places like Albury – although the gains were largest in rural areas

The Guardian - AU

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Waking up in One Nation country: after the Coalition demolition, voters wait to see if Pauline Hanson’s party can deliver

A disaffected constituency that delivered a historic victory to the minor party also dashed ambitions of independent Michelle Milthorpe

The Guardian - AU

‘We’re coming after those other seats’: Pauline Hanson jubilant as One Nation wins Farrer byelection

David Farley secures One Nation’s first lower house win after Coalition vote collapses and Angus Taylor says Liberals will take ‘hard lessons’ from result

The Guardian - AU

'A tough ask': coalition braces for by-election defeat

The coalition's grip on the seat of Farrer could be over after more than 70 years, with One Nation and an independent in the box seat for a crucial by-election.

AAP

Morning Mail: woman charged with joining Islamic State, anger over drink branding, how Saudis sank Project Freedom

Three women arrested over terror-related offences after returning to Australia from Syria

The Guardian - AU

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Grattan on Friday: The Farrer result will set off a willy willy. The budget already has

The run-up to a budget always sees a degree of chaos. But this year it has looked like one of those willy willies that blow up in outback Australia when the wind stirs a storm of dust.

The Conversation

View from The Hill: Would Pauline Hanson really risk a tilt at the lower house?

As high poll numbers are increasingly emboldening One Nation, Pauline Hanson now says she might seek to move to the House of Representatives.

The Conversation

The Coalition is nailing its own coffin shut in Farrer. It should have had the courage to put One Nation last

By directing preferences to Pauline Hanson’s party, the Coalition may deliver One Nation its first election win in the lower house

The Guardian - AU

‘Dave is for Dave’: One Nation may gain its first elected MP in Farrer but would he survive in Hanson’s orbit?

David Farley is not your typical One Nation candidate – restrained on migration and conscious of climate. But history beckons in Saturday’s byelection

The Guardian - AU

Farrer fight: coalition battles to fend off One Nation

A by-election prompted by Sussan Ley's retirement could provide clues about how One Nation's political resurgence is redrawing Australia's electoral map.

AAP

Coalition preferences could deliver a One Nation victory in Farrer by-election

Since 2025, the radical-right One Nation party has experienced a polling surge – regularly polling ahead of the Coalition.

The Conversation

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Antony Green on how Farrer’s ‘breakout’ by-election will make history

Early voting is now in full swing for the coming Farrer election on May 9. The by-election is being framed as a temperature check of the right in federal politics, given the rise of One Nation and the collapse of the Liberal and National parties.

The Conversation

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AAP

'Brand damage' risk as Liberals preference One Nation

An ex-Liberal prime minister has slammed the party's decision to preference One Nation in the Farrer by-election as a pollster warns of possible brand damage.

The Conversation

The times seem to suit Anthony Albanese. So why isn’t he more popular?

The times might be bad, but they have suited Anthony Albanese. The explosions on the political right since the 2025 election have, in electoral terms, resulted so far mainly in a rearrangement of debris between the Coalition and One Nation.

The Conversation

View from The Hill: Taylor defends putting One Nation ahead of Farrer independent as ‘least worst option’

Opposition leader Angus Taylor has defended preferencing One Nation ahead of high-profile independent Michelle Milthorpe in the Farrer May 9 byelection, declaring this was “the least worst option”.

The Guardian - AU

Taylor says higher risk of ‘bad people coming from bad countries’ and that welcome to country ceremonies ‘overused’

Opposition leader doubles down on immigration policy and defends preferencing One Nation over independent in Farrer in ABC interview

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The Guardian - AU

Something has changed in Australia. The voters of Farrer may tell us what, and how much

The major parties look like also-rans in the byelection on 9 May, with One Nation and an independent favoured to fight it out. Is this a minor curiosity, or a political earthquake?

The Conversation

Slump for Labor in YouGov survey, but not in other federal polls

While a federal YouGov poll has Labor’s primary vote down three points to a tie with One Nation, that hasn’t been the case in any other federal poll this week, with Newspoll, Resolve and Morgan all much better for Labor. A Farrer byelection poll has given One Nation’s David Farley…

The Conversation

View from The Hill: It’s a chilly campaign for Matt Canavan in Farrer

Nationals leader Matt Canavan is giving the concept of the political “ground game” a new twist in the Farrer byelection.

The Guardian - AU

Don’t call me a teal: independent Michelle Milthorpe carves a fresh path as she takes on One Nation in Farrer byelection

Milthorpe – a teacher and advocate for child sexual assault survivors – says city MPs have little understanding of challenges facing the regions

The Conversation

Liberal candidate draws top of ballot paper in Farrer but faces mammoth battle

Liberal candidate Raissa Butkowski has drawn top position on the ballot paper for the May 9 Farrer byelection, in a field of a dozen candidates.

The Conversation

View from The Hill: One Nation’s performance in SA will send shivers down Angus Taylor’s spine for Farrer campaign

As he looks to his own coming wrestle with One Nation in the May 9 Farrer byelection, Angus Taylor can only take from Saturday’s South Australian result a sense of deep trepidation.

The Conversation

Politics with Michelle Grattan: why Farrer is a key test for One Nation vs the Coalition

The Farrer by-election on May 9 will be a major test for new Liberal leader Angus Taylor and new Nationals leader Matt Canavan, as well as a real-time measure of One Nation’s surging poll numbers.

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