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The Latest Breaking News from Luke Tryl

Monday briefing: How automatic voter registration could redraw Britain’s political map

In today’s newsletter: From students to renters to low-income families, entire communities are underrepresented at the ballot box, but who stands to gain at the next election?

The Guardian - UK

Starmer’s migrants return deal a ‘publicity stunt’ that won’t win back voters, top pollsters warn

Exclusive: The warning comes as new survey of Labour members seen by The Independent reveals concerns about Keir Starmer’s wider migration policy

The Independent UK

Starmer’s approval ratings at lowest level since becoming PM after welfare chaos

A More in Common poll also found seven in 10 voters think Sir Keir’s government is at least as chaotic as the Tories’ previous term

The Independent UK

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How does woke start winning again?

The long read: British progressives have suffered major setbacks in recent years, in both public opinion and court rulings. Was a backlash inevitable, and are new tactics needed?

The Guardian - UK

How voter dissatisfaction could give Reform a Holyrood byelection boost

Farage’s party anticipating a ‘tartan bounce’ in Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse seat amid unhappiness at SNP and Scottish Labour

The Guardian - UK

Local elections were ‘devastating’ for Labour, says top pollster John Curtice

Exclusive: Curtice warns that Starmer’s failings have opened the door for Reform, while fellow pollster Luke Tryl suggests the Tories only have 12 months to turn things around

The Independent UK

Voters name ‘none of the above’ as most popular candidate before local elections

Labour’s Keir Starmer, Reform’s Nigel Farage, the Conservative’s Kemi Badenoch and Lib Dem’s Ed Davey all trailing as voters prepare to go to the polls on Thursday

The Independent UK

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‘Disillusionment’ a driver ahead of local elections, says pollster

Voters across parts of England will go to the polls on Thursday to elect councillors, regional mayors, and a new MP in the seat of Runcorn and Helsby.

Evening Standard

Labour Meltdown Mega Poll Predicts Rayner and Starmer’s Team Out

Angela Rayner and several senior Labour Cabinet members could be out of a job if a general election was held tomorrow.

The Fashion Central

Reform would be biggest party in hung parliament if election held today, new poll says

More in Common director Luke Tryl said the survey shows ‘British politics has fragmented to an unprecedented level’

The Independent UK

Reform on course to win most seats if election were held now, poll suggests

Labour could lose 246 seats, including 10 Cabinet ministers, according to a More in Common survey.

Evening Standard

Dear Keir Starmer, there is a way to rout Nigel Farage – and it’s staring you in the face

Middle class and blue collar voters both abhor rampant corporate greed. Reform is in league with big business in a way that Labour is not, says Guardian associate editor Julian Coman

The Guardian - UK

Labour steps up attacks on Farage and Reform over pro-Russia stance

Government targets party’s ‘softness on standing up to Putin’ to show Reform is out of step with UK public

The Guardian - UK

Leftwing activists less likely to work with political rivals than other UK groups, study finds

Exclusive: Lack of understanding by ‘progressive activists’ of other voting blocs has led to rise of far right, authors argue

The Guardian - UK

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The Independent UK

Top pollster Sir John Curtice says Farage’s Reform challenge is real

Leading polling experts Professor John Curtice, Lord Hayward and Luke Tryl explain why the surge in support for Reform UK, coupled with a historic collapse for Labour, is a genuine trend in British politics

The Independent UK

Labour ‘lacks coherent story’ and is leaving door open to Nigel Farage’s Reform, warn top pollsters

Figures from inside and outside the Labour ranks have warned Keir Starmer to stop governing like a technocrat and build a coherent story to take on Nigel Farage

Evening Standard

Nigel Farage threatens legal action against Badenoch over Reform membership ‘fakery’ claim

Row comes after Reform UK claimed to have surpassed Conservatives in membership

Evening Standard

Kemi Badenoch accuses Nigel Farage of ‘fakery’ over Reform UK membership numbers

Conservative leader casts doubt on Reform UK’s claim to have surpassed Tories in membership

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The Independent UK

Kemi Badenoch accuses Nigel Farage of ‘fakery’ over ReformUK membership numbers

A digital counter on the Reform website showed a membership tally before lunchtime on Boxing Day ticking past 131,680.

The National (Scotland)

Nigel Farage's Reform UK claims membership has surpassed Tories

MEMBERSHIP of Reform UK has surpassed that of the Conservatives, Nigel Farage’s party has claimed ...

The Independent UK

Pollsters warn Keir Starmer too few Britons know about his more popular policies

Labour prime minister is facing calls to install an ‘Alastair Campbell-type’ figure in No 10

The Independent UK

Tories take narrow poll lead over Labour in Badenoch’s first week as leader

Kemi Badenoch has taken the party to 29 per cent of the vote, according to pollsters More in Common, with Labour languishing on just 27 per cent. It is the highest rating for the Conservatives since February

The Guardian - UK

Labour lacks strategy to tackle Farage as Reform UK sets sights on Senedd seats

Conditions are ripe for Reform to do well in 2026 Welsh elections and even beat Tories to second place

The Independent UK

Pollsters warn Kemi Badenoch to avoid being ‘overly combative’ to win back voters

Kemi Badenoch used her first interview as Tory leader to describe the Partygate scandal as ‘overblown’

The Independent UK

Keir Starmer suffers ‘unprecedented’ collapse in popularity for new PM

The prime minister’s approval rating has collapsed since winning the election

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