LABOUR have overtaken Reform in Westminster polling from a major firm for the first time in more than a year.
In a new survey from More in Common, Andy Burnham’s Labour Party polled at 28%, up four points in a week and four points ahead of Reform UK.
Nigel Farage’s party polled at 24%, down two points in a week, while Kemi Badenoch’s Tory Party polled at 22%, no change.
The LibDems polled at 12%, the Green Party 8%, and other parties or independent candidates at 4%. The SNP, who stand only in Scotland, polled at 2% UK wide.
Our latest voting intention sees a cross over. Labour move ahead by 4. Their first lead since March 2025 & highest share since Nov 24 🌹 LAB 28% (+4)⁰⏩ REF 24% (-2)⁰🌳 CON 22% (nc)⁰🔶 LIB DEM 12% (+1)⁰🟢 GREEN 8% (-3)⁰🟡 SNP 2% (nc) N = 2061| Dates 24-27/7| Change w 22/7 pic.twitter.com/P0P8JsJ7Uz
— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) July 27, 2026
An estimate from Electoral Calculus’s seat projection tool said this result, if repeated at a General Election, would leave Labour the largest party but around 25 seats short of an outright majority in the Commons.
The poll of 2061 UK voters, conducted from July 24-27, is the first from a major firm to put Labour ahead of Reform since April 2025, when YouGov gave Labour a one-point lead. A More in Common poll conducted around the same time found a Labour-Reform tie.
Luke Tryl, UK director at More in Common, said: “It’s only been a week since he entered office, but it’s clear that momentum is on the Prime Minister’s side.
“After a jam-packed week of high-profile policy announcements and media appearances, the Labour Party has surged in our weekly poll.
“With all the caveats that it’s just one poll, Labour now leads for the first time since March of last year, and hold their highest vote share since the early months of this government in 2024. And with both Reform and the Green Party dropping to their lowest vote share in months, it seems that this early focus on the cost of living has appealed to voters that Labour has lost across left and right.
“It’s too early to see if this lead in the polls will be sustainable as Burnham makes his first moves [and] gets further into the practicalities of governing, but for the first time in a while, it seems that the government’s electoral fortunes could be lifting.”
On Friday, a YouGov poll gave Reform UK a two-point lead over Labour (on 23% vs 21%). The Tories polled at 20%, the LibDems 14%, and the Greens 13%. YouGov also found 4% support for the far-right Restore Britain party, and 3% for the SNP.
