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The Latest Breaking News from International Monetary Fund

Iran War Shock Leaves UK Policymakers Trapped Between Inflation and Recession Risks

The UK economy is threatened by a £35bn loss due to rising energy prices from the Iran conflict, risking recession and high inflation, warns NIESR.

International Business Times UK

The Bahamas Financial Pivot: From Offshore Haven to Digital Hub

IMF research has estimated that automatic exchange agreements reduced cross-border deposits in offshore centres by between sixteen and thirty-three per cent.

International Business Times

Iran war will trigger largest energy price surge since 2022, World Bank warns

The World Bank’s latest Commodity Markets Outlook report predicts a 24% surge in energy prices this year as the Iran war delivers a historic shock to global supply chains.

Euronews

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ECB interest rate dilemma: Eurozone growth stalls as Iran war fuels inflation

The European Central Bank faces heightened uncertainty ahead of next week’s rate decision, with President Christine Lagarde warning the "stop-start nature" of the Iran war is making the economic outlook harder to assess.

Euronews

Iran war effects on Europe: Is a recession already unfolding?

The eurozone’s private sector slipped back into contraction in April, marking its weakest performance in nearly a year and a half since November 2024, as the war in Iran hit services and fuelled inflation.

Euronews

Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption drive Wall Street shift to 24/7 tokenised markets

Driven by the need to manage risk outside of traditional exchange hours and the desire for greater capital efficiency, major banks and hedge funds are moving towards "always-on" digital infrastructure.

Euronews

The $100 oil shock is hitting the middle class like a margin call

As gas tops $4 a gallon, Wall Street debates inflation. But middle-class families and female breadwinners are absorbing the shock with little margin left.

Fortune

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UK 'On Brink' Of Recession — 250,000 People Could Lose Jobs By Mid-2027 Due To Iran War

EY Item Club warns the UK will 'flirt with recession' as the Iran conflict oil shock pushes unemployment to 5.8 per cent and halves GDP growth forecast.

International Business Times UK

Large Energy Companies Speed Up Search For New Ventures Far From The Middle East Due To War Uncertainty: Report

Large energy companies are speeding up energy projects far from the Middle East as uncertainty related to the war in Iran lingers, according to a new report.

International Business Times

Major Energy Companies Reportedly Reach Natural Gas Deal With Venezuela

Two major energy companies have reached a deal with Venezuela's interim government to revive production in a large offshore field and begin exporting natural gas, according to a new report.

International Business Times

It’s crunch time for Kevin Warsh: Here’s how he might try to begin selling the idea of rate cuts. It requires some complex economic gymnastics

“In a way, one can afford a lower interest rate with a smaller balance sheet.”

Fortune

Best Prime Video top 10 movies — here are the 3 worth streaming this week (April 20-26)

Our weekly guide to the three best trending movies in Prime Video's top 10 movies list, including a dystopian action-thriller with Glen Powell.

Tom’s Guide

IMF US Debt Warning Shows How 'Safety Premium' Collapse Costs UK Homeowners £1,200 More on Mortgages

The rise in US Treasury yields is causing UK mortgage rates to increase by £1,200 annually for homeowners. Learn about the IMF's warnings and what they mean for your financial future.

International Business Times UK

Yuan for oil payments? UAE seeks US safety net amid Iran war - report

The UAE has requested a US financial safety net amid concerns that an Iran war could severely damage its economy and investor confidence. Talks included a currency-swap line proposal, as the UAE fears needing to use other currencies for transactions if dollar shortages arise.

The Times of India

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The Independent UK

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Trump envoys ‘disrespectful’ for visiting Moscow not Kyiv, Zelensky says

Zelensky says that the shortage of Patriot missiles is ‘worse than ever’ through the US-Iran crisis

The Independent UK

Quarter of a million people could lose their jobs by 2027 as UK ‘flirts with recession’

The job market will endure its ‘biggest hit since the pandemic’

Fortune

The explosion of U.S. debt is wiping out the 'safety premium' of Treasury bonds, and time is running out for an orderly fiscal solution, IMF warns

“In other words, Treasuries now offer a higher yield than the synthetic-dollar equivalents for hedged G10 sovereign bonds.”

The Economic Times

Charting the Global Economy: IMF trims world growth projections

The International Monetary Fund has lowered its global growth forecast for 2026. This adjustment comes as the war in the Middle East has caused a significant oil price shock. The IMF also anticipates higher inflation due to rising energy and food costs.

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Euronews

Which European countries will be the richest by 2030?

IMF projections show significant increases in GDP per capita in euro terms across Europe by 2030, but the rankings do not change significantly in terms of purchasing power.

The Guardian - UK

Reeves rightly fears the bond market, but she can afford to ditch one unhelpful rule

The chancellor has wisely vowed to drive down the annual deficit, but long-term defence investment must not be delayed

The Guardian - UK

Central bank bosses enlist for war game to gauge threat of Lehman-style bust

Finance chiefs to join exercise in Washington designed to assess how they would handle collapse of significant bank

The Guardian - UK

‘It’s a twilight zone’: Iran war casts deep shadows over IMF gathering in Washington

Rachel Reeves joins global finance chiefs in highlighting how households and businesses are feeling the pain of higher energy prices

International Business Times

Euro Zone Inflation Risks Escalate As ECB Signals Persistent Price Pressures

The European Central Bank is facing renewed scrutiny over its inflation outlook as new signals point to lingering price pressures across services and energy-sensitive sectors.

The Guardian - UK

Rachel Reeves to raise windfall tax on low-carbon electricity generators

Chancellor aims to curb households’ rising bills as she consults on reforms to weaken link between gas and electricity prices

International Business Times

IMF, World Bank Resume Contact With Venezuela In Further Recognition Of Interim Government

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank announced they resumed engagement with Venezuela, a development that could pave the way for the country to receive international funding the first time in several years.

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