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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

S&P Futures Plummet as Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Fears

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are trending down -1.77% this morning as the Middle East conflict has entered its fourth day with no signs of de-escalation, driving oil prices higher and stoking inflation concerns.

Barchart

Strait of Hormuz Closure is a Guaranteed Global Recession, Inflation Risks Surge on Rising Oil Prices

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could impact global energy supply chains and drive up oil prices, which analysts believe could lead to a worldwide recession.

International Business Times UK

Iran war casts a pall over UK economic update

With oil prices soaring and stocks tanking, the fast-evolving Iran war has cast a pall over the economic forecasts that British Treasury chief Rachel Reeves is set to unveil later Tuesday

The Independent UK

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Greggs warns conditions ‘still tough’ for shoppers after slump in profits

Boss Roisin Currie said that ‘easing inflationary pressures’ should boost consumer spending this year.

Evening Standard

Greggs boss blames weight-loss drugs and ‘tough’ conditions as profits slump

The bakery giant’s boss anticipates that ‘easing inflationary pressures’ will boost consumer spending

The Independent UK

Surprise jump in UK grocery inflation makes interest rate cut less probable

ECB says Middle East war could cause higher inflationary pressure and warns of potential ‘sharp drop in output’

The Guardian - UK

Soaring oil and gas prices threaten new inflation headache for Reeves

Qatar produces a fifth of the world’s LNG and is the biggest supplier to Asia

Evening Standard

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Grocery price inflation rises to 4.3% in blow to households

The increase follows four consecutive months of falls, according to Worldpanel by Numerator figures.

Evening Standard

Iran conflict could have ‘very significant’ impact on UK economy, OBR warns; FTSE 100’s biggest fall in 11 months – as it happened

Spring forecast show UK unempoyment to peak higher than feared, as tax take heads for a record, but headroom against fiscal rules has increased

The Guardian - UK

Iran attacks threaten US economy with more uncertainty around inflation, growth

The U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran add yet more question marks around a U.S. economy already buffeted by on-and-off tariffs, weak hiring, and lingering inflationary pressures

The Independent UK

Why surging oil prices are a shock for the global economy – but not yet a crisis

Global oil markets have reacted swiftly to escalating tensions in the Middle East as the United States and Israel continue their assault on Iran.

The Conversation

Australian shares drop as conflict realities set in

ASX shares have given way after an optimistic start to the week as investors braced for more impacts of the Middle East conflict on oil prices and inflation.

AAP

‘Live’ chance of interest rate hike at March RBA meeting amid oil price spikes affecting inflation, governor says

Michele Bullock not ‘making a prediction’, but cites rise in oil prices due to attacks on Iran and tight labour market as factors in possible cash rate rise

The Guardian - AU

Shop price inflation eases – but food costs are still up from a year ago

Consumers are paying 3.5 per cent more for food than a year ago

The Independent UK

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Evening Standard

Shop price inflation eases but food costs still 3.5% up on a year ago

Overall shop inflation fell slightly to 1.1% from January’s 1.5%, according to the British Retail Consortium and NIQ.

Beating Broke

The One Simple Financial Shift That Stops You From Always Feeling One Paycheck Behind

Have you’ve ever checked your bank account the night before payday and felt that tight knot in your stomach, you’re not alone. Plenty of responsible, hardworking people still feel like they’re sprinting on a financial treadmill that never slows down. The bills get paid, the lights stay on, and somehow…

AAP

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

The battle to tame inflation has been thrown into more uncertainty by conflict in Iran and the Middle East, the Reserve Bank governor says.

Barchart

Dollar Soars as T-Notes Yields Jump on Inflation Fears

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rose by +0.97% on Monday and posted a 5-week high. The dollar rallied on Monday after oil prices surged to an 8.25-month high, boosting inflation expectations and reducing the chance of additional Fed rate cuts, a supportive factor for the dollar. Also, Monday's better-than-expected Fed...

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GOBankingRates

5 Chef-Approved Sam’s Club Grocery Items To Beat Inflation

With food inflation still driving up grocery bills, here are five chef-approved Sam's Club grocery items worth adding to your cart.

The Free Financial Advisor

5 Moves to Make Before the Federal Reserve Cuts Rates Again in 2026

The next rate cut may not arrive quietly. When the Federal Reserve shifts direction, markets react fast, banks adjust even faster, and money starts flowing in new directions. Anyone who waits for the announcement before taking action will likely miss the best opportunities.

The Guardian - UK

How escalating Iran conflict is driving up oil and gas prices – a visual guide

A halt to shipping in strait of Hormuz and attacks on Middle East refineries are threatening supplies and stoking inflation

Axios

Iran conflict could worsen America's affordability crisis

Gas prices were among the few deflationary sources in the economy where price pressures are apparent on multiple fronts.

Axios

The Iran conflict matters more for inflation than growth

Americans will see higher prices for energy in the weeks ahead.

The Guardian - UK

MPs’ basic salary to rise to £110,000 by end of parliament, watchdog says

Ipsa cites rising abuse and constituency workloads as reasons for above-inflation increase of 5% from April

The Independent UK

US stock market slips and oil prices leap as Iran crisis sparks inflation fears

Oil prices surged over 6% and global stock markets declined Monday following the Middle East conflict. Higher crude and natural gas prices sparked inflation fears, impacting consumer spending and specific sectors like airlines and cruise lines. Investors sought safety in gold, while Treasury yields rose, potentially complicating future interest rate…

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