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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Will the FOMC Raise Interest Rates One Last Time this Year?

The markets are unanimously expecting the FOMC at its 2-day meeting that begins today to leave its funds rate target range unchanged at 5.25%/5.50%. However, the markets are still on guard for one last rate hike this year. Specifically, the markets are discounting the odds at 29% that the FOMC...

Barchart

Bank of England should speed up interest rate cuts to avoid further pain

City Voices: Higher interest rates and more people out of work means there is just less money to go around

Evening Standard

Stocks Fall as Crude Oil Surge Complicates the FOMC’s Task

What you need to know… The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.44%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.80%. Stocks are falling on this morning’s weak U.S. housing...

Barchart

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S&P Futures Plunge Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Oil’s Climb Raises Inflation Concerns

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending down -0.51% this morning as market participants geared up for a big week for central banks, with the spotlight on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Barchart

S&P Futures Tick Lower Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Oil’s Climb Raises Inflation Concerns

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending down -0.05% this morning as market participants geared up for a big week for central banks, with the spotlight on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Barchart

Markets Today: Stocks Little Changed as FOMC Expected to Announce a Hawkish Pause

Morning Markets December E-Mini S&P 500 futures (ESZ2 3) and Dec Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ2 3) this morning are little changed. Stock index futures this morning are little changed but are seeing downward pressure from this morning’s weak U.S. housing starts report and today’s +3.8 bp rise in the...

Barchart

Crude oil tops $95 a barrel raising fears of return to rising inflation

Oil price is bad news for central banks trying to tame inflation and will add to pressure to further increase interest rates

The Guardian - UK

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The Bank of England should be brave and pause interest rate rises

City Comment: Rate-setters should look past Wednesday’s inflation figures

Evening Standard

S&P Futures Tick Higher Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Oil’s Climb Raises Inflation Concerns

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are trending up +0.12% this morning as market participants geared up for a big week for central banks, with the spotlight on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Barchart

UK flatlining economy will grow slower and suffer higher inflation than eurozone in 2023, leading economists

Government accused of leaving Britain ‘stuck in the slow lane’

Evening Standard

Germany will suffer worst from world economic slowdown, says OECD

Higher interest rates and weaker trade, as well as sluggish growth in China, likely to hit big economies

The Guardian - UK

OECD inflation outlook suggests further Australian interest rate rises possible

Intergovernmental economic organisation warns core inflation across the world remains ‘persistent’ and may require policy action from Reserve Bank

The Guardian - AU

Sharper China slowdown risks blunting Australian growth

The global economy is expected to keep slowing in response to higher interest rates, forecasts by a major global organisation show.

AAP

Oil hits $95 per barrel; CBI postpones annual meeting amid ‘cashflow challenges’ – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as Brent crude hits 10-month high and CBI puts annual meeting on hold amid financial woes

The Guardian - UK

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AAP

Inflation cooling to plan but fuel on RBA's watchlist

The Reserve Bank of Australia appears comfortable with the inflation outlook but there are concerns about petrol prices and a weakening Chinese economy.

The Independent UK

September dates for benefits, pensions and cost of living payments

Inflation falling but not swiftly enough to prevent further interest rate rise making life tougher for mortgage holders

The Independent UK

October dates for benefits, pensions and cost of living payments

Lower Energy Price Cap coming into effect this autumn but stubborn inflation means further interest rate hike likely to continue to place strain on mortgage holders

France 24

French supermarkets call out food producers for ‘shrinkflation’

French retail giant Carrefour has started putting stickers on products that have shrunk in size but that cost the same or even more, in a bid to warn customers against "shrinkflation". The move comes ahead of new contract talks that are set to begin soon. Meanwhile, the government is planning…

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Inverse

On A Cosmic Scale, The Universe Is Quite Small — This Could Transform Our Understanding Of It

A new paper argues that the observable Universe is mostly all there is.

Fortune

Wall Street’s Dr. Doom is sounding downright sunny as he predicts a 'short and shallow’ recession or even no recession at all instead of the epic collapse he saw in 2022

Nouriel Roubini saw a “variant of another Great Depression” less than a year ago, but now he’s open to a soft landing without any recession at all.

The Independent UK

Federal Reserve is poised to leave rates unchanged as it tracks progress toward a 'soft landing'

Since Federal Reserve officials last met in July, the economy has moved in the direction they hoped to see: Inflation continues to ease, if more slowly than most Americans would like, while growth remains solid and the job market cools

Evening Standard

Minister urged to un-freeze housing benefit amid rising homelessness

A City Hall politician has urged minister Mel Stride to increase local housing allowance

Evening Standard

Inflation rate set to rise again as Bank of England decision on interest rates looms

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, fell to 6.2 per cent, shocking economists and likely putting an interest rate pause on the table when the Bank of England meets on Thursday

The Guardian - UK

Beware sharper economic slowdown and tougher inflation, warns adviser to central banks

Bank of International Settlements said markets risk ignoring aftershocks from inflation such as insolvencies and property price falls

AAP

Petrol price surge further stretches household budgets

Motorists have been hit in the hip pocket by petrol price rises and the latest spike may put a dent in the Reserve Bank's fight against inflation.

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