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The Latest Breaking News from an El Niño

Cocoa Markets Price in Global Weather Risks

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Wednesday closed up +2 (+0.05%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +5 (+0.16%). Cocoa prices climbed to 3-week highs on Wednesday and settled slightly higher. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was...

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The weather bureau has just declared an El Niño. What could this mean for Australia?

After months of anticipation, the Bureau of Meteorology officially declared an El Niño on June 16.

The Conversation

El Niño Weather Risks Push Cocoa Prices Sharply Higher

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Tuesday closed up +260 (+6.70%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +175 (+5.88%). Cocoa prices rallied to 2.5-week highs on Tuesday and settled sharply higher. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was...

Barchart

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Cocoa Prices Soar on El Niño Weather Risks

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is up +261 (+6.72%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is up +169 (+5.68%). Cocoa prices are soaring today and posted 2.5-week highs. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was confirmed last week. An...

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Afternoon Update: BoM’s El Niño prediction; academic used AI to write op-ed; and gen Z’s fear of being cringe

Australia should prepare for an El Niño, with the BoM and other agencies forecasting that the weather phenomenon is likely to develop in coming months

The Guardian - AU

El Niño expected to develop in coming months, bringing hotter and drier weather to eastern Australia

BoM and other agencies expect transition to the first El Niño since spring 2023 sometime during winter

The Guardian - AU

Sugar Prices Climb on Global Weather Concerns

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN26 ) on Thursday closed up +0.17 (+1.15%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ26 ) closed up +4.00 (+0.91%). Sugar prices rallied on Thursday amid growing worries that dry weather from an El Niño weather event could disrupt global sugar production. The emergence...

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Why the phrase ‘Super El Niño’ makes Australian climate scientists roll their eyes

Frightening headlines predicting a Super El Niño or even a Godzilla El Niño amp up anxiety levels for farmers and residents of bushfire-prone regions.

The Conversation

Chance of El Niño forming in Pacific Ocean may push global temperatures to record highs in 2027

One expert says 2027 could be even hotter than the last three years, which have been the top three warmest on record

The Guardian - AU

Volcano Were Blamed for the Greatest of Earth’s ‘Big Five’ Mass Extinctions — Scientists Might Have Been Wrong

A new study reveals that an El Niño weather pattern in the world’s major ocean added to climate chaos and led to extinctions spreading across the globe.

Inverse

Is Australia’s climate confusing you? Here’s why rainfall and temperatures don’t always behave as expected

In the past few years in Australia, seasonal rainfall and temperatures have left a lot of people confused. Sometimes, the hot, dry conditions usually associated with an El Niño have not eventuated. Similarly, there have been years where a La Niña did not lead to the cool, wet conditions expected.

The Conversation

BoM declares the El Niño is over and another La Niña could be on the way

Seven months after an El Niño associated with hotter and drier weather got under way, conditions have returned to neutral

The Guardian - AU

We're in an El Niño – so why has Australia been so wet?

After three La Niña summers many of us would have been expecting much hotter and drier conditions this spring and summer after the arrival of El Niño. Instead, in many parts of eastern Australia it’s rained and rained over the last few weeks.

The Conversation

3 ways to prepare for bushfire season if you have asthma or another lung condition

Australia’s bushfire season is officially under way during an El Niño. And after three wet years, and the plant growth that comes with it, there’s fuel to burn.

The Conversation

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The Guardian - AU

Australia now in El Niño climate pattern, increasing bushfire risk, BOM says

BoM warns it’s likely ‘this summer will be hotter than average and certainly hotter than the last three years’

The Guardian - AU

The BoM has finally declared an El Niño. What does it mean – and why did it take so long?

Here’s what you need to know about the El Niño climate pattern and how it could impact Australia’s summer bushfire season

The Guardian - AU

Australia headed for hot and dry spring after unseasonably warm winter

Most of the country likely to experience ‘unusually warm days’ but Bureau of Meteorology has yet to declare an El Niño

The Guardian - AU

Australia may face a summer of heatwaves, even without El Niño

Bureau of Meterology says most of the country is likely to be warmer than average, but El Niño pattern is hard to predict with certainty

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The Guardian - AU

What do the ‘supercharged’ northern hemisphere heatwaves mean for the Australian summer?

‘If we have an El Niño supercharged by climate change then we could be in for a very bad summer,’ a UNSW academic says

The Conversation

A climate expert explains the Northern Hemisphere's weird, wild summer - and what it means for Australia

The Northern Hemisphere summer has brought one extreme event after another – from heatwaves to wildfires and floods. It comes as the world likely heads into an El Niño pattern, which brings a higher chance of hot, dry weather in much of Australia.

The Guardian - AU

El Niño: what does it mean for Australia – and are more heatwaves and bushfires inevitable?

The UN has declared the world to be in the grip of the weather pattern but Australian scientists are not so sure. Why the uncertainty?

The Conversation

It’s official: Australia is set for a hot, dry El Niño. Here’s what that means for our flammable continent

An El Niño event has arrived, according to the World Meteorological Organization, raising fears of record high global temperatures, extreme weather and, in Australia, a severe fire season.

The Guardian - AU

Ocean temperatures around Australia 0.5C above June average as UN declares an El Niño

World Meteorological Organization says weather pattern is in place, which for Australia increases risk of drought, heatwaves, bushfires and coral bleaching

The Conversation

El Niño could push global warming past 1.5℃ – but what is it and how does it affect the weather in Europe?

Scientists have warned that 2024 could mark the year when global warming exceeds 1.5℃ above pre-industrial levels. They attribute these predictions, at least in part, to the emergence of an El Niño event.

The Conversation

An El Niño looms over Australia's stressed electricity system – and we must plan for the worst

The Bureau of Meteorology this week declared a 70% chance of an El Niño developing this year. It’s bad timing for the electricity sector, and means Australians may face supply disruptions and more volatile energy prices.

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