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Scotonomics: The UK media has no idea how the markets work

Here is this week's Scotonomics, we hope you will enjoy. This week the newsletter comes from William Thomson (follow me on X/Twitter!)

The National (Scotland)

Stocks Rally on Hopes of Softer US Tariff Policies

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.73%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +1.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.88%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.71%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Trump calls on FCC chair to impose ‘maximum fines and punishment’ on Paramount’s CBS over 60 Minutes

Donald Trump took issue with its 60 Minutes news program after it aired two segments regarding the war in Ukraine and his plan to annex Denmark’s autonomous territory of Greenland.

Fortune

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Stocks Climb as President Trump Exempts Consumer Electronics from Reciprocal Tariffs

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.20%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.82%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.26%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.22%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Soar on Tech Tariff Reprieve, U.S. Economic Data and Earnings in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM25) are up +1.24%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM25) are up +1.69% this morning, pointing to a strong open on Wall Street after U.S. President Donald Trump paused import duties on various consumer electronics.

Barchart

What’s Driving S&P 500 Volatility?

The U.S. economy is navigating a complex landscape. Inflation continues its gradual descent toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, while the labor market shows signs of cooling yet remains relatively resilient.

inkl

Jamie Dimon argues JPMorgan can help fix bond market chaos

The Treasury market helps the global economy go-round, and Wall Street is watching closely for signs the Fed may need to intervene.

Fortune

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US consumer sentiment tumbles as trade war fears grow

Expectations of rising unemployment hit the highest level since 2009.

Al Jazeera

Stocks Recover on a Report the Fed Is Ready to Stabilize Markets

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Friday closed up +1.81%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +1.56%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +1.89%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.84%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stock Market Today: Stocks Surge to Close a Volatile Week

It was another day with a week's worth of both news and price action, but it ended on a strongly positive note.

Kiplinger

Tariff Angst Sinks the Dollar and Boosts Gold to a Record High

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Friday fell by -0.80% and posted a 3-year low. The dollar retreated Friday because of concerns that the escalation of the US-China trade war would derail the economy and lead to stagflation. On Friday, China raised tariffs on all US goods to 125% from 84%...

Barchart

This Tweet Got Ignored in January — Now It's the Most Accurate Market Call of 2025

Most analysts are now sounding recession alarms, but Runefelt says that's exactly the problem. "Accuracy means saying what people don't want to hear when markets are at all-time highs."

International Business Times

US Fed Officials See Higher Inflation Ahead As Consumer Confidence Plunges

Policymakers at the US Federal Reserve on Friday warned of higher inflation and slower growth ahead due to Donald Trump's tariff policy, which has sent shock waves through global markets.

International Business Times

Trump’s tariffs: A simple illustrated guide to 15 economic terms to know

What do terms like tariffs, trade deficits, trade wars, bonds, and recession mean in simple language?

Al Jazeera

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news in one place.

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Barchart

Stocks Waver Friday After Wild Week of Volatility

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.39%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.41%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.54%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +0.86%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stocks Pressured by Soaring Price Expectations

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.16%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.25%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.15%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are down -0.19%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The Conversation

Jitters in the US bond market look like the main reason Trump hit pause on higher tariffs

Bond markets don’t often make front-page news but the recent sharp sell-off in US Treasuries appears to have been enough to prompt US president Donald Trump to pause his plans for new tariffs.

The Independent UK

Potential impact of trade war on jobs and inflation sends US consumer sentiment plunging

Consumer sentiment fell sharply in April for the fourth straight month as the trade war has fueled worries about the health of the job market and inflation

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Barchart

Dollar Sinks to a 3-Year Low as US-China Trade Way Escalates

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -1.20% and tumbled to a 3-year low. The dollar is sharply lower today because of concerns that the escalation of the US-China trade war would derail the economy and lead to stagflation. China raised tariffs on all US goods to 125%...

Barchart

Stocks Wobble After Wild Week of Tariff Swings

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.22%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.27%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.07%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +0.17%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stocks Push Higher on Strength in Bank Earnings and Easing Price Pressures

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.43%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.65%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +0.34%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Fortune

Trump is once again pushing for a rate cut. FOMC members are building a credibility barricade around Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell, Tom Barkin, Jeff Schmid, and Lorie Logan have said they’ll wait for data before axing the interest rate—not what President Trump wants.

Fortune

Inside the bond market’s $800 billion ‘murder mystery’

One of Trump’s head economists said the spike in yields added “urgency” to the decision to pause the president’s reciprocal tariffs.

Euronews

How Trump’s tariffs could impact upcoming big US bank earnings

The US earnings season begins on Friday, with major banks reporting their first-quarter results before the market opens. Despite expectations for solid quarterly performances, analysts anticipate conservative guidance due to tariff-related uncertainties.

Barchart

Stocks Fall Sharply as Tariff Concerns Weigh on Growth Prospects

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Thursday closed down -3.46%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -2.50%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -4.19%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are down -3.51%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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