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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Cohn

Don't Call It a Realignment

Trump is squandering the record gains he made with minorities in 2024.

Reason

Is The US Election Really So Close?

The United States stands on edge as polls suggest one of the closest presidential races in history between former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

International Business Times

Harris stretches lead over Trump in what could be significant increase

While election almost certain to be decided by swing states, pollsters explain why growth in national polls is meaningful

The Guardian - US

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More Vance Than Anyone Could Ever Need

Plus: Long live Eric Adams, Electoral College bias, and more...

Reason

Examination: Are the polls even reliable

After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?

Salon

Poll showing Trump up 10 points over Biden for 2024 election criticized

A Washington Post-ABC poll showed results that diverge from most other surveys, and even the pollsters issued a caveat

The Guardian - US

Republicans have learned nothing

Pennsylvania Republicans had a can of whoop-ass opened on them — so they're doubling down on dumb MAGA antics

Salon

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New polls show Nevada Senate race a toss-up

LAS VEGAS — The latest batch of polling shows Nevada’s pivotal U.S. Senate race between incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican challenger Adam Laxalt is incredibly close.

Tribune News Service

The best friend of fascism is cynicism

Polling data shows the reason Americans won't fight for democracy is they doubt it can be saved

Salon

Blue mirage? Pollster warns Democratic leads in midterms may be exaggerated

Nate Cohn says forecasters could be falling into the same trap as in 2016 and 2020

People

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