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The Latest Breaking News from Jonathan Kearns

The ‘messy’ trend behind Australia’s rising unemployment is worrying economists

The RBA is holding fire on further rate cuts until it is confident that inflation is easing. But the latest jobs data complicates matters

The Guardian - AU

Nobody wanted to say ‘mission accomplished’ on inflation – certainly not Jim Chalmers. But he was surely thinking it

Economists are revising their rate cut predictions after the latest ABS figures revealed inflation is trending back up

The Guardian - AU

Experts convinced RBA will cut interest rates despite bank shrugging off similar peer pressure in July

Latest consumer figures support third rate cut for 2025, analysts say, but ultimate decision is up to the board

The Guardian - AU

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Indebted homeowners cry out for relief but RBA won’t be rushed as key inflation data looms

Consumer price figures released on Wednesday will determine if millions of mortgaged Australians will get a rate cut next month, economists say

The Guardian - AU

Why is Labor trying to reform the RBA and why is Peter Dutton opposing the changes?

The Coalition has indicated it won’t support the reforms, which it says could let Labor allies take control of interest rates

The Guardian - AU

Stagflation: is Australia heading back to the 1970s? Our economics and business writers go head to head

The economy has stalled and inflation remains high. Should we be worried? Guardian Australia’s experts have very different views

The Guardian - AU

Thought we were on track for a rate cut? For now, the RBA says it’s time to come back to earth

RBA governor Michele Bullock wants to make Australian inflation is truly under control before releasing the handbrake on interest rates

The Guardian - AU

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Treasury estimated stage-three tax cut changes would add 0.1 percentage point to inflation

RBA hasn’t modelled whether Albanese government’s redistribution of tax cuts could add to inflation, but isn’t expected to adjust its forecasts

The Guardian - AU

If interest rates rise again, it may be because inflation fears lost their anchor to reality

The issue of ‘consumer expectations’ of inflation is hotly debated by economists, and might be a key factor in the Reserve Bank’s decision

The Guardian - AU

Outgoing RBA governor Philip Lowe says tough decisions made him ‘very unpopular’

At a speech in Sydney, Philip Lowe has said some of his economic explanations ‘missed the mark’ but that media should avoid ‘clickbait’

The Guardian - AU

No interest rates rises predicted for Philip Lowe’s final RBA board meeting

Economists say interest rate pause likely for about a year as ABS releases weaker-than-expected economic data

The Guardian - AU

Michele Bullock: what you need to know about the RBA’s new governor

The Reserve Bank ‘lifer’ will succeed Philip Lowe in the top job. Who is Michele Bullock and what has been the reaction to her appointment?

The Guardian - AU

Who is in the race if Jim Chalmers decides to replace Philip Lowe as RBA governor?

From Canberra insiders to an outsider described as ‘borderline brilliant’, here are the runners and riders for the Reserve Bank’s top job

The Guardian - AU

The criticisms behind the Reserve Bank review's recommendations for a new board, updated mandate

The Reserve Bank review wants to remove economic prosperity as an objective of monetary policy, with some economists arguing house prices and household debt are outside its domain.

ABC News

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The Guardian - AU

A singular focus on interest rates, fresher board, fewer meetings – but what else could change at the RBA?

The Reserve Bank overhaul won’t fix mistakes of the past, but that’s not the point, analysts say

The Guardian - AU

Hold or hike? Economists divided on whether RBA will raise interest rates for 11th consecutive time

Mixed data and international developments leave monetary experts unclear on Reserve Bank’s cash rate decision for April

The Guardian - AU

‘Once-in-a-generation opportunity’: why the RBA is under review – and what happens next?

Explainer: Report’s recommendations on the central bank are due out this month. Here’s what you need to know

AAP

Banks stronger now than in GFC: RBA

A senior RBA official says the financial system would have been in strife during the COVID-19 pandemic if it were still as fragile as in 2007.

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The New Daily

Bad to worse for first-home buyers, despite property price plunge

First-home buyer optimism about falling property prices has been short lived, with data showing rising rates are hitting hard.

AAP

Rate hikes could help home buyers: RBA

Rising interest rates are a double-edged sword for home buyers as they reduce borrowing capacity but also drive prices down, the RBA says.

The Guardian - AU

Houses to be hit harder than flats by price falls, RBA says

Head of domestic markets says rate rises will depress commercial and residential property prices but wider risks appear contained

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