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The Latest Breaking News from Jack Watling

Providing US Patriot missiles could transform Ukraine’s defences. But it’s a move with risks

Providing systems to defend against Russia risks weakening the west’s deterrence posture towards China, says Jack Watling of the Royal United Services Institute

The Guardian - UK

Ukrainian soldiers face a new adversary: muddy trenches

Squelching through thick mud on Tuesday, Petro, a Ukrainian soldier dug in not far from Russian positions in the Donbas, recounted matter-of-factly how his unit had to use buckets to clear out water-logged trenches.

Reuters

The Ukraine war is deepening Russia’s ties with North Korea as well as Iran

Moscow’s growing need for armaments from Pyongyang is likely to lead to greater alignment of diplomatic and military interests

The Guardian - UK

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Putin appears to admit severe Russian losses in Ukraine

Ukrainian army making ‘fast and powerful progress’ in south, says Volodymyr Zelenskiy

The Guardian - UK

Ukraine depends on morale and Russia on mercenaries. It could decide the war

Ukrainian soldiers feel they are fighting for national liberation, while the Russians appear to lack camaraderie. This contrast is critical

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s troops suffering ‘significant casualties’ in southern Ukraine battles, says UK military think tank

Russian troops are desperately trying to hold onto the Kherson province

Evening Standard

Ukraine offensive prompts Kherson occupiers to ‘pause’ poll on joining Russia

Russian state news agency says referendum plans on hold as Ukrainian attacks on key bridge over Dnieper River put pressure on troops

The Guardian - UK

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Zelenskiy rebukes Amnesty for accusing Ukraine of endangering civilians

Ukrainian president and British and US ambassadors criticise report that says soldiers should not be based in empty schools

The Guardian - UK

Explainer: What Putin wants from Iran and why Tehran might be cautious

A budding courtship between Russia and Iran is an unwelcome development for the West that the United States will watch with concern, but it falls well short of a geopolitical game changer.

Reuters

Ukraine forces finally seeing impact of western arms, says Zelenskiy

Artillery ‘working very powerfully’ as it inflicts blows on Russian logistics, according to Ukrainian president

The Guardian - UK

The cold logic behind Russia’s crude, nihilistic tactics in Ukraine

Constant bombardment threatens to produce a stalemate that would cost Kyiv dear economically and politically, says Jack Watling of the Royal United Services Institute

The Guardian - UK

Therese Raphael: Only one thing will help Ukraine now. Weapons

The first stage of the war in Ukraine didn’t go according to Vladimir Putin’s plan, but it is the next four weeks that could determine how the map of Europe is changed as a result of his invasion. The incremental sanctions tightening we’ve seen in recent days will make little…

Tribune News Service

Russia’s callousness towards its own soldiers is undermining its combat power

In past conflicts Russia could hide small scale casualties, but not any more, says Rusi research fellow Jack Watling

The Guardian - UK

Vladimir Putin ‘aspiring to make a desert and call it peace’ in Ukraine

Vladimir Putin’s regime is “aspiring to make a desert and call it peace” in Ukraine by “systematically destroying” towns and cities, a leading expert said on Friday.

Evening Standard

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