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The Latest Breaking News from ISW

Analysts say Kyiv may be launching long-awaited counteroffensive as Ukraine war spurs record global spending on military

A new analysis gives rise to speculation that Kyiv is beginning a long-awaited counteroffensive, as new data shows global military expenditure increased by a record 3.7 per cent last year.

ABC News

New Ukraine positions near Kherson could signal spring offensive – report

Thinktank says infiltration into area east of Dnipro River could be first step toward trying to dislodge Russian forces

The Guardian - UK

Report: Ukrainian forces across key river, raising hopes

A Washington-based think tank says that Ukrainian forces have successfully crossed the wide Dnieper river in the country's south to establish and maintain positions on its east bank

The Independent UK

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Kremlin’s foreign minister to meet UN secretary general; US considering ban on exports to Russia – as it happened

Sergei Lavrov to meet António Guterres on Monday; US to discuss export ban at G7 leaders’ summit

The Guardian - AU

Russia redeploying ‘heavy flamethrower’ thermobaric weapons to elite frontline troops in Ukraine

Thermobaric weapons are considered to be one of the most brutal war weapons in existence

The Independent UK

Ukraine war passes 400 days as Russia suffers major losses in Bakhmut

‘Four hundred days... Four hundred days of our defence against full-scale aggression’

The Independent UK

Putin using Bakhmut to destroy Wagner Group and ‘put its chief in his place’, says ISW

Analyst says Ukraine battle – in which the Russian side has suffered heavy casualties – is part of a wider Kremlin power play

The Independent UK

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Ukraine forces can ‘break through’ Russian defences in counter-attacks, say military experts

Ukrainian forces can break through Russian defences in counter-offensives in coming months, military experts said on Monday.

Evening Standard

Russia-Ukraine war: Putin’s plan to station nuclear weapons in Belarus ‘irresponsible’ and ‘escalatory’, says Germany

Berlin says Moscow’s announcement is ‘another attempt at nuclear intimidation’

The Guardian - AU

Wagner advance in Bakhmut as Russian offensive appears to weaken

Russian mercenaries were the only element of Moscow’s forces making any progress in the 55th week of the war in Ukraine.

Al Jazeera

Russia-Ukraine war: Xi to visit Russia as early as next week; Moscow says it could agree to shorter Black Sea grain deal – as it happened

China’s president planning to visit Moscow soon and also speak to Zelenskiy; hopes for possible grain deal extension but Russia wants 60-day limit

The Guardian - AU

Russia turns to cruel flesh-melting weapon as thermite bombs rain down in Ukraine town

Thermite munitions - which have been used previously during the war in Ukraine - are particularly deadly because they burn rather than explode, reaching temperatures exceeding 2,400C that can easily sear through steel

Daily Mirror

Russian advance stalls in Ukraine's Bakhmut, think tank says

A leading think tank says Russia’s advance seems to have stalled in Moscow’s campaign to capture the eastern Ukrainian city of Bakhmut

The Independent UK

Wagner head says Russian forces facing ammunition shortages – as it happened

Yevgeny Prigozhin thanks Kremlin for ‘heroic’ production increase but says concerns about shortages remain. This blog is now closed

The Guardian - AU

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The Independent UK

Russia steps up effort to take elusive prize of Ukraine city

The fate of Bakhmut appears to be hanging in the balance as Russian forces continue to encroach on the devastated eastern Ukrainian city

Bangkok Post

Kyiv says Russia pursuing 'attempts to encircle' Bakhmut

KYIV, Ukraine: Kyiv said Sunday it was holding off attacks from Russian troops still attempting to surround Bakhmut, a now-destroyed eastern Ukrainian city that Moscow has been trying to capture for months.

The Guardian - UK

A year of war: how Russian forces have been pushed back in Ukraine

Guardian analysis shows how Russia has lost a fifth of the land it once controlled in Ukraine after its invasion

ABC News

Vladimir Putin's snub casts doubt on Yevgeny Prigozhin's ploy to use his Wagner Group to shore-up power

"Putin's chef" is known for cooking his way into the Russian president's inner circle, but a very public snub has experts suspecting the relationship may have come undone.

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The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Kyiv keeps its friends close, but will they send the latest warplanes?

The latest dispatches from the Institute for the Study of War make for sobering reading. After a few months in which the initiative on the battlefield was generally considered to be firmly with Ukraine, the pendulum appears as if it could be swinging gradually back Russia’s way.

Al Jazeera

Western weapon deliveries in a race against Russia offensive

Ukraine’s allies rush to deliver weapons as Moscow intensifies its war in the east.

Al Jazeera

Russia: 14 killed in ‘deliberate’ attack on hospital in Ukraine

Ukraine strike by US-supplied HIMARS rocket hit a medical facility in a Russian-held settlement, defence ministry says.

Al Jazeera

Ukraine expects key offensive as Russia plans to expand army

The war is poised to escalate as Russia has planned new conscription and Ukraine’s allies have lifted weapons bans.

Evening Standard

Vladimir Putin’s forces still struggling with ‘extremely low morale’ say Institute for the Study of War

VLADIMIR Putin’s forces are continuing to struggle with “extremely low morale” on the battlefield in Ukraine, US military experts said on Thursday.

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s mission to Minsk raises fears he will drag Belarus into Ukraine war

Putin and Lukashenko announce more joint manouevres as Kyiv warns of potential new invasion from north

The Guardian - UK

Monday briefing: How the weather could sway the outcome of the war

In today’s newsletter: Power and water supplies are already compromised. Now Ukraine will be more dependent on support from the west than ever

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