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The Latest Breaking News from Interest Rates

Dollar Drops on Expectations the Fed is Done Raising Interest Rates

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday fell by -0.42% and posted a 2-1/2 month low. The dollar Friday fell moderately and remains under pressure as this week’s better-than-expected U.S. inflation news and weekly jobs data that point to a slowing labor market have bolstered speculation the Fed is down...

Barchart

It's too soon to declare victory on inflation. Don't expect interest rate cuts until late next year

City Voices: Rishi Sunak may be gloating about hitting his inflation target, but most households don't share his glee

Evening Standard

Markets Today: Stocks Climb on Expectations Central Banks Are Done Raising Rates

Morning Markets December E-Mini S&P 500 futures (ESZ2 3) are up +0.30%, and Dec Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ2 3) are up +0.04%. Stock index futures are moving higher this morning as global bond yields fall on speculation the world’s central banks have finished raising interest rates. This week’s better-than-expected...

Barchart

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What can Jeremy Hunt do with his £13bn headroom in the autumn statement?

Chancellor could try to win votes with a tax giveaway, but seems unlikely to improve the polls or the economy

The Guardian - UK

Stock Index Futures Move Higher as Bond Yields Plunge, Gap Surges on Upbeat Earnings

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are up +0.28%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ23) are up +0.06% this morning as U.S. Treasury yields continued to fall after this week’s soft U.S. inflation and jobs data spurred expectations among investors that interest rates have peaked.

Barchart

UK mortgage arrears rise as borrowers feel squeeze, says Nationwide

Building society benefits from high interest rates, with half-year profits increasing to £1.3bn

The Guardian - UK

Stock Index Futures Move Higher as Bond Yields Plunge, Gap Stock Surges on Upbeat Earnings

Barchart

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Stock Index Futures Move Higher as Bond Yields Plunge

Barchart

Fall in retail sales in Great Britain signals high street recession

Volumes drop 2.7% year on year in October as high interest rates and poor weather drive away shoppers

The Guardian - UK

Can the U.S. Economy Achieve a Soft Landing?

The Federal Reserve, since early 2022, has been raising interest rates to ease inflation pressures without causing the economy to contract, an ideal scenario that some economists call a “soft landing.” A soft landing is defined as when the Fed is able to slow the economy enough to curb demand...

Barchart

U.S. applications for jobless claims rise in a labor market that remains very healthy

More Americans filed for jobless claims last week, but the labor market remains broadly healthy in the face of retreating inflation and elevated interest rates

The Independent UK

Cashing in? The mortgage-free landlords who are raising the rent anyway

Majority of letters with no exposure to rising interest rates are demanding more money in new tenancy agreements

The Guardian - UK

Lower inflation may be the hammer that cracks the unaffordable housing market for would-be homebuyers

Inflation slowing to 3.2% last month means home shoppers may benefit from stabilizing consumer prices and cheaper mortgages, if the Fed cuts interest rates.

Fortune

Landmark site at gateway to Newcastle deserves a show-stopping plan

I COMPLETELY agree with Bradley Perrett's vision for the remaining Honeysuckle development ("Honeysuckle idea simply sucks", Newcastle Herald, 10/11), the supposed centrepiece of the city's waterfront development. No one would deny the need for more social and affordable housing, but not on the remaining section of Honeysuckle. There is an…

Newcastle Herald

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Barchart

Will Easing Price Pressures Allow the Fed to Cut Rates in Early 2024?

10-year T-note yields tumbled Tuesday after U.S. consumer prices in October fell more than expected, bolstering speculation the Fed was finished with its rate hike cycle and may even cut interest rates in early 2024. U.S. Oct CPI eased to +3.2% y/y from +3.7% y/y in Sep, better than expectations...

The Independent UK

US producer prices slide 0.5% in October, biggest drop since 2020.

U.S. wholesale prices fell sharply last month as inflationary pressure continued to ease in the face of a year and a half of higher interest rates

Evening Standard

Are customers losing interest in Wise?

City Comment: Rising interest rates have changed things for some of London's most successful fintechs

The Independent UK

European Commission lowers growth outlook and says economy has lost momentum during a difficult year

The European Union’s executive commission has lowered its growth forecast for this year and next, saying the economy “has lost momentum” in 2023 as inflation weights on consumer spending and higher central bank interest rates deter borrowing for purchases and investment

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Evening Standard

Bank of England ‘will not cut interest rates despite inflation fall’

The decline has been hailed as a key victory for Rishi Sunak, who pledged to halve inflation, but it is also a win for the Bank of England

The Guardian - UK

UK inflation drops sharply to 4.6% as energy prices fall

Decline in annual rate in October eases fears that Bank of England will raise interest rates again this year

Barchart

Dollar Sinks as CPI Report Supports View that Fed’s Rate-Hikes Are Over

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday fell sharply by -1.50% and posted a 2-1/4 month low. The dollar sold off sharply Tuesday after U.S Oct consumer prices rose less than expected, bolstering the outlook that the Fed may be finished raising interest rates. The dollar extended its losses on...

The Guardian - UK

UK inflation expected to slow sharply, easing interest rate pressure

Economists expect October’s reading to fall almost two points to 4.8%, helped by drop in energy prices

Kiplinger

October CPI Report: What the Experts Are Saying About Inflation

A softer-than-expected CPI report could mean the Fed is done raising interest rates this cycle.

Barchart

Cost-Conscious Consumers are Boosting the Earnings of Discount Retailers

With higher interest rates and sticky inflation undercutting the purchasing power of most consumers, value retailers are holding up against a broader spending pullback as anxiety over the economy prompts shoppers to seek discounts and deals. Many of the off-price retailers, such as TJX Cos (TJX ), Ross Stores (ROST...

AAP

Interest, cost blowouts threaten SA budget surplus

High inflation, rising interest rates and cost overruns may wipe out the South Australian government's projected budget surplus, the auditor-general has found.

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