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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Why Does The Fed Keep Threatening Rate Hikes? It’s Afraid of Its Own Secret Printing Press.

While the Federal Reserve uses hawkish rhetoric to scare the markets, its balance sheet tells a completely different story. The regulator is quietly injecting billions into short-term Treasury bills, running a hidden printing press to save the system from a liquidity vacuum.

Barchart

IMF drops Eurozone's economic growth forecast to 1.1% from 1.4% amid Iran war

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its growth projection for the eurozone down to 1.1% from 1.4% for 2026 as prospects for the euro area dwindle amid higher inflation and reduced momentum.

Euronews

'Pretty severe': warnings for Australia ahead of budget

One of the world's leading economic bodies has warned a global recession could be on the way if the Middle East conflict is not resolved quickly.

AAP

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2% Inflation Is Holding the Federal Reserve Hostage: This Is What the Stock Market Desperately Needs to Keep Growing

If the Fed refuses to allow inflation to linger at 3%-4%, the stock market will become dehydrated and eventually stop growing altogether.

Barchart

IMF slashes UK growth forecast as Britain's economy faces biggest shock of G7 nations due to Iran war

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the war ‘will come at a cost to the UK’ following the IMF’s gloomy outlook

Evening Standard

UK economy faces hardest hit of G7 from Iran war says IMF as growth forecast cut

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the war ‘will come at a cost to the UK’ following the IMF’s gloomy outlook.

The Independent UK

How Much Do You Need To Retire? Americans Say $1.46M — But Most Fear They Still Won't Make It

Americans are adjusting their retirement savings goals to $1.46 million amid inflation and longer life expectancies.

International Business Times UK

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Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns

Growth forecasts cut for US and global economy, while UK suffers sharpest downgrade in G7

The Guardian - UK

UK economic growth forecasts slashed as IMF says Iran war risks global recession

The IMF laid out its first set of forecasts since the global economy was rocked by the conflict between US-Israeli and Iranian forces.

Evening Standard

IMF says Iran war "halted" global economic momentum, expects hotter inflation

The conflict upended what was shaping up to be a solid year for the global economy.

Axios

IMF warns ‘unprecedented’ energy crisis could trigger global recession as Australia prepares for Washington talks

As treasurer Jim Chalmers weighs ‘extreme uncertainty’, one economic scenario sees global growth plunging to just 2% in 2026

The Guardian - AU

Citing fallout from the Iran war, IMF cuts the outlook for global growth, expects higher inflation

The Iran war has stalled the world’s economic momentum this year, likely pushing growth lower compared to 2025, the International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday

The Independent UK

Trump’s Iran war could trigger global recession, IMF warns

UK growth slashed as worldwide economy could be thrown ‘off course’, with the risk of an energy crisis ‘on an unprecedented scale’

The Independent UK

US wholesale prices surged 4% last month as the Iran war sent energy prices soaring

U.S. wholesale prices surged last month as the Iran war drove up the cost of energy

The Independent UK

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The Independent UK

UK ‘headed for stagflation’ as economy flatlines and inflation bites due to Iran war

Stagflation – a combination of rising inflation, higher unemployment and low or zero economic growth – is seen as a ‘worst of both worlds’ scenario

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Gain on Hopes for Renewed U.S.-Iran Talks, PPI Data and More Big Bank Earnings on Tap

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are up +0.19%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are up +0.39% this morning as risk appetite improved and oil prices fell following reports that the U.S. and Iran were weighing another round of peace talks.

Euronews

Spanish inflation rises to 3.4% in March due to higher fuel prices

The CPI climbed by more than one point compared to last February, pushed up by the increase in energy prices. The government is confident that the anti-crisis plan will ultimately moderate prices.

Euronews

Risk of ‘serious’ economic shock if Iran war drags on, EBRD chief says

Odile Renaud-Basso says the current scenario will dampen growth and push up inflation in the countries where her institution operates, but that the economic repercussions of a drawn-out war will be “much more serious.”

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The Guardian - UK

HSBC says Iran war is hitting confidence as businesses warn over economic risks

Oil-driven inflation is big challenge to world economy, lifting inflation and depressing growth, says bank’s chair

Fortune

Most of Wall Street points to high oil prices as the driver of inflation. A maverick Johns Hopkins economist says they’re chasing the wrong culprit

The oil crisis will end with the war; it’s the inflation predicament that has legs, predicts Steve Hanke of Johns Hopkins.

AAP

RBA's stagflation nightmare: prices up, confidence down

Consumer and business confidence has taken a dive following the Iran conflict, highlighting the Reserve Bank's dual fears of falling activity and rising prices.

The Guardian - AU

‘Stagflationary shock’ from Iran war a ‘nightmare’ as confidence crashes among Australian households

Weakened economic activity, soaring fuel prices and rising inflation have created a horror scenario, RBA deputy governor says

Evening Standard

Retail sales ‘tepid’ as Middle East conflict raises consumer caution

Total retail sales increased by 3.6% year on year in March, driven up by the early Easter boosting an increase in food sales to 6.8%.

The Independent UK

The real reason behind increase in retail sales last month as shoppers remain ‘tepid’ amid Iran war

Essential spending returned to growth – up 0.5% – for the first time since July

Grocery Coupon Guide

Why Stores Are Selling Ugly Produce to Combat Grocery Inflation

The produce department is a visual showcase. Supermarkets reject millions of pounds of perfectly safe food every year simply because it looks weird. A curved cucumber or a scarred apple fails the strict cosmetic standards set by corporate buyers. This rejection creates massive agricultural waste and drives up the price…

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