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The Latest Breaking News from Ben Raue

Election flows reveal nearly 90% of Greens preferenced Labor ahead of Coalition

Minor party preference flows for the federal election have been released, with Labor winning Greens preferences by 88.2–11.8, while the Coalition won One Nation preferences by 74.5–24.5. I also cover a SA state poll that gave Labor a massive 67–33 lead.

The Conversation

After teal wave of 2022, there was no ‘sophomore surge’. Where to from here for the independents?

Climate 200 founder Simon Holmes à Court says the movement is ‘not a blip’ and declares independents are ‘here to stay’ and fight the major parties

The Guardian - AU

Independent zest also poses test for 'complacent' Labor

Despite a landslide election victory, Labor could soon lose its grip on historic heartlands as analysts suggest Australian voters are feeling taken for granted.

AAP

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Shock poll predicts historic coalition election wipeout

The coalition's seat count will hit a near-80-year low, one analysis shows, as the opposition backtracks on mooted changes to school lessons.

AAP

Suburbs pave pathway to power but Libs will need more

Electoral rings around Sydney and Melbourne hold the majority of marginal seats the coalition needs to win office as Labor looks to offset possible losses.

AAP

Independents warn tide still going out on major parties

Support for independents still remains high after a record crossbench made it into parliament in 2022 but a number face serious challenges to retain seats.

AAP

Palpable anger in the suburbs sets up poll battleground

For the first time pundits' eyes will be on two safe seats on election night as fallout from the Gaza war ignites a serious electoral challenge for ministers.

AAP

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Three key takeaways from the WA election which hint at Labor’s fortunes (and challenges) in federal vote

ALP MPs acknowledge the fight in Perth’s outer suburbs will be tougher this federal election

The Guardian - AU

Independent climbs Bean-stalk to try to slay Labor foe

After immense success against conservative politicians, climate-concerned independents are taking aim at new targets: safe Labor seats.

AAP

Ballots and barbs in by-election litmus test for Labor

State Liberals hope voter frustration over living costs and crime will deliver them upsets in two by-elections being held at once in capital city suburbs.

AAP

Reckoning looms as Labor, Libs look to shake off woes

A long-time state Labor government is under the pump with crucial by-elections likely to reveal the extent of voters' dissatisfaction after a turbulent summer.

AAP

Victorian Labor considering push to retake Prahran after surprise resignation of former Greens MP

Sam Hibbins announced resignation from parliament three weeks after confessing to consensual relationship with staff member

The Guardian - AU

‘I believe I can win’: the immigrant hoping to upset Labor in a western Sydney stronghold

Ahmed Ouf, a pharmacist from Egypt, says local election success means he can take Blaxland from Jason Clare

The Guardian - AU

Labor loses its stranglehold on Newcastle as new council faces emerge

Incoming lord mayor Ross Kerridge faces negotiations with a handful of blocs.

Newcastle Herald

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Newcastle Herald

Nelmes hit snag with voters looking to avoid the democracy sausage sizzle

Pre-poll voters set platform for Kerridge's lord mayoral win.

Newcastle Herald

'Protest vote': How Newcastle turned on lord mayor Nelmes' leadership style

Dr Ross Kerridge 'right person, in the right moment', says analyst.

AAP

PM's early election warning labelled an 'empty threat'

The prime minister has threatened a double dissolution over resistance to his government's housing policy but experts don't think this will benefit his party.

The Guardian - AU

The rise of the Libertarians: ‘fringe’ party could win 15 NSW council seats after Liberals’ bungle

Minor party could be largest group on MidCoast council and state MP John Ruddick says ‘if you put in a development [application] we will approve it’

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AAP

Lord Mayor closes in on sixth term, maybe her last

Sydney Lord Mayor Clover Moore is tipped to win her sixth term while some councils face a shift to the left after a nomination debacle by the Liberals.

AAP

Fierce renter advocate eyes Parliament House tenancy

After taking aim at landlords and real estate agents, internet sensation Jordan 'purplepingers' van den Lamb has his eyes on a new target: the Senate.

AAP

Liberals' council nomination extension plea rejected

The NSW electoral commissioner has rejected the state Liberals' request for more time after the party failed to nominate candidates for a string of local seats.

The Guardian - AU

‘Shocked and gutted’: NSW Liberal councillors mull legal action against own party over administrative disaster

Fallout continues over Liberal party’s failure to lodge paperwork to nominate 136 candidates in upcoming council local government elections

The Guardian - AU

‘Labor doesn’t care what we think’: doctor to take on Tony Burke in safe western Sydney seat

Dr Ziad Basyouny is the first of several independents expected to challenge federal Labor seats amid the Israel-Gaza war

The Guardian - AU

Muslim Vote group says it will target Labor ministers and whip at next federal election

First high-profile candidate due to be announced this week by ‘grassroots’ movement backing independents against Tony Burke and Jason Clare

AAP

Knife-edge by-election has leaders sweating

As the Malinauskas government marks its halfway point, it faces an honest appraisal from voters at the knife-edge Dunstan by-election.

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